Göztepe is expected to emerge victorious, but Gençlerbirliği S.K. has shown resilience in their recent form. The visitors are on a 3-game winning run, having defeated Fenerbahçe 2-1 in their last outing, while Göztepe comes off a defeat to Samsunspor.
The model predicts a 58% chance of a home win, 25% chance of a draw, and 17% chance of an away win. The most likely match result is a home win, with an expected total of 2.6 goals and a most likely score of 1-1 (26% probability).
At home, Göztepe has scored 1.25 goals per game and conceded 0.25, while their opponents have been weaker. On the road, Gençlerbirliği S.K. has scored 1 goal per game and conceded 1.62, facing stronger opponents.
The model's selection includes Over 21.5 fouls (83.7%), Over 1.5 (74.7%), and Under 3.5 (73.2%). Göztepe has a 58% chance of winning, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 17% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Göztepe, the pre-match favourite with a 55 % chance of victory, fell short, losing 0-1 to Gençlerbirliği S.K. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was an away win. The match finished 0-1, confirming the away triumph. The model had predicted a home win with 55 % probability, but the actual outcome was the opposite. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0 %, Under 6.5 hit at 99.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.1 %, Under 5.5 hit at 96.8 %, and Away under 2.5 goals hit at 96.4 %. The game saw Göztepe come off a defeat, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. entered on a three-game winning streak.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Göztepe win✗ Miss
54.7%
Avg Implied 52.5% · @ 1.78
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Dafabet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.54
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.75
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.68
888Sport
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Gençlerbirliği S.K. win✓ Hit
19.0%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.45
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
5.25
888Sport
4.80
Unibet
4.80
1xBet
4.57
Pinnacle
4.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Göztepe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.13
1.43
0.93
0.94
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.33
1.00
2.50
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (23)
1.30
0.87
1.64
0.73
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.27
1.67
1.47
1.20
1.07
vs Stronger (11)
1.55
1.82
1.50
1.83
1.60
1.80
vs Similar (19)
1.37
0.95
1.78
1.22
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.6%
@ 1.29+2.2%
Under 1.5
25.4%
@ 3.38-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
888Sport
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.95-0.1%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.83+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.03
SBO
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.86
888Sport
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
@ 3.37-1.1%
Under 3.5
73.4%
@ 1.29+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.58
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.0%
@ 1.82-0.9%
No
50.0%
@ 1.89+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
888Sport
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
No
Betano
1.93
William Hil
1.91
888Sport
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 6.39+5.5%
1-0
11.3%@ 6.43+4.3%
2-0
10.6%@ 7.84+4.9%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.66+3.8%
0-0
8.5%@ 9.61+3.8%
3-0
6.0%@ 13.51+2.7%
0-1 ✓
5.6%@ 11.04+1.5%
3-1
5.5%@ 13.42+2.1%
Göztepe goals ↓
Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
5.6%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
1
11%
13%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
11%
9.7%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
6.0%
5.5%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.5%
2.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Göztepe goals (down), columns = Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Göztepe is 0.62 points better than Gençlerbirliği S.K. in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Göztepe is 0.18 goals better than Gençlerbirliği S.K. in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Göztepe is 0.44 goals better than Gençlerbirliği S.K. in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Göztepe is 4.9 percentage points worse than Gençlerbirliği S.K. in terms of average possession (38% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Göztepe
For 4.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.5 · Against 10.1 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
For 2.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.7 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Göztepe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.7
9.0
5.0
5.2
4.9
26.7
26.6
26.8
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
9.7
10.0
5.4
6.0
4.9
26.5
26.0
26.9
vs Similar (32)
9.1
9.6
8.7
4.8
5.0
4.6
26.9
27.4
26.5
vs Weaker (5)
9.2
11.0
8.0
5.8
4.0
7.0
25.8
22.5
28.0
% over line
45%
48%
42%
66%
70%
63%
88%
91%
85%
% under line
55%
52%
58%
34%
30%
37%
12%
9%
15%
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
3.9
4.2
3.6
25.9
25.7
26.1
vs Stronger (15)
9.8
10.6
8.9
3.9
3.5
4.3
24.3
23.4
25.4
vs Similar (31)
9.1
9.3
8.9
4.1
4.6
3.6
28.0
27.6
28.4
vs Weaker (4)
11.8
8.0
13.0
2.5
4.0
2.0
17.8
16.0
18.3
% over line
51%
52%
50%
52%
56%
48%
71%
70%
73%
% under line
49%
48%
50%
48%
44%
52%
29%
30%
27%
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.2
Samsunspor
9.8
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.3
Çorum FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Eyüpspor
9.1
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.8
Erzurumspor FK
8.4
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Fenerbahçe
5.7
Göztepe
5.1
Konyaspor
5.1
Çorum FK
5.0
Alanyaspor
5.0
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Amed
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Başakşehir
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Samsunspor
4.6
Galatasaray
4.5
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.2
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.8
Göztepe
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.3
Rizespor
26.1
Eyüpspor
26.0
Samsunspor
25.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.3
Fenerbahçe
25.2
Konyaspor
24.9
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.6
Çorum FK
23.0
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.3%
@ 1.99-1.5%
Under 9.5
54.7%
@ 1.75+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.02
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.2%
@ 1.36+0.5%
Under 3.5
32.8%
@ 2.72-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
Under
Superbet
2.72
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.5%
Under 21.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Göztepe or Draw✗ Miss
84.9%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.19
Edge
+6.1%
55%
26%
19%
covers Göztepe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Göztepe or Gençlerbirliği S.K.✓ Hit
73.3%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.1%
55%
26%
19%
covers Göztepe + Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Draw or Gençlerbirliği S.K.✓ Hit
41.8%
Avg Implied 46.7% · @ 2.01
Edge
-5.0%
55%
26%
19%
covers Draw + Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.20
888Sport
2.05
Unibet
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Göztepe over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.4%
@ 1.16+0.4%
Under
19.6%
@ 4.65-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
888Sport
1.15
Under
888Sport
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Göztepe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.5%
@ 1.88-1.2%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.86+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
BetVictor
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
888Sport
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Göztepe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 3.80-2.1%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.23+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.21
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Göztepe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 8.79-2.3%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
9.10
Superbet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.1%
@ 1.52-10.0%
Under
48.9%
@ 2.39+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Unibet
1.54
888Sport
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 3.62-9.7%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.26+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.78
888Sport
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
