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Gateshead vs Aldershot Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2022
Time: 12:30
Final 0-2
Gateshead
Gateshead
Vs
37%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aldershot
Aldershot
England: National League
Referee: D Richardson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gateshead win✗ Miss
36.9%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.18
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.44
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aldershot win✓ Hit
36.4%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 3.00
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GatesheadGateshead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L11D13L13L11D12L13L31W11DH·EAS01/10H·ALT04/10A·BRO08/10H·WOK22/10A·SCU25/10H·SOL29/10A·CHE01/11A·YEO12/11H·SOU19/11A·TOR26/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.701.501.501.001.90
vs Stronger (10)1.201.501.331.331.141.57
vs Similar (9)1.331.781.571.570.502.50
vs Weaker (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
Clean sheet %5% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AldershotAldershot

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L00D33D21W20W30W16L12L02L20WH·WEA01/10H·EAS04/10A·SCU08/10H·YOR22/10A·YEO25/10A·DOR29/10A·TOR01/11H·MAI12/11A·WRE19/11H·SOU26/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.601.471.601.271.60
vs Stronger (17)1.291.651.501.381.111.89
vs Similar (13)1.461.541.431.861.501.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Gateshead) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.0%
@ 1.80+5.3%
Under 2.5
43.0%
@ 1.92-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
Gateshead goals ↓
Aldershot goals →
01234
06.3%6.5%5.6%2.8%1.0%
16.5%12%8.4%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.4%6.2%3.1%1.1%
32.8%4.2%3.1%1.5%0.6%
41.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gateshead goals (down), columns = Aldershot goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Wrexham
2.41
Notts County
2.33
Chesterfield
1.83
Woking
1.78
Barnet
1.61
Boreham Wood
1.57
Bromley
1.54
Southend
1.50
Eastleigh
1.46
Dag and Red
1.37
Oldham
1.33
Halifax
1.33
Gateshead
1.30
Wealdstone
1.30
Solihull
1.26
Dorking
1.24
Altrincham
1.22
Aldershot
1.15
York
1.11
Maidenhead
1.09
Torquay
1.04
Yeovil
0.87
Scunthorpe
0.74
Maidstone
0.54
Gateshead is 0.15 points better than Aldershot in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Notts County
2.54
Wrexham
2.52
Chesterfield
1.76
Barnet
1.63
Woking
1.54
Bromley
1.48
Altrincham
1.48
Gateshead
1.46
Dorking
1.46
Aldershot
1.39
Oldham
1.37
Solihull
1.35
Dag and Red
1.33
Torquay
1.26
Southend
1.24
Wealdstone
1.24
Eastleigh
1.22
York
1.20
Boreham Wood
1.13
Scunthorpe
1.07
Halifax
1.07
Maidenhead
1.02
Maidstone
0.98
Yeovil
0.76
Gateshead is 0.07 goals better than Aldershot in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Boreham Wood
0.87
Notts County
0.91
Wrexham
0.93
Southend
0.98
Halifax
1.04
Woking
1.04
Chesterfield
1.13
Bromley
1.15
Eastleigh
1.24
Yeovil
1.30
Gateshead
1.35
York
1.37
Oldham
1.39
Solihull
1.43
Maidenhead
1.43
Barnet
1.46
Dag and Red
1.57
Wealdstone
1.57
Aldershot
1.65
Torquay
1.74
Altrincham
1.78
Scunthorpe
1.89
Dorking
1.98
Maidstone
2.26
Gateshead is 0.30 goals better than Aldershot in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Notts County
58%
Wrexham
56%
Boreham Wood
55%
Yeovil
54%
Chesterfield
48%
Solihull
47%
Southend
46%
Maidenhead
46%
Halifax
45%
Dorking
44%
Altrincham
43%
Oldham
42%
Barnet
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GatesheadGateshead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D02L11D10W11D11D00D00DH·EAS01/10H·ALT04/10A·BRO08/10H·WOK22/10A·SCU25/10H·SOL29/10A·CHE01/11A·YEO12/11H·SOU19/11A·TOR26/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.500.800.700.80
vs Stronger (10)0.600.800.330.670.710.86
vs Similar (9)0.560.780.570.860.500.50
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AldershotAldershot

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D13L10W00D10W03L02L02L10WH·WEA01/10H·EAS04/10A·SCU08/10H·YOR22/10A·YEO25/10A·DOR29/10A·TOR01/11H·MAI12/11A·WRE19/11H·SOU26/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.730.870.330.80
vs Stronger (17)0.530.880.620.880.440.89
vs Similar (13)0.540.770.860.860.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Gateshead) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gateshead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gateshead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gateshead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GatesheadGateshead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D11D02L01L01L02L31W11DH·EAS01/10H·ALT04/10A·BRO08/10H·WOK22/10A·SCU25/10H·SOL29/10A·CHE01/11A·YEO12/11H·SOU19/11A·TOR26/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.650.901.000.700.301.10
vs Stronger (10)0.600.701.000.670.430.71
vs Similar (9)0.781.001.000.710.002.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aldershot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AldershotAldershot

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D20W11D20W20W13L10W00D10WH·WEA01/10H·EAS04/10A·SCU08/10H·YOR22/10A·YEO25/10A·DOR29/10A·TOR01/11H·MAI12/11A·WRE19/11H·SOU26/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.730.730.930.80
vs Stronger (17)0.760.760.880.500.671.00
vs Similar (13)0.920.770.571.001.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Gateshead) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gateshead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gateshead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gateshead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aldershot over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards95.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards88.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards74.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (32)
€77m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
OLD (21)
€3m
YOR (8)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
Gateshead and Aldershot have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€15m
CHE (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Gateshead and Aldershot have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
NC (7)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
SOU (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
BAR (9)
€3m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
OLD (7)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
EAS (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
Gateshead and Aldershot have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
GAT wins
0
Draws
0
ALD wins

