GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET Result & Analysis

The model favours a home win, with a 48% chance for GAP Connah S Quay FC, 27% for a draw, and 25% for Cardiff MET. The expected total is 2.7 goals, but the most likely total is 2, with a 25% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 12.8%. GAP Connah S Quay FC have been on a five-game winning streak, scoring 1.22 goals and conceding 0.89 against similar opposition at home, while Cardiff MET have scored 1.29 and conceded 1.07 on the road against similar teams. The suggested selections are Over 1.5 goals at 77% and Under 3.5 goals at 70.5%. The model’s picks are: Over 1.5 - 77%; Under 3.5 - 70.5%. The match is expected to be tight, with the home side’s recent form giving them a slight edge.

The win extends GAP Connah S Quay FC’s five-game winning run, a 1-0 triumph over Cardiff MET. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 48 percent, and the call proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 was off, but the 2-1 and 1-0 options were close, with the latter materialising. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, at 77 percent, missed as only one goal was scored, whereas its Under 3.5 choice, at 70.5 percent, hit accurately. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely in line with the outcome, delivering a correct favourite and a correct total-goals assessment.