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Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Glentoran
Glentoran
Vs
79%
15%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Glentoran win✗ Miss
79.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts win✗ Miss
6.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W22D11D10W12L10W20W22D10W42WH·CLI13/05A·GZI13/07H·GZI20/07A·GLE05/08H·LAR11/08A·LOU15/08A·BAL25/08H·CRU29/08H·CLI02/09A·NEW09/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.200.802.190.562.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.621.001.800.601.331.67
vs Weaker (14)2.860.572.830.502.880.62
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L20W44D23L02L12L22D12L31WH·NEW29/04A·ANN30/05H·ANN01/06A·LAR07/08H·LIN12/08A·CRU15/08H·LOU19/08H·COL25/08A·CAR01/09H·GLE09/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.031.641.790.752.25
vs Stronger (8)1.123.381.002.751.254.00
vs Similar (22)1.181.551.901.400.581.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.1%
Under 2.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.1%
Glentoran goals ↓
Dungannon Swifts goals →
01234
04.1%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.0%
18.7%7.0%2.1%0.5%0.1%
213%8.5%2.9%0.6%0.1%
311%7.6%2.6%0.6%0.1%
47.5%5.1%1.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Glentoran goals (down), columns = Dungannon Swifts goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.37
Linfield
2.24
Cliftonville FC
1.97
Crusaders FC
1.75
Glentoran
1.54
Institute
1.50
Carrick Rangers
1.28
Dungannon Swifts
1.24
Coleraine FC
1.23
Loughgall
1.18
Glenavon FC
0.97
Ballymena United
0.78
Newry City AFC
0.45
Glentoran is 0.30 points better than Dungannon Swifts in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.24).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Larne
2.24
Linfield
2.16
Cliftonville FC
2.11
Glentoran
1.90
Dungannon Swifts
1.68
Crusaders FC
1.68
Loughgall
1.58
Carrick Rangers
1.41
Coleraine FC
1.30
Glenavon FC
1.18
Ballymena United
0.78
Newry City AFC
0.68
Institute
0.50
Glentoran is 0.21 goals better than Dungannon Swifts in terms of goals scored per game (1.90 vs 1.68).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.55
Institute
1.00
Linfield
1.05
Cliftonville FC
1.13
Crusaders FC
1.15
Glentoran
1.18
Ballymena United
1.77
Loughgall
1.79
Coleraine FC
1.80
Dungannon Swifts
1.82
Glenavon FC
1.84
Carrick Rangers
1.92
Newry City AFC
2.61
Glentoran is 0.64 goals better than Dungannon Swifts in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.82).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L00D00D00D10W10W11D00D22DH·CLI13/05A·GZI13/07H·GZI20/07A·GLE05/08H·LAR11/08A·LOU15/08A·BAL25/08H·CRU29/08H·CLI02/09A·NEW09/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.431.250.120.860.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.561.000.100.501.33
vs Weaker (14)1.360.291.670.171.120.38
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D11D10W11D11D00D01L00D11D11DH·NEW29/04A·ANN30/05H·ANN01/06A·LAR07/08H·LIN12/08A·CRU15/08H·LOU19/08H·COL25/08A·CAR01/09H·GLE09/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.830.640.640.251.00
vs Stronger (8)0.501.500.500.750.502.25
vs Similar (22)0.410.590.700.600.170.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D10W12L00D10W11D10W20WH·CLI13/05A·GZI13/07H·GZI20/07A·GLE05/08H·LAR11/08A·LOU15/08A·BAL25/08H·CRU29/08H·CLI02/09A·NEW09/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.370.940.441.360.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.440.800.500.830.33
vs Weaker (14)1.500.291.170.331.750.25
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W33D12L02L11D22D01L20WH·NEW29/04A·ANN30/05H·ANN01/06A·LAR07/08H·LIN12/08A·CRU15/08H·LOU19/08H·COL25/08A·CAR01/09H·GLE09/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.201.001.140.501.25
vs Stronger (8)0.621.880.502.000.751.75
vs Similar (22)0.770.951.200.800.421.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.4%-------✗ Miss
Home win79.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
LOU (3)
€0m
Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LOU (2)
€0m
Glentoran and Dungannon Swifts have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
GLE wins
0
Draws
0
DS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts · H/A from GLE
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/23HGLE Vs Dungannon Swifts6-0
05/11/22HGLE Vs Dungannon Swifts3-1
23/08/22ADungannon Swifts Vs GLE0-1

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/23ANewry City AFC Vs GLE2-4
02/09/23HGLE Vs Cliftonville FC1-0
29/08/23HGLE Vs Crusaders FC2-2
25/08/23ABallymena United Vs GLE0-2
15/08/23ALoughgall Vs GLE0-1
11/08/23HGLE Vs Larne1-2
05/08/23AGlenavon FC Vs GLE0-1
20/07/23HGLE Vs Gzira United1-1
13/07/23AGzira United Vs GLE2-2
13/05/23HGLE Vs Cliftonville FC2-0

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/23HDS Vs Glenavon FC3-1
01/09/23ACarrick Rangers Vs DS2-1
25/08/23HDS Vs Coleraine FC2-2
19/08/23HDS Vs Loughgall1-2
15/08/23ACrusaders FC Vs DS2-0
12/08/23HDS Vs Linfield2-3
07/08/23ALarne Vs DS4-4
01/06/23HDS Vs Annagh United2-0
30/05/23AAnnagh United Vs DS2-1
29/04/23HDS Vs Newry City AFC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.00
HomeWDLDW2.12
AwayDWWWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %61%67%56%
AVG goals2.782.882.68
Over 1.5 %73%75%72%
Over 2.5 %55%58%52%
Over 3.5 %33%33%32%
Scored2.022.291.76
Conceded0.760.580.92
BTTS37%29%44%
Clean Sheet51%58%44%
Corners---
Cards6.007.005.00
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW0.81
HomeWLLDW1.26
AwayLLDLL0.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%39%8%
AVG goals3.112.873.33
Over 1.5 %87%83%92%
Over 2.5 %57%52%62%
Over 3.5 %34%30%38%
Scored0.941.170.71
Conceded2.171.702.62
BTTS40%39%42%
Clean Sheet13%17%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3890
71%
2.4
8521+64
2.8
79%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.20.6
-
2LinfieldLinfield3885
68%
2.2
8240+42
3.2
87%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.21.1
-
3Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC3875
61%
2.0
8043+37
3.2
87%
68%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.1
-
4Crusaders FCCrusaders FC4070
52%
1.8
6746+21
2.8
82%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.1
-
5GlentoranGlentoran3960
44%
1.5
7446+28
3.1
79%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
6Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3950
38%
1.3
5575-20
3.3
87%
64%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.41.9
-
7Coleraine FCColeraine FC4049
32%
1.2
5272-20
3.1
90%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
8Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts3847
34%
1.2
6469-5
3.5
89%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.71.8
-
9LoughgallLoughgall3845
34%
1.2
6068-8
3.4
84%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
10Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3837
29%
1.0
4570-25
3.0
76%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.8
-
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena United4031
22%
0.8
3171-40
2.5
68%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.8
-
12Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3817
11%
0.4
2699-73
3.3
82%
63%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.6
-
13InstituteInstitute23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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