Head-to-head

Gateshead vs Aldershot · H/A from GAT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

GatesheadGateshead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/22ATorquay Vs GAT1-1
19/11/22HGAT Vs Southend3-1
12/11/22AYeovil Vs GAT3-1
01/11/22AChesterfield Vs GAT2-1
29/10/22HGAT Vs Solihull1-1
25/10/22AScunthorpe Vs GAT3-1
22/10/22HGAT Vs Woking1-3
08/10/22ABromley Vs GAT1-1
04/10/22HGAT Vs Altrincham1-3
01/10/22HGAT Vs Eastleigh1-1

AldershotAldershot

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/22HALD Vs Southend2-0
19/11/22AWrexham Vs ALD2-0
12/11/22HALD Vs Maidenhead1-2
01/11/22ATorquay Vs ALD6-1
29/10/22ADorking Vs ALD0-3
25/10/22AYeovil Vs ALD0-2
22/10/22HALD Vs York2-1
08/10/22AScunthorpe Vs ALD3-3
04/10/22HALD Vs Eastleigh0-0
01/10/22HALD Vs Wealdstone1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gateshead
Gateshead
England: National League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD0.85
HomeDLLDW1.10
AwayDLLLD0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%20%10%
AVG goals2.953.002.90
Over 1.5 %90%90%90%
Over 2.5 %55%50%60%
Over 3.5 %45%50%40%
Scored1.251.501.00
Conceded1.701.501.90
BTTS85%90%80%
Clean Sheet5%0%10%
Corners---
Cards3.053.502.60
Aldershot
Aldershot
England: National League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.18
HomeLDWLW1.20
AwayDWWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.742.762.72
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.201.241.16
Conceded1.541.521.56
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet22%16%28%
Corners---
Cards3.443.803.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1WrexhamWrexham46111
74%
2.4
11643+73
3.5
87%
70%
48%
-
0%
2.6
30%
-
0%
77
1523392.50.9
56%
2Notts CountyNotts County46107
70%
2.3
11742+75
3.5
91%
70%
50%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
6
2222.50.9
58%
3ChesterfieldChesterfield4684
54%
1.8
8152+29
2.9
80%
59%
35%
-
0%
4.0
57%
-
0%
6
3121.81.1
48%
4WokingWoking4682
52%
1.8
7148+23
2.6
78%
43%
26%
-
0%
4.2
59%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
5BarnetBarnet4674
46%
1.6
7567+8
3.1
85%
50%
33%
-
0%
3.6
52%
-
0%
4
0131.61.5
40%
6Boreham WoodBoreham Wood4672
41%
1.6
5240+12
2.0
65%
22%
13%
-
0%
3.3
52%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
55%
7BromleyBromley4671
39%
1.5
6853+15
2.6
80%
48%
24%
-
0%
3.7
54%
-
0%
4
1121.51.2
-
8SouthendSouthend4669
43%
1.5
5745+12
2.2
70%
41%
15%
-
0%
4.0
63%
-
0%
1
0001.21.0
46%
9EastleighEastleigh4667
41%
1.5
5657-1
2.5
63%
41%
26%
-
0%
3.8
50%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
10
DA
Dag and Red
4663
39%
1.4
6172-11
2.9
78%
50%
28%
-
0%
2.9
41%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
11HalifaxHalifax4661
35%
1.3
4948+1
2.1
61%
30%
20%
-
0%
3.6
48%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
45%
12OldhamOldham4661
35%
1.3
6364-1
2.8
80%
50%
28%
-
0%
3.3
48%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
42%
13GatesheadGateshead4660
33%
1.3
6762+5
2.8
87%
54%
33%
-
0%
3.3
41%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
14WealdstoneWealdstone4660
35%
1.3
5772-15
2.8
74%
59%
35%
-
0%
4.0
67%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
15SolihullSolihull4658
33%
1.3
6266-4
2.8
83%
52%
26%
-
0%
3.3
37%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
47%
16
D
Dorking
4657
35%
1.2
6791-24
3.4
85%
70%
52%
-
0%
3.7
52%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
44%
17AltrinchamAltrincham4656
30%
1.2
6882-14
3.3
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
3.0
43%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
43%
18AldershotAldershot4653
30%
1.2
6476-12
3.0
87%
57%
28%
-
0%
3.2
41%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
19YorkYork4651
28%
1.1
5563-8
2.6
80%
50%
20%
-
0%
3.4
46%
-
0%
1
0011.21.4
-
20
M
Maidenhead
4650
28%
1.1
4766-19
2.5
70%
43%
22%
-
0%
3.2
39%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
46%
21
T
Torquay
4648
26%
1.0
5880-22
3.0
72%
50%
35%
-
0%
4.0
59%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
22YeovilYeovil4640
15%
0.9
3560-25
2.1
65%
30%
17%
-
0%
3.6
50%
-
0%
0
0000.81.3
54%
23ScunthorpeScunthorpe4634
17%
0.7
4987-38
3.0
87%
52%
37%
-
0%
3.2
43%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
24
M
Maidstone
4625
11%
0.5
45104-59
3.2
85%
63%
41%
-
0%
3.2
41%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
England: National League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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