This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.53
1.56
1.38
1.71
1.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.75
1.00
1.50
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.45
1.58
1.42
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (4)
3.00
0.75
2.00
1.00
4.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.0%
Under 1.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.2%
Under 2.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.1%
No
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
2-0 ✓
4.4%
Grasshoppers goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
4.2%
4.6%
2.8%
1.3%
1
4.1%
9.9%
8.1%
4.9%
2.2%
2
4.4%
7.9%
7.1%
4.3%
1.9%
3
2.6%
4.6%
4.2%
2.5%
1.1%
4
1.1%
2.0%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grasshoppers goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
Grasshoppers is 0.17 points worse than FC Luzern in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
Grasshoppers is 0.06 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
Grasshoppers is 0.33 goals worse than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
Grasshoppers is 3.1 percentage points worse than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (46% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grasshoppers
For 5.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grasshoppers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
11.5
11.9
11.1
4.9
4.0
5.8
24.4
23.9
24.9
vs Stronger (14)
12.2
13.9
10.6
5.0
4.3
5.7
24.0
24.1
23.9
vs Similar (18)
10.9
10.3
11.6
4.8
3.8
5.9
24.7
23.7
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
69%
69%
75%
56%
94%
78%
69%
88%
% under line
31%
31%
31%
25%
44%
6%
22%
31%
12%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
11.1
11.9
10.2
5.5
6.4
4.6
24.6
25.6
23.6
vs Stronger (4)
15.8
16.5
15.0
3.8
5.5
2.0
25.8
27.0
24.5
vs Similar (24)
10.3
10.7
10.0
5.7
6.4
4.9
24.5
25.1
23.8
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
14.5
7.0
6.5
7.5
5.5
24.2
27.0
21.5
% over line
59%
75%
44%
75%
88%
62%
84%
88%
81%
% under line
41%
25%
56%
25%
12%
38%
16%
12%
19%
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Grasshoppers
11.5
FC Luzern
11.1
FC Sion
10.8
FC ST. Gallen
10.7
Servette FC
10.6
FC Basel 1893
10.5
BSC Young Boys
10.2
FC Zurich
9.7
FC Winterthur
9.7
FC Lugano
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Sion
6.2
FC Zurich
6.0
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
FC Basel 1893
5.8
FC Luzern
5.7
FC Lugano
5.7
FC Winterthur
5.5
Servette FC
5.0
Grasshoppers
4.9
BSC Young Boys
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Lugano
25.0
FC Zurich
24.8
FC Luzern
24.6
Grasshoppers
24.4
FC Sion
24.2
FC Basel 1893
24.1
FC ST. Gallen
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.8
FC Winterthur
23.3
Servette FC
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.7%
Under 9.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.7%
Under 21.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grasshoppers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.93
0.73
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.61
0.89
0.67
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.75
0.62
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.68
0.75
0.58
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grasshoppers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.13
1.00
1.00
0.47
1.27
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.00
1.00
0.17
0.17
1.83
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.22
1.00
1.56
0.67
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
0.81
0.75
0.93
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.77
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grasshoppers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guilherme Schettine26%
Renat Dadaşov24%
Shkelqim Demhasaj23%
Hayao Kawabe21%
Christián Herc16%
Petar Pušić12%
Meritan Shabani12%
Tsiy William Ndenge11%
Tomás Ribeiro11%
Francis Momoh9%
Dion Kacuri8%
Giotto Morandi6%
Bendegúz Bolla6%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira6%
Noah Loosli3%
Nadjack0%
Lei Li0%
Georg Margreitter0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Teruki Hara0%
André Moreira0%
Dominik Schmid0%
Justin Hammel0%
Sangbin Jeong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Renat Dadaşov32%
