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Glentoran vs Bangor Prediction & Stats

Date: 12/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Glentoran
Glentoran
Vs
57%
25%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bangor
Bangor
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Glentoran are tipped to win, with a 59 % chance of triumph, a 25 % chance of a draw and a 16 % chance of a Bangor victory. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, and the model’s top scoreline is 1-0, a 12 % probability. Glentoran’s home form shows they average 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Bangor, on the road, averages 0.92 scored and 1.92 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0 %), Under 6.5 (98.2 %), Under 5.5 (95.0 %), Away under 2.5 goals (94.9 %), Home +2 handicap (94.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (89.2 %) and Under 4.5 (87.5 %). The model’s selection for a home win is the most likely outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Glentoran win
57.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bangor win
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D11D21W50W00D26L20W12L20W12LH·COL21/03H·LIN28/03A·CLI07/04H·DUN11/04H·LAR17/04A·COL25/04H·LIM08/08A·LIN15/08A·BAL21/08H·CRU29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.101.871.002.071.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.741.371.781.331.701.40
vs Weaker (11)2.360.642.000.502.800.80
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangorBangor

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L10W11D00D00D03L24L03L02L04LH·GLE10/03A·DUN21/03A·CRU07/04H·GLE11/04A·BAL15/04H·CAR18/04H·POR25/04H·CLI15/08A·DUN22/08H·CAR29/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.870.672.000.931.73
vs Stronger (4)0.752.500.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (26)0.811.770.712.070.921.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.2%
Glentoran goals ↓
Bangor goals →
01234
08.3%5.2%2.7%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.8%1.4%0.3%
211%9.7%4.2%1.2%0.3%
36.5%5.7%2.5%0.7%0.2%
42.9%2.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Glentoran goals (down), columns = Bangor goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.03
Ballymena United
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Limavady United
0.96
Glentoran is 1.00 points better than Bangor in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Larne
1.92
Glentoran
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Limavady United
1.02
Glentoran is 0.84 goals better than Bangor in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Limavady United
2.22
Glentoran is 0.71 goals better than Bangor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Glentoran or Draw
82.8%
Avg Implied -
57%
25%
17%
covers Glentoran + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Glentoran or Bangor
74.5%
Avg Implied -
57%
25%
17%
covers Glentoran + Bangor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bangor
42.7%
Avg Implied -
57%
25%
17%
covers Draw + Bangor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Glentoran over/under 0.5
Over
82.8%
Under
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5
Over
52.4%
Under
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5
Over
25.8%
Under
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 3.5
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 0.5
Over
58.1%
Under
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5
Over
21.6%
Under
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Glentoran, so a minus line means Glentoran give that many goals of a start and Bangor receive them. At -1, Glentoran must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Glentoran win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Glentoran)
Glentoran -2
15.1%
Draw -2
18.1%
Bangor +2
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Glentoran)
Glentoran -1
33.2%
Draw -1
24.1%
Bangor +1
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Glentoran)
Glentoran +1
82.8%
Draw +1
11.4%
Bangor -1
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Glentoran)
Glentoran +2
94.2%
Draw +2
4.4%
Bangor -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L20W30W00D02L00D01L00D01LH·COL21/03H·LIN28/03A·CLI07/04H·DUN11/04H·LAR17/04A·COL25/04H·LIM08/08A·LIN15/08A·BAL21/08H·CRU29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.530.600.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.580.330.780.600.40
vs Weaker (11)1.000.360.830.331.200.40
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangorBangor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W00D00D02L12L02L01L01LH·GLE10/03A·DUN21/03A·CRU07/04H·GLE11/04A·BAL15/04H·CAR18/04H·POR25/04H·CLI15/08A·DUN22/08H·CAR29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.930.200.930.530.93
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (26)0.380.920.211.000.580.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
Under 0.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.7%
Under 1.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.6%
Under 2.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.7%
Under
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 HT
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W01L20W00D24L20W11D20W11DH·COL21/03H·LIN28/03A·CLI07/04H·DUN11/04H·LAR17/04A·COL25/04H·LIM08/08A·LIN15/08A·BAL21/08H·CRU29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.601.330.401.270.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.260.791.440.561.101.00
vs Weaker (11)1.360.271.170.171.600.40
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangorBangor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L00D00D01L12L01L01L03LH·GLE10/03A·DUN21/03A·CRU07/04H·GLE11/04A·BAL15/04H·CAR18/04H·POR25/04H·CLI15/08A·DUN22/08H·CAR29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.930.471.070.400.80
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.001.000.671.67
vs Similar (26)0.420.850.501.070.330.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.4%
Under 0.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.9%
Under 1.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.5%
Under 2.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.1%
Under
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 2H
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 2H
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
34.3%
Under
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.3%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.8%-------
Under 6.598.2%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals95.2%-------
Under 5.594.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.2%-------
Home +2 handicap94.2%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals93.8%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals89.8%-------
Under 4.587.4%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals86.4%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals86.1%-------
Home or Draw82.8%-------
Home +1 handicap82.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals82.8%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals79.4%-------
Away under 1.5 goals78.4%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals77.5%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals75.5%-------
Over 1.574.9%-------
Home or Away74.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals74.2%-------
Under 3.573.0%-------
Away under 0.5 HT goals72.7%-------
Home over 0.5 2H goals72.1%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals71.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
LU (5)
€0m
Glentoran and Bangor have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
Glentoran and Bangor have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
Glentoran and Bangor have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
Glentoran and Bangor have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
GLE wins
1
Draws
0
BAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Glentoran vs Bangor · H/A from GLE
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/26ABangor Vs GLE0-4
28/11/25ABangor Vs GLE1-1
16/08/25HGLE Vs Bangor1-0

