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Ægir vs Leiknir R. Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 0-5
Ægir
Ægir
Vs
19%
20%
62%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ægir win✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. win✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W15L22D13L23L04L22D27L05L05LH·NJA16/07A·FJO21/07H·THR27/07A·SEL02/08H·THO11/08A·IA 16/08H·GRO21/08A·GRI25/08H·VES02/09A·AFT09/09
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
3.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.951.002.401.183.45
vs Stronger (21)1.102.951.002.401.183.45
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %5% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W32W10W51W21W01L12L20W42W12LA·SEL16/07H·THR20/07H·THO29/07A·IA 02/08H·GRO11/08A·GRI16/08H·VES20/08A·AFT26/08A·NJA02/09H·FJO09/09
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.732.131.731.871.732.40
vs Stronger (22)1.732.271.552.091.912.45
vs Similar (7)1.571.712.001.001.252.25
vs Weaker (1)3.002.003.002.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.5%
Under 1.5
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.0%
Under 2.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.8%
Under 3.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.5%
2-3
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
Ægir goals ↓
Leiknir R. goals →
01234
02.8%4.6%6.6%5.5%3.5%
12.1%7.9%9.0%7.5%4.7%
21.9%4.9%6.1%5.1%3.2%
30.9%2.2%2.7%2.3%1.4%
40.3%0.7%0.9%0.8%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ægir goals (down), columns = Leiknir R. goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Ægir is 1.05 points worse than Leiknir R. in terms of average points per game (0.41 vs 1.46).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Ægir is 0.95 goals worse than Leiknir R. in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Ægir is 1.30 goals worse than Leiknir R. in terms of goals conceded per game (3.05 vs 1.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ÆgirÆgir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L12L01L02L02L22D02L03L01LH·NJA16/07A·FJO21/07H·THR27/07A·SEL02/08H·THO11/08A·IA 16/08H·GRO21/08A·GRI25/08H·VES02/09A·AFT09/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.140.601.200.551.09
vs Stronger (21)0.571.140.601.200.551.09
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W00D21W00D01L00D10W21W12LA·SEL16/07H·THR20/07H·THO29/07A·IA 02/08H·GRO11/08A·GRI16/08H·VES20/08A·AFT26/08A·NJA02/09H·FJO09/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.030.600.870.671.20
vs Stronger (22)0.681.140.731.000.641.27
vs Similar (7)0.430.570.000.000.751.00
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ægir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ÆgirÆgir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D13L10W12L21W02L00D25L02L04LH·NJA16/07A·FJO21/07H·THR27/07A·SEL02/08H·THO11/08A·IA 16/08H·GRO21/08A·GRI25/08H·VES02/09A·AFT09/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.521.810.401.200.642.36
vs Stronger (21)0.521.810.401.200.642.36
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D10W30W21W00D12L10W21W00DA·SEL16/07H·THR20/07H·THO29/07A·IA 02/08H·GRO11/08A·GRI16/08H·VES20/08A·AFT26/08A·NJA02/09H·FJO09/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.101.131.001.071.20
vs Stronger (22)1.051.140.821.091.271.18
vs Similar (7)1.141.142.001.000.501.25
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ægir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Ægir and Leiknir R. have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Ægir and Leiknir R. have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Ægir and Leiknir R. have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Ægir and Leiknir R. have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ÆGI wins
0
Draws
1
LR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ægir vs Leiknir R. · H/A from ÆGI
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/23ALeiknir R. Vs ÆGI3-2

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/23AAfturelding Vs ÆGI5-0
02/09/23HÆGI Vs Vestri0-5
25/08/23AGrindavik Vs ÆGI7-2
21/08/23HÆGI Vs Grotta2-2
16/08/23AIA Akranes Vs ÆGI4-0
11/08/23HÆGI Vs Thor Akureyri2-3
02/08/23ASelfoss Vs ÆGI3-1
27/07/23HÆGI Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-2
21/07/23AFjolnir Vs ÆGI5-1
16/07/23HÆGI Vs Njardvik1-0

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/23HLR Vs Fjolnir1-2
02/09/23ANjardvik Vs LR2-4
26/08/23AAfturelding Vs LR0-2
20/08/23HLR Vs Vestri1-2
16/08/23AGrindavik Vs LR1-0
11/08/23HLR Vs Grotta2-1
02/08/23AIA Akranes Vs LR1-5
29/07/23HLR Vs Thor Akureyri1-0
20/07/23HLR Vs Throttur Reykjavik3-2
16/07/23ASelfoss Vs LR2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ægir
Ægir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.43
HomeWDLDL0.50
AwayLLLLL0.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%10%9%
AVG goals4.053.404.64
Over 1.5 %86%70%100%
Over 2.5 %86%70%100%
Over 3.5 %76%70%82%
Scored1.101.001.18
Conceded2.952.403.45
BTTS71%60%82%
Clean Sheet5%10%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.10
HomeWWWLL1.21
AwayWWLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%33%29%
AVG goals3.603.503.71
Over 1.5 %79%79%79%
Over 2.5 %73%79%67%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.461.461.46
Conceded2.152.042.25
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet17%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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