Gloria Bistriţa’s recent win and a home record of 0.33 goals scored per game against weaker opposition set the stage for a clear favourite. The model rates a home win at 63%, a draw 23% and an away win 14%, making a victory the single most likely outcome. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, with the most probable scoreline 2-0, carrying a 12.1% chance. Gloria’s home form shows they concede 1.0 goal on average, while CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea, playing away against stronger teams, averages 1.86 goals conceded and 2.0 goals scored. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Home +2 handicap (95.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.2%), Under 5.5 (94.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (86.8%) and Home or Draw (86.2%). All selections are presented with their exact probabilities, and the model’s pick remains the home win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gloria Bistriţa win
63.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea win
13.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gloria Bistriţa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.03
1.19
0.94
1.71
1.14
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
0.50
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.65
0.91
1.55
0.73
1.75
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Ramnicu Valcea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.67
1.29
1.71
1.88
1.62
vs Stronger (13)
1.69
1.85
1.33
1.83
2.00
1.86
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.2%
Gloria Bistriţa goals ↓
CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
4.2%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.9%
1.0%
0.2%
3
7.8%
6.3%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
4
3.8%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gloria Bistriţa goals (down), columns = CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Gloria Bistriţa is 0.20 points better than CSM Ramnicu Valcea in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Gloria Bistriţa is 0.20 goals better than CSM Ramnicu Valcea in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Gloria Bistriţa is 0.20 goals better than CSM Ramnicu Valcea in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gloria Bistriţa or Draw
86.2%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers Gloria Bistriţa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa or CSM Ramnicu Valcea
76.9%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers Gloria Bistriţa + CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or CSM Ramnicu Valcea
36.9%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers Draw + CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5
Over
85.6%
Under
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5
Over
57.7%
Under
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 3.5
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 0.5
Over
55.3%
Under
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 1.5
Over
19.3%
Under
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 2.5
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gloria Bistriţa, so a minus line means Gloria Bistriţa give that many goals of a start and CSM Ramnicu Valcea receive them. At -1, Gloria Bistriţa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gloria Bistriţa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gloria Bistriţa)
Gloria Bistriţa -2
19.2%
Draw -2
19.8%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea +2
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Gloria Bistriţa)
Gloria Bistriţa -1
39.0%
Draw -1
24.1%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea +1
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Gloria Bistriţa)
Gloria Bistriţa +1
86.2%
Draw +1
9.4%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea -1
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Gloria Bistriţa)
Gloria Bistriţa +2
95.6%
Draw +2
3.4%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gloria Bistriţa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.44
0.31
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.39
0.64
0.18
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Ramnicu Valcea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.86
0.71
0.88
0.25
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
0.54
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.29
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gloria Bistriţa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
0.75
0.62
1.07
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.52
0.91
0.55
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (CSM Ramnicu Valcea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.20
0.43
1.00
1.00
1.38
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.31
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.57
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gloria Bistriţa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gloria Bistriţa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Gloria Bistriţa and CSM Ramnicu Valcea have a similar defence value (both €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
GB wins
0
Draws
0
CRV wins
Head-to-head
Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · H/A from GB
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →