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Grbalj vs Igalo Result & Analysis

Date: 11/09/2024
Time: 14:30
Final 0-2
Grbalj
Grbalj
Vs
29%
30%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Igalo
Igalo
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grbalj win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Igalo win✓ Hit
40.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L10W21W32W20W20W13L04L02LA·MLA24/04H·INT28/04H·IGA05/05A·LOV12/05H·ISK18/05A·KOM25/05H·IBA10/08A·ISK17/08H·LOV25/08A·MLA01/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.431.271.670.931.20
vs Stronger (20)1.001.601.451.640.441.56
vs Similar (4)1.251.500.502.002.001.00
vs Weaker (6)1.330.831.001.501.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L20W02L02L22D20W10W01L24LH·BOK28/04A·GRB05/05H·BER12/05A·LOV18/05H·OTR25/05H·MLA10/08A·IBA17/08H·ISK25/08A·LOV01/09H·MLA07/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.171.061.191.071.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.061.290.801.401.431.14
vs Weaker (13)1.081.001.500.830.711.14
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2 ✓
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
Grbalj goals ↓
Igalo goals →
01234
011%11%8.0%3.5%1.1%
18.6%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.3%6.9%4.5%2.0%0.7%
31.9%2.5%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grbalj goals (down), columns = Igalo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
2.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.88
Lovćen
1.59
Igalo
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.31
Grbalj
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.75
Grbalj is 0.34 points worse than Igalo in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.75
Mladost DG
1.69
Igalo
1.62
Lovćen
1.56
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.16
Grbalj
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.72
Grbalj is 0.59 goals worse than Igalo in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mladost DG
0.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.97
Igalo
1.09
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.12
Lovćen
1.19
Grbalj
1.53
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.69
Ibar
1.69
Kom
1.69
Grbalj is 0.44 goals worse than Igalo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.09).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D11D10W20W10W00D00D01LA·MLA24/04H·INT28/04H·IGA05/05A·LOV12/05H·ISK18/05A·KOM25/05H·IBA10/08A·ISK17/08H·LOV25/08A·MLA01/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.600.530.400.53
vs Stronger (20)0.450.600.640.550.220.67
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.501.000.750.25
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IgaloIgalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L01L01L20W10W01L12LH·BOK28/04A·GRB05/05H·BER12/05A·LOV18/05H·OTR25/05H·MLA10/08A·IBA17/08H·ISK25/08A·LOV01/09H·MLA07/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.440.440.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.530.300.500.710.57
vs Weaker (13)0.380.540.670.330.140.71
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L10W10W22D00D10W13L04L01LA·MLA24/04H·INT28/04H·IGA05/05A·LOV12/05H·ISK18/05A·KOM25/05H·IBA10/08A·ISK17/08H·LOV25/08A·MLA01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.671.130.530.67
vs Stronger (20)0.551.000.821.090.220.89
vs Similar (4)0.751.250.002.001.500.50
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.500.500.750.25
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IgaloIgalo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W01L01L21W00D00D00D12LH·BOK28/04A·GRB05/05H·BER12/05A·LOV18/05H·OTR25/05H·MLA10/08A·IBA17/08H·ISK25/08A·LOV01/09H·MLA07/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.620.750.640.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.760.500.900.710.57
vs Weaker (13)0.690.460.830.500.570.43
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
GRB wins
2
Draws
3
IGA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grbalj vs Igalo · H/A from GRB
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24HGRB Vs Igalo1-0
20/03/24AIgalo Vs GRB0-0
05/11/23HGRB Vs Igalo2-1
13/09/23AIgalo Vs GRB2-1
22/04/23AIgalo Vs GRB1-0
05/03/23HGRB Vs Igalo0-1
12/10/22AIgalo Vs GRB1-2
21/08/22HGRB Vs Igalo1-1

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/24AMladost DG Vs GRB2-0
25/08/24HGRB Vs Lovćen0-4
17/08/24AIskra (Montenegro) Vs GRB3-1
10/08/24HGRB Vs Ibar2-0
25/05/24AKom Vs GRB0-2
18/05/24HGRB Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-2
12/05/24ALovćen Vs GRB1-2
05/05/24HGRB Vs Igalo1-0
28/04/24HGRB Vs Internacional Podgorica1-2
24/04/24AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB2-1

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/09/24HIGA Vs Mladost DG2-4
01/09/24ALovćen Vs IGA1-0
25/08/24HIGA Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-0
17/08/24AIbar Vs IGA0-2
10/08/24HIGA Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-2
25/05/24HIGA Vs Otrant-Olympic0-2
18/05/24ALovćen Vs IGA2-0
12/05/24HIGA Vs Berane2-0
05/05/24AGrbalj Vs IGA1-0
28/04/24HIGA Vs Bokelj1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.32
HomeLWWWL1.52
AwayLWWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.522.682.36
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %24%36%12%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.361.401.32
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Igalo
Igalo
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.34
HomeWLDWL1.50
AwayWLLWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals2.222.192.25
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %40%35%46%
Over 3.5 %12%15%8%
Scored1.161.151.17
Conceded1.061.041.08
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet36%31%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3270
66%
2.2
5424+30
2.4
78%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
2Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3260
53%
1.9
5631+25
2.7
78%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3LovćenLovćen3251
44%
1.6
5038+12
2.8
78%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4IgaloIgalo3248
41%
1.5
5235+17
2.7
75%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
5Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3242
34%
1.3
3736+1
2.3
72%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
6GrbaljGrbalj3237
28%
1.2
3349-16
2.6
81%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
7Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3233
22%
1.0
4254-12
3.0
84%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8KomKom3228
22%
0.9
2854-26
2.6
66%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
9IbarIbar3224
19%
0.8
2354-31
2.4
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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