The encounter between Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Erzurumspor FK is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home victory sits at 35%, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 34%. The expected total goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals (28%). The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% chance. Gençlerbirliği, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded, while Erzurumspor, on the road, averages 1.47 scored and 1.07 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7% with a 6% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.2% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.0% with a 2% edge), Under 5.5 (96.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4% with a 2% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.7% with a 5% edge). Both sides have been in contrasting recent form, with Gençlerbirliği on a three-game winning streak and Erzurumspor coming off two straight defeats.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Gençlerbirliği S.K., failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that extended both sides’ recent form of coming off a 1-1 result. The model had picked a home victory with a 35% probability, but that call was incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.9%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.7%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.4%. The match’s total of two goals matched the model’s most likely total of 2, confirming the expected 2.4-goal average.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gençlerbirliği S.K. win✗ Miss
34.6%
Avg Implied 45.8% · @ 2.05
Edge
-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
Dafabet
2.08
Draw✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.16
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.25
Bet365
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Erzurumspor FK win✗ Miss
35.0%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.84
Edge
+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.16
1xBet
4.14
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.17
1.67
1.47
1.13
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
1.50
1.70
1.50
1.83
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.35
0.90
1.78
1.22
1.00
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.00
3.00
0.79
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.50
0.00
4.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
2.15
0.85
3.17
0.58
1.33
1.07
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
@ 1.42+3.9%
Under 1.5
29.8%
@ 2.78-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Under
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.77
Betano
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.7%
@ 2.29+1.1%
Under 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.63-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
Under
10Bet
1.95
SBO
1.89
Unibet
1.63
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.9%
@ 4.29-0.0%
Under 3.5
78.1%
@ 1.20+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Pinnacle
4.57
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.9%
@ 2.00+3.4%
No
50.1%
@ 1.74-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
No
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
1.81
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%@ 5.79+6.6%
0-0
10.5%@ 7.56+4.5%
0-1
9.7%@ 8.74+4.5%
1-0
9.6%@ 5.91+1.9%
1-2
7.8%@ 12.51+4.2%
2-1
7.8%@ 8.42+2.4%
0-2
6.6%@ 17.45+4.0%
2-0
6.5%@ 8.59+1.2%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals ↓
Erzurumspor FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.7%
6.6%
2.6%
0.8%
1
9.6%
14%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.5%
7.8%
4.7%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.6%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals (down), columns = Erzurumspor FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Gençlerbirliği S.K. is 0.04 points better than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.96).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Gençlerbirliği S.K. is 0.12 goals better than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Gençlerbirliği S.K. is 0.49 goals better than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
For 2.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.5 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
For 3.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.6
3.9
4.2
3.6
26.1
26.1
26.1
vs Stronger (15)
9.8
10.6
8.9
3.9
3.5
4.3
24.3
23.4
25.4
vs Similar (32)
9.2
9.3
9.2
4.1
4.6
3.6
28.0
27.6
28.3
vs Weaker (3)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
-
2.0
18.3
-
18.3
% over line
53%
55%
52%
50%
54%
46%
73%
73%
74%
% under line
47%
45%
48%
50%
46%
54%
27%
27%
26%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.5
8.6
3.9
3.8
4.0
23.1
21.6
24.6
vs Stronger (2)
4.0
4.0
-
0.5
1.0
0.0
23.0
23.0
-
vs Similar (45)
8.9
9.1
8.8
4.1
4.0
4.2
23.3
21.8
24.7
vs Weaker (3)
5.3
3.0
6.5
3.3
2.0
4.0
21.0
16.0
23.5
% over line
38%
36%
39%
56%
46%
65%
56%
50%
61%
% under line
62%
64%
61%
44%
54%
35%
44%
50%
39%
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Samsunspor
9.8
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Çorum FK
9.2
Amed
9.0
Eyüpspor
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.8
Erzurumspor FK
8.4
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.7
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Konyaspor
5.1
Göztepe
5.1
Çorum FK
5.0
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Alanyaspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.7
Samsunspor
4.6
Galatasaray
4.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.3
Alanyaspor
27.0
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.7
Trabzonspor
26.4
Eyüpspor
26.4
Rizespor
26.1
Samsunspor
25.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.4
Beşiktaş
25.4
Fenerbahçe
25.1
Konyaspor
24.9
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.6
Çorum FK
23.0
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.1%
@ 2.11+2.3%
Under 9.5
53.9%
@ 1.65-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Under
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.7%
@ 1.35+0.3%
Under 3.5
33.3%
@ 2.67-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.67
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.2%
Under 21.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. or Draw✓ Hit
62.7%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
-12.4%
35%
30%
35%
covers Gençlerbirliği S.K. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Gençlerbirliği S.K. or Erzurumspor FK✗ Miss
69.4%
Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.32
Edge
-1.3%
35%
30%
35%
covers Gençlerbirliği S.K. + Erzurumspor FK
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.39
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Draw or Erzurumspor FK✓ Hit
67.9%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.73
Edge
+13.7%
35%
30%
35%
covers Draw + Erzurumspor FK
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
SBO
1.77
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.5%
@ 1.27-6.1%
Under
32.5%
@ 3.53+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
10Bet
4.33
Pinnacle
3.66
Unibet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.0%
@ 2.31-9.5%
Under
69.0%
@ 1.57+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.37
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 5.12-7.8%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.14+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 11.62-5.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.8%
@ 1.54+10.4%
Under
29.2%
@ 2.35-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Under
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.43
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 3.72+9.7%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.25-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.19
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Under
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 9.71+3.0%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.05-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Under
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Erzurumspor FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 28.17+0.2%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.01-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
31.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gençlerbirliği S.K., so a minus line means Gençlerbirliği S.K. give that many goals of a start and Erzurumspor FK receive them. At -1, Gençlerbirliği S.K. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gençlerbirliği S.K. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gençlerbirliği S.K.)Actual: Erzurumspor FK
Gençlerbirliği S.K. -2
4.2%
@ 8.70-6.2%
Draw -2
9.3%
@ 5.78-6.3%
Erzurumspor FK +2
86.5%
@ 1.22+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Superbet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
Superbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (Gençlerbirliği S.K.)Actual: Erzurumspor FK
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
1.29
0.50
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.41
1.33
0.33
0.33
0.47
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.8%
@ 1.48+5.8%
Under 0.5
31.2%
@ 2.52-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Under
10Bet
2.95
William Hil
2.70
Unibet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 3.29+5.5%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.31-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Under
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 8.91+0.7%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.04-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
William Hil
9.50
BetVictor
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.4%
@ 2.00+2.8%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.74-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
1.96
Under
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Unibet
1.75
Superbet
1.70
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 6.03+1.5%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.09-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
Betano
6.20
Superbet
6.20
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 17.00-2.9%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.6%
@ 2.66+1.5%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.44-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Marathonbet
2.80
Betano
2.72
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Under
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 9.40-0.1%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.04+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
10Bet
7.00
Under
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 28.75-2.2%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.27
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.25
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.45
0.78
0.56
0.91
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.53
1.71
0.29
0.94
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.37
0.44
1.83
0.25
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.31+6.5%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.28-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
10Bet
4.10
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.5%
@ 2.39+8.6%
Under 1.5
52.5%
@ 1.52-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.47
Under
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.2%
@ 5.61+6.5%
Under 2.5
76.8%
@ 1.12-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.65
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.6%
@ 1.73+7.1%
Under
39.4%
@ 1.99-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 4.41+9.4%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.18-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.70
Betano
4.45
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
3.65
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 11.83-1.7%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
1xBet
10.50
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.0%
@ 2.26+2.9%
Under
56.0%
@ 1.57-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 7.23+1.7%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.06-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.60
10Bet
5.75
Under
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 19.75-1.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.0%
1.06
10Bet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.04
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.6%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.04
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.3%
1.05
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+12.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.06
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.2%
1.05
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.1%
1.09
10Bet
1.13
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.1%
1.20
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.12
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
-6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.6%
1.21
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
70.8%
1.54
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
1xBet
1.57
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.2%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
+3.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adama Malouda Traoré33%
Sekou Koita33%
Oğulcan Ülgün33%
Franco Tongya33%
Pedro Pereira0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Abdurrahim Dursun0%
Žan Žužek0%
Ousmane Diabate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pedro Pereira33%
Dimitris Goutas33%
Oğulcan Ülgün33%
Ousmane Diabate33%
Adama Malouda Traoré0%
Sekou Koita0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Abdurrahim Dursun0%
Žan Žužek0%
Franco Tongya0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sekou Koita33%
Oğulcan Ülgün33%
Abdurrahim Dursun33%
Ousmane Diabate33%
Adama Malouda Traoré0%
Pedro Pereira0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Žan Žužek0%
Franco Tongya0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sekou Koita33%
Franco Tongya33%
Ousmane Diabate33%
Adama Malouda Traoré0%
Pedro Pereira0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
Oğulcan Ülgün0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Abdurrahim Dursun0%
Žan Žužek0%
Erzurumspor FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nihad Mujakić33%
Nariman Akhundzade33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s squad is €11m less valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€15m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s attack is €6m less valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€4m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s midfield is €2m less valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€5m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s defence is €3m less valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€5m vs €8m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Konyaspor