Guilherme Schettine32%
Amir Abrashi30%
Christián Herc28%
Tomás Ribeiro26%
Bendegúz Bolla24%
Ayumu Seko19%
Francis Momoh18%
Dominik Schmid18%
Lei Li17%
Noah Loosli17%
Tsiy William Ndenge15%
Nadjack14%
Sangbin Jeong14%
Hayao Kawabe12%
Petar Pušić12%
André Moreira11%
Meritan Shabani8%
Shkelqim Demhasaj8%
Giotto Morandi6%
Georg Margreitter6%
Teruki Hara0%
Justin Hammel0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Francis Momoh36%
Hayao Kawabe18%
Petar Pušić18%
Shkelqim Demhasaj15%
Renat Dadaşov15%
Giotto Morandi12%
Guilherme Schettine11%
Bendegúz Bolla9%
Christián Herc6%
Tsiy William Ndenge4%
Tomás Ribeiro4%
Noah Loosli3%
Ayumu Seko3%
Dominik Schmid3%
Meritan Shabani0%
Nadjack0%
Lei Li0%
Georg Margreitter0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Teruki Hara0%
André Moreira0%
Justin Hammel0%
Sangbin Jeong0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guilherme Schettine21%
Shkelqim Demhasaj15%
Renat Dadaşov12%
Hayao Kawabe9%
Francis Momoh9%
Meritan Shabani4%
Christián Herc3%
Bendegúz Bolla3%
Dominik Schmid3%
Nadjack0%
Lei Li0%
Georg Margreitter0%
Amir Abrashi0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Teruki Hara0%
André Moreira0%
Tsiy William Ndenge0%
Petar Pušić0%
Noah Loosli0%
Giotto Morandi0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Justin Hammel0%
Sangbin Jeong0%
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira0%
Dion Kacuri0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Max Meyer31%
Dejan Sorgić26%
Sofyan Chader19%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka17%
Pascal Schürpf17%
Luuk Breedijk17%
Marco Burch12%
Asumah Abubakar11%
Martin Frýdek10%
Christian Gentner10%
Jakub Kadák10%
Vars Villiger9%
Pius Dorn9%
Nicky Medja Beloko7%
Mohamed Dräger6%
Ismajl Beka5%
Ardon Jashari3%
Marius Müller0%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Samuele Campo0%
Varol Tasar0%
Denis Simani0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Thibault Klidje0%
Lorik Emini0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicky Medja Beloko47%
Ismajl Beka41%
Denis Simani36%
Varol Tasar33%
Lorik Emini33%
Vars Villiger27%
Severin Ottiger25%
Max Meyer24%
Mohamed Dräger23%
Martin Frýdek21%
Marco Burch20%
Sofyan Chader19%
Marius Müller16%
Ardon Jashari15%
Pascal Schürpf13%
Pascal Loretz12%
Pius Dorn12%
Asumah Abubakar11%
Christian Gentner10%
Jakub Kadák10%
Luca Jaquez10%
Mamady Diambou8%
Thibault Klidje7%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Samuele Campo0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
Luuk Breedijk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Varol Tasar33%
Pius Dorn18%
Martin Frýdek17%
Max Meyer14%
Pascal Schürpf13%
Christian Gentner10%
Sofyan Chader10%
Vars Villiger9%
Ardon Jashari9%
Severin Ottiger8%
Asumah Abubakar7%
Mohamed Dräger6%
Ismajl Beka5%
Marco Burch4%
Nicky Medja Beloko3%
Marius Müller0%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Samuele Campo0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
Denis Simani0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Jakub Kadák0%
Thibault Klidje0%
Lorik Emini0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
Luuk Breedijk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Kadák30%
Max Meyer28%
Pascal Schürpf23%
Sofyan Chader19%
Dejan Sorgić17%
Mohamed Dräger10%
Marco Burch8%
Thibault Klidje7%
Pius Dorn6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Ismajl Beka5%
Asumah Abubakar4%
Martin Frýdek3%
Marius Müller0%
Vaso Vasic0%
Ibrahima Ndiaye0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Christian Gentner0%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Samuele Campo0%
Varol Tasar0%
Denis Simani0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Lorik Emini0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Nando Toggenburg0%
Luuk Breedijk0%
Vars Villiger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
Grasshoppers's squad is €10m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€16m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
Grasshoppers's attack is €11m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€4m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
Grasshoppers's midfield is €1m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
Grasshoppers and FC Luzern have a similar defence value (both €7m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →