This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.25
1.00
2.42
0.67
2.08
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
2.36
1.00
2.45
0.64
2.27
1.36
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.5%
Under 2.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
Grazer AK goals ↓
FC BW Linz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.8%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.4%
13%
6.9%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.2%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.0%
4.6%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grazer AK goals (down), columns = FC BW Linz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
Grazer AK is 0.03 points worse than FC BW Linz in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
Grazer AK is 0.37 goals worse than FC BW Linz in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 2.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
Grazer AK is 0.07 goals worse than FC BW Linz in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
Grazer AK is 0.8 percentage points worse than FC BW Linz in terms of average possession (52% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grazer AK
For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC BW Linz
For 7.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
9.3
9.8
8.6
2.1
2.6
1.6
26.7
27.2
25.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.0
9.5
8.2
1.9
2.3
1.4
27.3
27.5
27.0
vs Weaker (6)
10.3
10.5
10.0
2.7
3.3
2.0
24.7
26.5
21.0
% over line
54%
50%
60%
25%
33%
17%
77%
88%
60%
% under line
46%
50%
40%
75%
67%
83%
23%
12%
40%
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
11.4
11.7
11.0
2.3
2.5
2.1
26.5
26.4
26.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
11.3
11.7
11.0
2.3
2.4
2.3
26.2
25.8
26.5
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
12.0
-
2.0
4.0
0.0
30.0
30.0
-
% over line
85%
86%
83%
38%
50%
25%
77%
86%
67%
% under line
15%
14%
17%
62%
50%
75%
23%
14%
33%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
13.1
Dornbirn
12.1
FC BW Linz
11.4
FC Liefering
10.8
Rapid Wien II
10.8
Admira Wacker
10.5
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.2
SK Vorwarts Steyr
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.1
SKU Amstetten
10.1
Grazer AK
9.3
SKN ST. Polten
9.2
SV Horn
9.1
SV Lafnitz
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Horn
5.2
Dornbirn
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.8
SV Kapfenberg
4.8
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.2
Floridsdorfer AC
4.2
SV Lafnitz
4.2
FC Liefering
4.0
SK Vorwarts Steyr
3.9
First Vienna
3.9
Grazer AK
3.8
Rapid Wien II
3.3
SKN ST. Polten
3.2
SKU Amstetten
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
31.2
Floridsdorfer AC
30.9
Grazer AK
26.7
FC BW Linz
26.5
SV Kapfenberg
26.4
Admira Wacker
26.2
SV Lafnitz
26.2
FC Liefering
26.1
Dornbirn
25.9
SKU Amstetten
25.8
First Vienna
25.4
Austria Vienna (Am)
24.6
SK Vorwarts Steyr
24.2
Rapid Wien II
24.1
SKN ST. Polten
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.4%
Under 21.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.50
0.92
0.17
0.83
0.83
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.44
0.67
0.22
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.67
1.67
0.00
1.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.04
0.29
1.08
0.17
1.00
0.42
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.27
1.09
0.09
1.09
0.45
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.50
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.11
0.67
0.89
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.21
0.71
1.33
0.50
1.08
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.27
0.73
1.36
0.55
1.18
0.91
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grazer AK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donovan Pines20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Peter Michorl0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Peter Michorl60%
Donovan Pines60%
Leon Klassen40%
Yannick Oberleitner33%
Tobias Koch25%
Anderson25%
Daniel Maderner20%
Beres Owusu20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Lichtenberger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Cican Stanković0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Alexander Hofleitner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismaël Guerti33%
Anderson25%
Matthias Gragger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Leon Klassen20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Tobias Koch0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
FC BW Linz · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronivaldo27%
Shon Weissman26%
Simon Seidl21%
Nico Maier14%
David Bumberger6%
Dominik Reiter6%
Thomas Goiginger6%
Martin Moormann5%
Christopher Cvetko4%
Mamadou Fofana4%
Alexander Briedl4%
Manuel Maranda0%
Simon Pirkl0%
Paul Mensah0%
Alem Pašić0%
Anderson0%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
David Riegler0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alem Pašić46%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss36%
Martin Moormann26%
Dominik Reiter25%
Manuel Maranda23%
Thomas Goiginger22%
Cheick Oumar Condé20%
Muharem Husković18%
Anderson17%
David Bumberger12%
Christopher Cvetko12%
João Luiz12%
Shon Weissman11%
David Riegler11%
Alexander Briedl11%
Simon Seidl10%
Ronivaldo10%
Nico Maier10%
Isak Dahlqvist9%
Paul Mensah7%
Nico Mantl7%
Elias Bakatukanda7%
Simon Pirkl0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Viktor Baier0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anderson33%
David Bumberger19%
Simon Pirkl17%
Simon Seidl14%
Thomas Goiginger11%
Isak Dahlqvist9%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss7%
Paul Mensah7%
Dominik Reiter6%
Nico Maier5%
Mamadou Fofana4%
Shon Weissman4%
Alexander Briedl4%
Ronivaldo3%
Manuel Maranda0%
Christopher Cvetko0%
Alem Pašić0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Martin Moormann0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
David Riegler0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shon Weissman22%
Simon Seidl21%
Ronivaldo20%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss14%
Jakob Knollmuller14%
David Bumberger12%
Paul Mensah7%
Dominik Reiter6%
Thomas Goiginger6%
Nico Maier5%
Alem Pašić4%
Manuel Maranda0%
Simon Pirkl0%
Christopher Cvetko0%
Anderson0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Martin Moormann0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
Alexander Briedl0%
David Riegler0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Grazer AK's squad is €4m more valuable than FC BW Linz's (€9m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Grazer AK and FC BW Linz have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
Grazer AK and FC BW Linz have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
AV( (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Grazer AK's defence is €4m more valuable than FC BW Linz's (€6m vs €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SKN ST. Polten
SV Horn
Floridsdorfer AC
SKU Amstetten
First Vienna
SV Lafnitz
FC Liefering
Admira Wacker
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II
SV Kapfenberg
SK Vorwarts Steyr
Rapid Wien II
Austria Vienna (Am)