1xBet
3.72
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.19-5.7%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.05+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
12.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 24.62-3.3%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
888Sport
29.00
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Göztepe, so a minus line means Göztepe give that many goals of a start and Gençlerbirliği S.K. receive them. At -1, Göztepe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Göztepe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Göztepe)Actual: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Göztepe -2
14.2%
@ 6.38+0.1%
Draw -2
18.5%
@ 5.07+0.7%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. +2
67.3%
@ 1.32-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Superbet
6.20
10Bet
5.50
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap -1 (Göztepe)Actual: Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Göztepe -1
32.7%
@ 3.02+3.0%
Draw -1
25.6%
@ 3.47-0.3%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. +1
41.8%
@ 2.02-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.15
Superbet
3.10
Bet365
3.10
10Bet
2.75
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.55
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Away
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Handicap +1 (Göztepe)Actual: Draw
Göztepe +1
84.9%
@ 1.18+9.9%
Draw +1
10.6%
@ 5.67-5.0%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. -1
4.5%
@ 9.47-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Draw
10Bet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Superbet
5.65
Away
Betfair
11.00
10Bet
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.60
Handicap +2 (Göztepe)Actual: Göztepe
Göztepe +2
95.5%
@ 1.04+5.5%
Draw +2
3.6%
@ 13.50-3.4%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. -2
0.9%
@ 31.00-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Göztepe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.79
0.36
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.39
1.00
0.27
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.80
0.73
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.00
0.50
0.83
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
1.00
0.67
0.10
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.39+0.2%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 2.80-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
Superbet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Betano
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.6%
@ 2.81-3.5%
Under 1.5
70.4%
@ 1.39+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.03
Betano
2.92
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
William Hil
2.88
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.2%
@ 7.31-3.6%
Under 2.5
90.8%
@ 1.06+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Under
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.1%
@ 1.77-3.5%
Under
50.9%
@ 1.96+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Under
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.02
Pinnacle
1.96
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Göztepe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 4.85-5.2%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.14+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.90
Superbet
4.70
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Göztepe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 12.88-4.5%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.0%
@ 2.64-1.2%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.43+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.64
Unibet
2.63
Superbet
2.57
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Unibet
1.41
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.46-4.1%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.90
Superbet
9.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 40.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Göztepe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.64
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.48
0.64
0.45
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
0.82
1.00
1.00
1.20
0.60
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.47
0.78
0.56
0.90
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.7%
@ 1.24+2.5%
Under 0.5
22.3%
@ 3.73-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Under
Betano
3.85
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 2.13-1.4%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.66+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Unibet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 4.66-1.4%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.16+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.8%
@ 1.56+0.1%
Under
40.2%
@ 2.31-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Göztepe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.5%
@ 3.62-1.1%
Under
75.5%
@ 1.24+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Göztepe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 9.40-5.0%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
9.70
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.7%
@ 2.15-1.3%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.62+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 7.12-2.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.06+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 18.50-3.5%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.1%
1.09
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
888Sport
1.11
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.06
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.14
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
84.9%
1.19
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
84.9%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.15
+9.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
83.9%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.25
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.16
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
888Sport
1.15
+0.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.24
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.6%
1.23
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.2%
1.26
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.5%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.6%
1.29
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.4%
1.29
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.3%
1.26
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.39
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Göztepe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Efkan Bekiroğlu33%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
Alex Matos33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
André Henrique0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Matos67%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
André Henrique33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Henrique33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Henrique33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adama Malouda Traoré33%
Sekou Koita33%
Oğulcan Ülgün33%
Franco Tongya33%
Pedro Pereira0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Abdurrahim Dursun0%
Žan Žužek0%
Ousmane Diabate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pedro Pereira33%
Dimitris Goutas33%
Oğulcan Ülgün33%
Ousmane Diabate33%
Adama Malouda Traoré0%
Sekou Koita0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Abdurrahim Dursun0%
Žan Žužek0%
Franco Tongya0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sekou Koita33%
Oğulcan Ülgün33%
Abdurrahim Dursun33%
Ousmane Diabate33%
Adama Malouda Traoré0%
Pedro Pereira0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Žan Žužek0%
Franco Tongya0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sekou Koita33%
Franco Tongya33%
Ousmane Diabate33%
Adama Malouda Traoré0%
Pedro Pereira0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
Oğulcan Ülgün0%
İrfan Can Eğribayat0%
Abdurrahim Dursun0%
Žan Žužek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Göztepe's squad is €47m more valuable than Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s (€61m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Göztepe's attack is €26m more valuable than Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s (€30m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Göztepe's midfield is €14m more valuable than Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s (€19m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Göztepe's defence is €7m more valuable than Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s (€12m vs €5m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor