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Ægir vs Völsungur Result & Analysis

Date: 13/08/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 0-2
Ægir
Ægir
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Völsungur
Völsungur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match between Ægir and Völsungur is expected to be an entertaining one, with Ægir looking to break their recent slump after five consecutive defeats. They've struggled to find the back of the net, scoring just 0.83 goals on average at home against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.5 goals. Völsungur, on the other hand, has shown resilience, coming off a win after a mixed run of results.

Ægir are the favoured team, with a 42% chance of winning at home, while Völsungur have a 32% chance of taking all three points. A draw is also possible, with a 26% probability. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, which has a probability of 11.9%. Ægir are likely to score more than 1.5 goals, according to the model, with an 82.5% chance. The home win percentage is 42%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 32%. The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests Over 1.5 goals with a probability of 82.5%.

Results analysis

The surprise of the day came from Völsungur, who secured an away win against Ægir, overturning the pre-match favourite's expectations. Ægir's winless streak extended to six games, following a 0-2 defeat. The model's selection, a Home win, was incorrect, given the final score of 0-2. The model's call was wrong, as Völsungur pulled off the upset. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals hit, as the total goals scored was indeed above 1.5. The model's selection had a pre-match probability of 42%, while Over 1.5 had a 82.5% chance of occurring.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ægir win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.38
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
Dafabet
2.42
William Hil
2.40
Betano
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.83
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.06
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Dafabet
3.90
Völsungur win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.36
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.45
Dafabet
2.43
Betano
2.42
Unibet
2.40
BetVictor
2.38

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-704L13L12L20W71W21W03L16L01L23LA·STJ17/02A·KEF27/02A·HK 07/03H·REY28/03A·ÁRB05/04A·KA 14/05H·BRE12/06A·GRO18/07H·NJA28/07A·IR 06/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.373.001.142.501.563.44
vs Stronger (30)1.373.001.142.501.563.44
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VölsungurVölsungur

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1021W04L010L15L22D16L01L20W13L32WA·FYL06/09H·HK 13/09A·THO18/02H·IA 22/02H·KOR28/03H·AFT11/07A·THR18/07H·GRI24/07A·FYL29/07H·HK 09/08
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
3.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.532.701.692.381.363.07
vs Stronger (22)1.642.681.832.171.403.30
vs Similar (8)1.252.751.253.001.252.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.5%
@ 1.05-5.0%
Under 1.5
17.5%
@ 7.40+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Under
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.30-10.9%
Under 2.5
40.2%
@ 3.13+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.4%
@ 1.79-14.5%
Under 3.5
62.6%
@ 1.93+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
SBO
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.98
Betano
1.93
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.8%
@ 1.29-8.6%
No
37.2%
@ 3.22+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
No
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.30
William Hil
3.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 8.41+6.7%
2-1
9.0%@ 9.17+4.3%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.18+3.0%
1-0
6.5%@ 15.71+3.7%
2-2
6.4%@ 9.13+1.7%
2-0
6.3%@ 16.73+3.7%
0-0
5.6%@ 24.32+3.8%
0-1
5.4%@ 15.57+2.6%
Ægir goals ↓
Völsungur goals →
01234
05.6%5.4%4.6%2.2%0.8%
16.5%12%7.7%3.7%1.3%
26.3%9.0%6.4%3.1%1.1%
33.5%5.0%3.6%1.7%0.6%
41.5%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ægir goals (down), columns = Völsungur goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Ægir is 1.67 points worse than Völsungur in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Ægir is 0.70 goals worse than Völsungur in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Ægir is 2.68 goals worse than Völsungur in terms of goals conceded per game (4.57 vs 1.89).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ÆgirÆgir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D12L00D21W21W02L04L01L01LA·STJ17/02A·KEF27/02A·HK 07/03H·REY28/03A·ÁRB05/04A·KA 14/05H·BRE12/06A·GRO18/07H·NJA28/07A·IR 06/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.470.361.360.621.56
vs Stronger (30)0.501.470.361.360.621.56
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VölsungurVölsungur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
80-801L02L08L11D01L14L00D10W00D11DA·FYL06/09H·HK 13/09A·THO18/02H·IA 22/02H·KOR28/03H·AFT11/07A·THR18/07H·GRI24/07A·FYL29/07H·HK 09/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.270.691.190.501.36
vs Stronger (22)0.731.410.831.080.601.80
vs Similar (8)0.250.880.251.500.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ægir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ÆgirÆgir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L13L00D20W50W00D01L12L00D22DA·STJ17/02A·KEF27/02A·HK 07/03H·REY28/03A·ÁRB05/04A·KA 14/05H·BRE12/06A·GRO18/07H·NJA28/07A·IR 06/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.530.791.140.941.88
vs Stronger (30)0.871.530.791.140.941.88
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Völsungur) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VölsungurVölsungur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W02L02L04L21W02L01L10W13L21WA·FYL06/09H·HK 13/09A·THO18/02H·IA 22/02H·KOR28/03H·AFT11/07A·THR18/07H·GRI24/07A·FYL29/07H·HK 09/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.431.001.190.861.71
vs Stronger (22)0.911.271.001.080.801.50
vs Similar (8)1.001.881.001.501.002.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ægir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ægir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ægir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Völsungur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.5%1.05
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--5.0%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Ægir and Völsungur have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Ægir and Völsungur have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Ægir and Völsungur have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Ægir and Völsungur have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ÆGI wins
0
Draws
0
VÖL wins

Head-to-head

Ægir vs Völsungur · H/A from ÆGI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ÆgirÆgir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/26AIR Reykjavik Vs ÆGI3-2
28/07/26HÆGI Vs Njardvik0-1
18/07/26AGrotta Vs ÆGI6-1
12/06/26HÆGI Vs Breidablik0-3
14/05/26AKA Akureyri Vs ÆGI1-2
05/04/26AÁrbær Vs ÆGI1-7
28/03/26HÆGI Vs Reynir2-0
07/03/26AHK Kopavogur Vs ÆGI2-1
27/02/26AKeflavik Vs ÆGI3-1
17/02/26AStjarnan Vs ÆGI4-0

VölsungurVölsungur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26HVÖL Vs HK Kopavogur3-2
29/07/26AFylkir Vs VÖL3-1
24/07/26HVÖL Vs Grindavik2-0
18/07/26AThrottur Reykjavik Vs VÖL1-0
11/07/26HVÖL Vs Afturelding1-6
28/03/26HVÖL Vs Kormákur / Hvöt2-2
22/02/26HVÖL Vs IA Akranes1-5
18/02/26AThor Akureyri Vs VÖL10-0
13/09/25HVÖL Vs HK Kopavogur0-4
06/09/25AFylkir Vs VÖL1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ægir
Ægir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.59
HomeDLWLL0.53
AwayLWWLL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%12%20%
AVG goals4.113.354.75
Over 1.5 %89%76%100%
Over 2.5 %86%71%100%
Over 3.5 %70%59%80%
Scored1.271.001.50
Conceded2.842.353.25
BTTS68%53%80%
Clean Sheet5%12%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Völsungur
Völsungur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.00
HomeLDLWW1.20
AwayLWLLL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%21%
AVG goals4.134.154.11
Over 1.5 %95%100%89%
Over 2.5 %72%75%68%
Over 3.5 %62%65%58%
Scored1.441.701.16
Conceded2.692.452.95
BTTS74%75%74%
Clean Sheet8%15%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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