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GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 18:45
GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Vs
56%
26%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Haverfordwest County AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours a home win, with a 56% chance of GAP Connah S Quay FC triumphing, a 26% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of Haverfordwest County AFC winning. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.3% probability. GAP Connah S Quay FC, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, while Haverfordwest County AFC, on the road, averages 1.07 scored and 1.33 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.9% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5%), Under 6.5 (98.0% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (94.4% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.5% with a 4% edge) and Home +2 handicap (93.3%). The home side’s recent five-game winning streak and the away side’s fresh win set the stage for a competitive encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

GAP Connah S Quay FC win
55.5%
Avg Implied 67.4% · @ 1.34
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Draw
25.7%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.67
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Dafabet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Haverfordwest County AFC win
18.8%
Avg Implied 13.3% · @ 6.77
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.04
Bet365
7.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W11D12L11D12L31W60W20W30W21WH·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08A·AMM22/08H·CAM28/08A·FLI31/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.032.501.142.060.94
vs Stronger (3)1.671.672.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (23)2.221.042.201.302.230.85
vs Weaker (4)3.000.504.500.001.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Haverfordwest County AFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W60W11D02L01L02L03L03L02L21WA·FLI03/04H·LLA18/04A·BAR26/04A·PEN02/05H·AIR01/08A·THE07/08H·PEN14/08H·CAM21/08A·LLA28/08H·TRE31/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.711.211.001.38
vs Stronger (2)1.002.502.003.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.381.231.821.091.071.33
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.0%
@ 1.17-1.7%
Under 1.5
24.0%
@ 4.10+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.3%
@ 1.60-6.8%
Under 2.5
49.7%
@ 2.14+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Bet365
2.15
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.3%
@ 2.54-7.9%
Under 3.5
71.7%
@ 1.44+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Marathonbet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.57
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
51.3%
@ 1.83+1.4%
No
48.7%
@ 1.82-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
No
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 8.50+7.1%
1-0
10.8%@ 6.86+4.4%
2-0
10.4%@ 6.29+3.4%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.40+3.8%
0-0
7.9%@ 13.33+4.6%
3-0
6.1%@ 8.40+0.8%
3-1
5.7%@ 10.02+1.3%
0-1
5.2%@ 18.28+2.8%
GAP Connah S Quay FC goals ↓
Haverfordwest County AFC goals →
01234
07.9%5.2%3.0%0.9%0.2%
111%12%5.2%1.6%0.4%
210%9.8%4.6%1.4%0.3%
36.1%5.7%2.7%0.8%0.2%
42.7%2.5%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GAP Connah S Quay FC goals (down), columns = Haverfordwest County AFC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC is 2.00 points better than Haverfordwest County AFC in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 0.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
GAP Connah S Quay FC is 2.50 goals better than Haverfordwest County AFC in terms of goals scored per game (2.83 vs 0.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
GAP Connah S Quay FC is 1.33 goals better than Haverfordwest County AFC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
GAP Connah S Quay FC or Draw
81.2%
Avg Implied 86.2% · @ 1.06
Edge
-5.0%
56%
26%
19%
covers GAP Connah S Quay FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
GAP Connah S Quay FC or Haverfordwest County AFC
74.3%
Avg Implied 81.7% · @ 1.12
Edge
-7.4%
56%
26%
19%
covers GAP Connah S Quay FC + Haverfordwest County AFC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Draw or Haverfordwest County AFC
44.5%
Avg Implied 32.1% · @ 2.86
Edge
+12.4%
56%
26%
19%
covers Draw + Haverfordwest County AFC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
William Hil
2.90
1xBet
2.89

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5
Over
82.7%
@ 1.07-3.6%
Under
17.3%
@ 6.76+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Under
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.40
Superbet
5.70
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5
Over
52.3%
@ 1.45-11.8%
Under
47.7%
@ 2.58+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.55
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5
Over
25.7%
@ 2.40-12.9%
Under
74.3%
@ 1.51+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Under
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 3.5
Over
10.1%
@ 4.31-11.4%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.18+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
Marathonbet
3.84
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 0.5
Over
60.7%
@ 1.70+6.3%
Under
39.3%
@ 2.02-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Under
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 1.5
Over
24.0%
@ 4.28+2.4%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.18-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.30
10Bet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 2.5
Over
6.9%
@ 10.11-2.3%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.02+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.75
Superbet
8.80
Under
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
@ 21.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to GAP Connah S Quay FC, so a minus line means GAP Connah S Quay FC give that many goals of a start and Haverfordwest County AFC receive them. At -1, GAP Connah S Quay FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal GAP Connah S Quay FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)
GAP Connah S Quay FC -2
14.4%
@ 3.41-11.9%
Draw -2
17.5%
@ 4.16-4.2%
Haverfordwest County AFC +2
68.1%
@ 1.73+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
3.98
Away
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Handicap -1 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)
GAP Connah S Quay FC -1
31.9%
@ 1.98-13.0%
Draw -1
23.6%
@ 3.55-1.4%
Haverfordwest County AFC +1
44.5%
@ 2.94+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
Betfair
1.91
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
10Bet
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Handicap +1 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)
GAP Connah S Quay FC +1
81.2%
@ 1.08-3.3%
Draw +1
12.1%
@ 9.00+2.0%
Haverfordwest County AFC -1
6.7%
@ 17.00+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
Handicap +2 (GAP Connah S Quay FC)
GAP Connah S Quay FC +2
93.3%
@ 1.02+0.1%
Draw +2
5.0%
@ 21.00+0.4%
Haverfordwest County AFC -2
1.7%
@ 41.00-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
41.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D11D10W31W20W10W20W10WH·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08A·AMM22/08H·CAM28/08A·FLI31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.371.140.291.060.44
vs Stronger (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.130.391.000.401.230.38
vs Weaker (4)1.250.502.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Haverfordwest County AFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W01L01L00D01L02L00D00D00DA·FLI03/04H·LLA18/04A·BAR26/04A·PEN02/05H·AIR01/08A·THE07/08H·PEN14/08H·CAM21/08A·LLA28/08H·TRE31/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.500.570.190.62
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.380.580.640.550.200.60
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.26+0.2%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 3.28-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.46
William Hil
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.32-1.0%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.52+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
William Hil
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 4.94-5.7%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.11+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
63.7%
@ 1.51+2.2%
Under
36.3%
@ 2.40-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.42
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.35
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.0%
@ 3.31-6.8%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.28+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.8%
@ 8.30-3.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.04+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.2%
@ 2.83-1.3%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.36+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.5%
@ 10.00-2.7%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W12L00D02L00D40W10W10W11DH·PEN21/03H·BAR29/03A·THE03/04H·COL18/04H·CAE02/08A·HOL07/08H·TRE14/08A·AMM22/08H·CAM28/08A·FLI31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.671.360.861.000.50
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.090.651.200.901.000.46
vs Weaker (4)1.750.002.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Haverfordwest County AFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W01L01L01L01L03L02L21WA·FLI03/04H·LLA18/04A·BAR26/04A·PEN02/05H·AIR01/08A·THE07/08H·PEN14/08H·CAM21/08A·LLA28/08H·TRE31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.701.210.640.810.75
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.000.651.180.550.870.73
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (GAP Connah S Quay FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.17+0.4%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.32-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Marathonbet
4.30
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.84-2.6%
Under 1.5
52.4%
@ 1.85+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.0%
@ 3.64-3.3%
Under 2.5
78.0%
@ 1.23+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.45
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.20