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HGLE Vs Crusaders FC1-2
21/08/26ABallymena United Vs GLE0-2
15/08/26ALinfield Vs GLE2-1
08/08/26HGLE Vs Limavady United2-0
25/04/26AColeraine FC Vs GLE6-2
17/04/26HGLE Vs Larne0-0
11/04/26HGLE Vs Dungannon Swifts5-0
07/04/26ACliftonville FC Vs GLE1-2
28/03/26HGLE Vs Linfield1-1
21/03/26HGLE Vs Coleraine FC1-1

BangorBangor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HBAN Vs Carrick Rangers0-4
22/08/26ADungannon Swifts Vs BAN2-0
15/08/26HBAN Vs Cliftonville FC0-3
25/04/26HBAN Vs Portadown2-4
18/04/26HBAN Vs Carrick Rangers0-3
15/04/26ABallymena United Vs BAN0-0
11/04/26HBAN Vs Glenavon FC0-0
07/04/26ACrusaders FC Vs BAN1-1
21/03/26ADungannon Swifts Vs BAN0-1
10/03/26HBAN Vs Glentoran0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.82
HomeDWDWL1.84
AwayWWLLW1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%56%
AVG goals2.862.603.12
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.801.641.96
Conceded1.060.961.16
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet38%32%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Bangor
Bangor
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.08
HomeDLLLL1.04
AwayDWDDL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%30%26%
AVG goals2.903.152.61
Over 1.5 %80%85%74%
Over 2.5 %56%67%43%
Over 3.5 %38%44%30%
Scored1.161.191.13
Conceded1.741.961.48
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet18%11%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Coleraine FCColeraine FC410
75%
2.5
81+7
2.2
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.8
-
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts49
75%
2.2
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.50.8
-
4Crusaders FCCrusaders FC49
75%
2.2
86+2
3.5
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.01.5
-
5LinfieldLinfield49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
6GlentoranGlentoran46
50%
1.5
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
7Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC46
50%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena United33
33%
1.0
44+0
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.3
-
9LarneLarne11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
10Limavady UnitedLimavady United30
0%
0.0
16-5
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.0
-
11PortadownPortadown40
0%
0.0
28-6
2.5
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.52.0
-
12BangorBangor30
0%
0.0
09-9
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.03.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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