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Glentoran vs Limavady United Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 14:00
Glentoran
Glentoran
Vs
53%
27%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Glentoran are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model favouring a win for the hosts. The expected goal tally sits at 2.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.9% chance. Glentoran’s home form is strong against weaker opposition, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded, while Limavady United, playing away against a stronger side, averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The probability spread is 53% for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 20% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (98.5%), Under 5.5 (95.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.6%), Home +2 handicap (93.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.8%), and Under 4.5 (88.7%). Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and the edge percentages are omitted where not provided.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Glentoran win
52.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Limavady United win
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D11D21W50W00D26L20W12L20W12LH·COL21/03H·LIN28/03A·CLI07/04H·DUN11/04H·LAR17/04A·COL25/04H·LIM08/08A·LIN15/08A·BAL21/08H·CRU29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.101.871.002.071.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.741.371.781.331.701.40
vs Weaker (11)2.360.642.000.502.800.80
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W41W10W00D51W20W01L02L12L02LA·NEW14/03A·H&W21/03A·LOU28/03H·H&W03/04A·NEW11/04A·ANN18/04H·QUE24/04A·GLE08/08H·CAR15/08H·LIN29/08← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.031.641.141.940.94
vs Stronger (12)1.171.080.601.201.571.00
vs Similar (12)1.921.001.000.802.571.14
vs Weaker (6)2.831.003.751.501.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
Glentoran goals ↓
Limavady United goals →
01234
09.2%6.1%3.3%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.4%1.6%0.4%
210%9.5%4.3%1.3%0.3%
35.6%5.1%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Glentoran goals (down), columns = Limavady United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.03
Ballymena United
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Limavady United
0.96
Glentoran is 1.06 points better than Limavady United in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 0.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Larne
1.92
Glentoran
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Limavady United
1.02
Glentoran is 0.90 goals better than Limavady United in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.02).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Limavady United
2.22
Glentoran is 1.22 goals better than Limavady United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Glentoran or Draw
80.0%
Avg Implied -
53%
27%
20%
covers Glentoran + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Glentoran or Limavady United
72.8%
Avg Implied -
53%
27%
20%
covers Glentoran + Limavady United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Limavady United
47.2%
Avg Implied -
53%
27%
20%
covers Draw + Limavady United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Glentoran over/under 0.5
Over
80.1%
Under
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5
Over
22.1%
Under
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 3.5
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 0.5
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 1.5
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 2.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Glentoran, so a minus line means Glentoran give that many goals of a start and Limavady United receive them. At -1, Glentoran must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Glentoran win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Glentoran)
Glentoran -2
12.3%
Draw -2
16.6%
Limavady United +2
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Glentoran)
Glentoran -1
28.9%
Draw -1
23.9%
Limavady United +1
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Glentoran)
Glentoran +1
80.0%
Draw +1
12.9%
Limavady United -1
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Glentoran)
Glentoran +2
92.9%
Draw +2
5.3%
Limavady United -2
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L20W30W00D02L00D01L00D01LH·COL21/03H·LIN28/03A·CLI07/04H·DUN11/04H·LAR17/04A·COL25/04H·LIM08/08A·LIN15/08A·BAL21/08H·CRU29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.530.600.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.580.330.780.600.40
vs Weaker (11)1.000.360.830.331.200.40
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W30W10W00D21W10W01L00D02L01LA·NEW14/03A·H&W21/03A·LOU28/03H·H&W03/04A·NEW11/04A·ANN18/04H·QUE24/04A·GLE08/08H·CAR15/08H·LIN29/08← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.470.710.501.000.44
vs Stronger (12)0.420.500.000.600.710.43
vs Similar (12)0.920.580.200.601.430.57
vs Weaker (6)1.670.172.250.250.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GlentoranGlentoran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W01L20W00D24L20W11D20W11DH·COL21/03H·LIN28/03A·CLI07/04H·DUN11/04H·LAR17/04A·COL25/04H·LIM08/08A·LIN15/08A·BAL21/08H·CRU29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.601.330.401.270.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.260.791.440.561.101.00
vs Weaker (11)1.360.271.170.171.600.40
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D00D00D30W10W00D02L10W01LA·NEW14/03A·H&W21/03A·LOU28/03H·H&W03/04A·NEW11/04A·ANN18/04H·QUE24/04A·GLE08/08H·CAR15/08H·LIN29/08← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.930.640.940.50
vs Stronger (12)0.750.580.600.600.860.57
vs Similar (12)1.000.420.800.201.140.57
vs Weaker (6)1.170.831.501.250.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Glentoran) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Glentoran over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glentoran over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.6%-------
Under 6.598.5%-------
Under 5.595.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals93.5%-------
Home +2 handicap92.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.9%-------
Under 4.588.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals80.1%-------
Home or Draw80.0%-------
Home +1 handicap80.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals77.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals76.9%-------
Under 3.575.2%-------
Over 1.573.0%-------
Home or Away72.8%-------
Away +2 handicap71.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
LU (5)
€0m
Glentoran's squad is €3m more valuable than Limavady United's (€3m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
Glentoran and Limavady United have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
Glentoran and Limavady United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
Glentoran's defence is €1m more valuable than Limavady United's (€1m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
GLE wins
0
Draws
0
LU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Glentoran vs Limavady United · H/A from GLE
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HGLE Vs Limavady United2-0

GlentoranGlentoran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HGLE Vs Crusaders FC1-2
21/08/26ABallymena United Vs GLE0-2
15/08/26ALinfield Vs GLE2-1
08/08/26HGLE Vs Limavady United2-0
25/04/26AColeraine FC Vs GLE6-2
17/04/26HGLE Vs Larne0-0
11/04/26HGLE Vs Dungannon Swifts5-0
07/04/26ACliftonville FC Vs GLE1-2
28/03/26HGLE Vs Linfield1-1
21/03/26HGLE Vs Coleraine FC1-1

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HLU Vs Linfield0-2
15/08/26HLU Vs Carrick Rangers1-2
08/08/26AGlentoran Vs LU2-0
24/04/26HLU Vs Queen's University0-1
18/04/26AAnnagh United Vs LU0-2
11/04/26ANewington Youth Vs LU1-5
03/04/26HLU Vs H&W Welders0-0
28/03/26ALoughgall Vs LU0-1
21/03/26AH&W Welders Vs LU1-4
14/03/26ANewington Youth Vs LU1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Glentoran
Glentoran
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.82
HomeDWDWL1.84
AwayWWLLW1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%56%
AVG goals2.862.603.12
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.801.641.96
Conceded1.060.961.16
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet38%32%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.94
HomeDDLLL1.75
AwayWWWWL2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%50%62%
AVG goals2.682.502.85
Over 1.5 %74%58%88%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.681.501.85
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS50%33%65%
Clean Sheet36%50%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Coleraine FCColeraine FC410
75%
2.5
81+7
2.2
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.8
-
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts49
75%
2.2
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.50.8
-
4Crusaders FCCrusaders FC49
75%
2.2
86+2
3.5
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.01.5
-
5LinfieldLinfield49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
6GlentoranGlentoran46
50%
1.5
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
7Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC46
50%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena United33
33%
1.0
44+0
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.3
-
9LarneLarne11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
10Limavady UnitedLimavady United30
0%
0.0
16-5
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.0
-
11PortadownPortadown40
0%
0.0
28-6
2.5
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.52.0
-
12BangorBangor30
0%
0.0
09-9
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.03.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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