PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Glentoran vs Crusaders FC Result & Analysis

Date: 09/08/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 0-1
Glentoran
Glentoran
Vs
50%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Glentoran win✗ Miss
50.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC win✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L30W40W00D12L12L02L40W03LA·GLE05/03H·LOU09/03A·DUN16/03H·BAL23/03H·LIN06/04A·COL13/04H·LAR16/04A·CLI20/04H·CRU27/04H·COL01/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.273.001.120.931.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.411.412.431.000.701.70
vs Weaker (13)2.851.083.441.221.500.75
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Crusaders FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W12L21W20W04L31W32W02L31WA·NEW23/03A·LAR06/04H·LIN12/04H·CLI16/04A·COL20/04A·GLE27/04H·CAR01/05H·COL06/05A·CAE11/07H·CAE17/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.301.331.331.471.27
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.252.000.500.50
vs Similar (24)1.671.251.731.091.621.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
Glentoran goals ↓
Crusaders FC goals →
01234
05.4%4.5%3.6%1.5%0.5%
17.1%11%6.6%2.8%0.9%
27.5%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
34.7%5.9%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.2%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Glentoran goals (down), columns = Crusaders FC goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Linfield
2.24
Larne
1.66
Cliftonville FC
1.60
Glentoran
1.56
Dungannon Swifts
1.50
Portadown
1.47
Coleraine FC
1.45
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.24
Glenavon FC
1.21
Carrick Rangers
0.95
Loughgall
0.58
Annagh United
0.00
Glentoran is 0.18 points better than Crusaders FC in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.38).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Linfield
1.82
Cliftonville FC
1.55
Annagh United
1.50
Coleraine FC
1.40
Dungannon Swifts
1.34
Portadown
1.26
Glentoran
1.26
Ballymena United
1.24
Larne
1.21
Crusaders FC
1.21
Glenavon FC
1.11
Carrick Rangers
1.00
Loughgall
0.95
Glentoran is 0.05 goals better than Crusaders FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Linfield
0.74
Larne
0.87
Glentoran
1.00
Cliftonville FC
1.02
Portadown
1.18
Glenavon FC
1.24
Dungannon Swifts
1.26
Coleraine FC
1.30
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.42
Carrick Rangers
1.55
Loughgall
2.24
Annagh United
4.00
Glentoran is 0.38 goals better than Crusaders FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.38).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L20W10W00D00D01L01L10W02LA·GLE05/03H·LOU09/03A·DUN16/03H·BAL23/03H·LIN06/04A·COL13/04H·LAR16/04A·CLI20/04H·CRU27/04H·COL01/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.501.810.380.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.651.140.430.300.80
vs Weaker (13)1.850.312.330.330.750.25
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Crusaders FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W20W01L21W21W02L01LA·NEW23/03A·LAR06/04H·LIN12/04H·CLI16/04A·COL20/04A·GLE27/04H·CAR01/05H·COL06/05A·CAE11/07H·CAE17/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.530.600.400.60
vs Stronger (6)0.000.670.000.750.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.580.580.730.550.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W30W00D12L11D01L30W01LA·GLE05/03H·LOU09/03A·DUN16/03H·BAL23/03H·LIN06/04A·COL13/04H·LAR16/04A·CLI20/04H·CRU27/04H·COL01/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.771.190.750.500.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.760.761.290.570.400.90
vs Weaker (13)1.000.771.110.890.750.50
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Crusaders FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D11D00D03L10W11D00D30WA·NEW23/03A·LAR06/04H·LIN12/04H·CLI16/04A·COL20/04A·GLE27/04H·CAR01/05H·COL06/05A·CAE11/07H·CAE17/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.700.800.731.070.67
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.251.250.500.00
vs Similar (24)1.080.671.000.551.150.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crusaders FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
LOU (3)
€0m
Glentoran's squad is €1m more valuable than Crusaders FC's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
Glentoran and Crusaders FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
Glentoran and Crusaders FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LOU (2)
€0m
Glentoran and Crusaders FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
GLE wins
2
Draws
1
CF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Glentoran vs Crusaders FC · H/A from GLE
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24HGLE Vs Crusaders FC4-0
27/01/24ACrusaders FC Vs GLE1-2
28/10/23ACrusaders FC Vs GLE1-1
29/08/23HGLE Vs Crusaders FC2-2
29/04/23ACrusaders FC Vs GLE1-2
30/01/23HGLE Vs Crusaders FC2-0
03/12/22ACrusaders FC Vs GLE3-2
19/08/22HGLE Vs Crusaders FC3-1

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/24HGLE Vs Coleraine FC0-3
27/04/24HGLE Vs Crusaders FC4-0
20/04/24ACliftonville FC Vs GLE2-0
16/04/24HGLE Vs Larne1-2
13/04/24AColeraine FC Vs GLE2-1
06/04/24HGLE Vs Linfield0-0
23/03/24HGLE Vs Ballymena United4-0
16/03/24ADungannon Swifts Vs GLE0-3
09/03/24HGLE Vs Loughgall0-3
05/03/24AGlenavon FC Vs GLE0-0

Crusaders FCCrusaders FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/24HCF Vs Caernarfon Town3-1
11/07/24ACaernarfon Town Vs CF2-0
06/05/24HCF Vs Coleraine FC3-2
01/05/24HCF Vs Carrick Rangers3-1
27/04/24AGlentoran Vs CF4-0
20/04/24AColeraine FC Vs CF0-2
16/04/24HCF Vs Cliftonville FC2-1
12/04/24HCF Vs Linfield1-2
06/04/24ALarne Vs CF0-1
23/03/24ANewry City AFC Vs CF0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.68
HomeWDLWL1.89
AwayLDWLL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%39%
AVG goals3.123.632.52
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %66%78%52%
Over 3.5 %36%52%17%
Scored2.042.671.30
Conceded1.080.961.22
BTTS44%41%48%
Clean Sheet42%52%30%
Corners---
Cards6.007.005.00
Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.66
HomeLWWWW1.58
AwayWWWLL1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals2.902.813.00
Over 1.5 %84%88%79%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %32%23%42%
Scored1.661.621.71
Conceded1.241.191.29
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners14.006.0018.00
Cards6.674.008.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LinfieldLinfield3885
71%
2.2
6928+41
2.6
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.7
-
2Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4064
48%
1.6
6241+21
2.6
78%
45%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
3LarneLarne3863
45%
1.7
4633+13
2.1
66%
34%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
4GlentoranGlentoran3961
44%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
67%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
5Coleraine FCColeraine FC4058
40%
1.4
5652+4
2.7
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.3
-
6Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts3857
45%
1.5
5148+3
2.6
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.31.3
-
7PortadownPortadown3856
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.4
76%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.2
-
8Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3954
41%
1.4
4754-7
2.6
67%
51%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.4
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3847
37%
1.2
4754-7
2.7
66%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
10Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3846
32%
1.2
4247-5
2.3
71%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
11Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers4038
22%
0.9
4062-22
2.5
70%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.6
-
12LoughgallLoughgall3822
13%
0.6
3685-49
3.2
82%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

← all matches