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
67.5%
@ 1.33-2.1%
Under
32.5%
@ 3.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.7%
@ 2.55-8.3%
Under
72.3%
@ 1.44+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.38
GAP Connah S Quay FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.1%
@ 5.65-6.3%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.11+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.0%
@ 2.40+2.4%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.50-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.64
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.40
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.2%
@ 8.53-1.8%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
7.90
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Haverfordwest County AFC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.2%
@ 11.25-7.0%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.8%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+7.0%
Away under 3.5 goals98.5%-------
Under 6.598.0%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
--+6.5%
Under 5.594.4%1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.5%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
---+2.7%
Home +2 handicap93.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+0.1%
Away under 2.5 goals93.1%1.02
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-+2.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals92.2%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
---+3.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals90.8%1.05
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
---+1.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals89.9%1.11
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
---+6.3%
Home under 3.5 goals89.9%1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.15
+11.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals87.4%1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+5.7%
Under 4.586.5%1.15
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
+7.5%
Home over 0.5 goals82.7%1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-3.6%
Home or Draw81.2%1.06
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
-5.0%
Home +1 handicap81.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----3.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals79.1%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
+0.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals79.0%1.28
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
--+6.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals78.0%1.23
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.20
+3.3%
Over 1.576.0%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
-1.7%
Away under 1.5 goals76.0%1.18
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-2.4%
Home under 2.5 goals74.3%1.51
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
+12.9%
Home or Away74.3%1.12
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-7.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals72.4%1.26
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
+0.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals72.3%1.44
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.38
-+8.3%
Under 3.571.7%1.44
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
+7.9%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
GCS wins
2
Draws
3
HCA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC · H/A from GCS
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HGCS Vs Haverfordwest County AFC3-3
20/09/25AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs GCS1-3
12/10/24AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs GCS0-0
11/08/24HGCS Vs Haverfordwest County AFC0-1
19/11/23HGCS Vs Haverfordwest County AFC1-2
23/09/23AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs GCS1-3
31/01/23AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs GCS2-1
01/10/22HGCS Vs Haverfordwest County AFC1-0

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AFlint Town United Vs GCS1-2
28/08/26HGCS Vs Cambrian & Clydach3-0
22/08/26AAmmanford AFC Vs GCS0-2
14/08/26HGCS Vs Trefelin6-0
07/08/26AHolywell Vs GCS1-3
02/08/26HGCS Vs Caernarfon Town1-2
18/04/26HGCS Vs Colwyn Bay1-1
03/04/26AThe New Saints Vs GCS2-1
29/03/26HGCS Vs Barry Town1-1
21/03/26HGCS Vs Penybont2-1

Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HHCA Vs Trefelin2-1
28/08/26ALlandudno Vs HCA2-0
21/08/26HHCA Vs Cambrian & Clydach0-3
14/08/26HHCA Vs Penybont0-3
07/08/26AThe New Saints Vs HCA2-0
01/08/26HHCA Vs Airbus UK0-1
02/05/26APenybont Vs HCA2-0
26/04/26ABarry Town Vs HCA1-1
18/04/26HHCA Vs llanelli AFC6-0
03/04/26AFlint Town United Vs HCA0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.90
HomeDDLWW1.91
AwayWLWWW1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%57%56%
AVG goals3.063.482.70
Over 1.5 %90%100%81%
Over 2.5 %68%78%59%
Over 3.5 %32%39%26%
Scored2.002.301.74
Conceded1.061.170.96
BTTS60%70%52%
Clean Sheet32%26%37%
Corners---
Cards---
Haverfordwest County AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.16
HomeWLLLW1.32
AwayWDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.823.162.48
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %54%68%40%
Over 3.5 %34%44%24%
Scored1.241.640.84
Conceded1.581.521.64
BTTS44%56%32%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

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