Gloria Bistrița is expected to dominate Concordia, with a predicted home win. The home side's recent form is impressive, on a 3-game winning run after beating Unirea Slobozia 3-0. Concordia, however, is also on a 2-game winning run, having defeated Bihor Oradea 2-0. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance of an away win.
The expected total goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a 14.1% probability.
Gloria Bistrița has scored an average of 1.22 goals at home, while conceding 1.11 goals. When playing away, Concordia scores 1.1 goals and concedes 1.1 goals, both against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with the under 3.5 goals occurring with a 77.4% probability and the over 1.5 goals occurring with a 71% probability. The suggested picks are the under 3.5 goals (77.4%), the over 1.5 goals (71%), the home win (42%), the draw (30%), and the away win (28%).
In a stunning upset, Concordia emerged victorious with a 1-2 scoreline, overturning the pre-match favourite, Gloria Bistrița. The win extends Concordia's run of 3 games without defeat. The model's selection, a Home win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 40%. Concordia's away form has been impressive, scoring an average of 0.78 goals per game, while Gloria Bistrița's home form has been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game. The model's suggested picks included Under 3.5, which hit with a 77.4% probability, and Over 1.5, which also hit with a 71% probability.
Gloria Bistriţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.53 | 1.07 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.00 | 1.75 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.83 | 1.09 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.33 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.44 | 1.06 | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.25 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 2.75 | 1.25 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Concordia goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 10% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 10% | 14% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Gloria Bistriţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.83 | 0.48 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Gloria Bistriţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.67 | 0.87 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.00 | 0.61 | 1.10 | 0.60 | 0.92 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+12pp vs league) | |||||
Concordia| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.47 | 0.94 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.43 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.79 | 0.42 | 0.92 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 77.4% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +2.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 71.0% | 1.34 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +2.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 | A | 2-0 |
Gloria Bistriţa| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 07/08/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-2 |
Concordia| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |