Gloria Bistriţa vs CSM Satu Mare Result & Analysis

Gloria Bistrița are the clear favourites, with a 50 % chance of victory, 27 % for a draw and 24 % for CSM Satu Mare. The model predicts an average of 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7 % chance. Gloria Bistrița, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, typically scores 1.54 goals and concedes 0.77, while Satu Mare, on the road, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.83 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.8 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3 % with a 7 % edge), Under 5.5 (94.0 % with a 5 % edge) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (93.1 % with a 5 % edge). The match shape points to a tight, low-scoring affair dominated by Gloria Bistrița’s home advantage.

Gloria Bistrița’s win over CSM Satu Mare continued their recent run, extending the victory streak noted in their last five matches. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct, and the final 1-0 result matched the predicted outcome. The pre-match probability for the home win was 50%. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.0%, Under 5.5 at 94.0%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.7%. All picks were settled and each hit.