Getafe vs Alaves Result & Analysis

The contest between Getafe and Alaves is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home victory. Home win probability sits at 38%, a draw at 31%, and an away win at 30%. The expected total goals is 2.3, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% chance. Getafe, playing at home against a similarly strong side, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Alaves, on the road against a comparable opponent, averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (89.5%), Over 2.5 cards (87.0%), Under 11.5 corners (85.6%), Under 3.5 goals (80.6%), Over 21.5 fouls (79.6%), Under 10.5 corners (77.3%), and Over 3.5 cards (72.6%). Each selection is presented with its probability, and the model’s favourite result remains a home win.

After a string of two defeats, Getafe’s recent form saw a rebound that set the stage for the home win predicted by the model. The model called a Home win with a 38% probability, and the result matched the forecast as Getafe edged Alaves 2-0. The model’s other selections also proved accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 89.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 85.6%, Under 3.5 at 80.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.6%, Under 10.5 corners at 77.3%, and Over 3.5 cards at 72.6%. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 and the 2.3 expected total goals were not reached, but the overall call was spot on.