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Ægir vs Grindavik Result & Analysis

Date: 22/06/2023
Time: 19:15
Final 1-3
Ægir
Ægir
Vs
31%
26%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grindavik
Grindavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ægir win✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grindavik win✓ Hit
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L22D13L13L13L01L12LH·FJO05/05A·NJA11/05A·THR21/05H·SEL26/05A·THO02/06H·IA 09/06A·GRO15/06
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.862.140.331.671.252.50
vs Stronger (7)0.862.140.331.671.252.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrindavikGrindavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-535L43W13L20W00D10W20W03L22D01LA·SEL03/09H·HK 10/09A·GRO17/09A·IA 05/05H·GRO12/05H·NJA22/05A·VES27/05H·AFT01/06A·LEI10/06H·FJO15/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.721.761.801.471.642.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.781.871.751.751.822.00
vs Weaker (6)1.501.332.000.331.002.33
Clean sheet %24% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
Ægir goals ↓
Grindavik goals →
01234
05.6%6.6%6.5%3.7%1.6%
15.2%12%9.1%5.2%2.2%
24.4%7.5%6.4%3.6%1.5%
32.1%3.5%3.0%1.7%0.7%
40.7%1.2%1.0%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ægir goals (down), columns = Grindavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Ægir is 0.86 points worse than Grindavik in terms of average points per game (0.41 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Ægir is 0.18 goals worse than Grindavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Ægir is 1.32 goals worse than Grindavik in terms of goals conceded per game (3.05 vs 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ÆgirÆgir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W11D11D01L00D00DH·FJO05/05A·NJA11/05A·THR21/05H·SEL26/05A·THO02/06H·IA 09/06A·GRO15/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.330.330.750.75
vs Stronger (7)0.570.570.330.330.750.75
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrindavikGrindavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D21W11D20W00D00D10W02L10W01LA·SEL03/09H·HK 10/09A·GRO17/09A·IA 05/05H·GRO12/05H·NJA22/05A·VES27/05H·AFT01/06A·LEI10/06H·FJO15/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.660.600.601.070.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.870.740.580.751.180.73
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.670.000.670.67
Clean sheet %48% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ægir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ÆgirÆgir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L02L12L01L12LH·FJO05/05A·NJA11/05A·THR21/05H·SEL26/05A·THO02/06H·IA 09/06A·GRO15/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.570.001.330.501.75
vs Stronger (7)0.291.570.001.330.501.75
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrindavikGrindavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L22D02L00D00D10W10W01L12L00DA·SEL03/09H·HK 10/09A·GRO17/09A·IA 05/05H·GRO12/05H·NJA22/05A·VES27/05H·AFT01/06A·LEI10/06H·FJO15/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.101.200.870.571.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.911.131.171.000.641.27
vs Weaker (6)0.831.001.330.330.331.67
Clean sheet %38% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ægir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ÆGI wins
0
Draws
0
GRI wins

Head-to-head

Ægir vs Grindavik · H/A from ÆGI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/06/23AGrotta Vs ÆGI2-1
09/06/23HÆGI Vs IA Akranes0-1
02/06/23AThor Akureyri Vs ÆGI3-1
26/05/23HÆGI Vs Selfoss1-3
21/05/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs ÆGI3-1
11/05/23ANjardvik Vs ÆGI2-2
05/05/23HÆGI Vs Fjolnir0-1

GrindavikGrindavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/06/23HGRI Vs Fjolnir0-1
10/06/23ALeiknir R. Vs GRI2-2
01/06/23HGRI Vs Afturelding0-3
27/05/23AVestri Vs GRI0-2
22/05/23HGRI Vs Njardvik1-0
12/05/23HGRI Vs Grotta0-0
05/05/23AIA Akranes Vs GRI0-2
17/09/22AGrotta Vs GRI3-1
10/09/22HGRI Vs HK Kopavogur4-3
03/09/22ASelfoss Vs GRI5-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ægir
Ægir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.14
HomeLLL0.00
AwayDLLL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.002.003.75
Over 1.5 %71%33%100%
Over 2.5 %71%33%100%
Over 3.5 %57%33%75%
Scored0.860.331.25
Conceded2.141.672.50
BTTS71%33%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Grindavik
Grindavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.31
HomeWDWLL1.67
AwayLLWWD0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%47%21%
AVG goals3.483.273.71
Over 1.5 %86%73%100%
Over 2.5 %62%67%57%
Over 3.5 %41%40%43%
Scored1.721.801.64
Conceded1.761.472.07
BTTS66%53%79%
Clean Sheet24%33%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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