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Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 10/03/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Grbalj
Grbalj
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grbalj win✓ Hit
38.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje win✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L03L22D21W21W10W11D11D02L12LH·OTR15/10A·MLA22/10H·INT28/10H·IGA05/11A·LOV11/11H·ISK18/11A·KOM26/11A·BOK04/12H·BER02/03A·OTR06/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.301.271.201.201.40
vs Stronger (21)1.051.380.901.101.181.64
vs Similar (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (7)1.571.142.001.501.000.67
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W41W00D21W11D21W13L13L11D21WH·GRB22/10A·LOV28/10A·INT01/11H·ISK05/11A·KOM12/11H·BOK18/11A·BER28/11A·OTR03/12A·IGA02/03H·INT06/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.072.130.870.931.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.871.071.141.000.621.12
vs Weaker (15)2.201.073.000.751.291.43
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.7%
Under 2.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
Grbalj goals ↓
Mladost Lješkopolje goals →
01234
011%9.1%5.8%2.2%0.6%
110%14%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.3%8.2%4.6%1.7%0.5%
33.1%3.4%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grbalj goals (down), columns = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bokelj
2.22
Otrant-Olympic
2.19
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.58
Grbalj
1.50
Igalo
1.28
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.19
Lovćen
1.14
Kom
1.14
Internacional Podgorica
0.89
Berane
0.69
Grbalj is 0.08 points worse than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bokelj
1.97
Otrant-Olympic
1.78
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.75
Kom
1.44
Grbalj
1.33
Igalo
1.11
Lovćen
1.00
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.00
Internacional Podgorica
1.00
Berane
0.94
Grbalj is 0.42 goals worse than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Otrant-Olympic
0.56
Bokelj
0.78
Igalo
1.06
Grbalj
1.33
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.42
Lovćen
1.61
Kom
1.61
Internacional Podgorica
1.69
Berane
1.94
Grbalj is 0.08 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L12L20W00D00D00D10W01L01LH·OTR15/10A·MLA22/10H·INT28/10H·IGA05/11A·LOV11/11H·ISK18/11A·KOM26/11A·BOK04/12H·BER02/03A·OTR06/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.870.600.530.53
vs Stronger (21)0.620.570.600.500.640.64
vs Similar (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (7)1.000.711.501.000.330.33
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W31W00D11D00D10W01L10W10WH·IGA08/10H·GRB22/10A·LOV28/10A·INT01/11H·ISK05/11A·KOM12/11H·BOK18/11A·OTR03/12A·IGA02/03H·INT06/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.331.000.270.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.310.380.290.430.330.33
vs Weaker (14)1.210.291.620.120.670.50
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W01L21W10W11D01L01L11DH·OTR15/10A·MLA22/10H·INT28/10H·IGA05/11A·LOV11/11H·ISK18/11A·KOM26/11A·BOK04/12H·BER02/03A·OTR06/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.400.600.670.87
vs Stronger (21)0.430.810.300.600.551.00
vs Similar (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.500.500.670.33
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W00D10W11D11D12L01L11DH·IGA08/10H·GRB22/10A·LOV28/10A·INT01/11H·ISK05/11A·KOM12/11H·BOK18/11A·OTR03/12A·IGA02/03H·INT06/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.701.130.600.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.750.860.570.330.89
vs Weaker (14)1.070.641.380.620.670.67
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
GRB wins
3
Draws
2
ML wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje · H/A from GRB
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB3-0
03/09/23HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-2
10/05/23HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
29/03/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB0-0
05/11/22HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-0
17/09/22AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB2-1

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/03/24AOtrant-Olympic Vs GRB2-1
02/03/24HGRB Vs Berane0-2
04/12/23ABokelj Vs GRB1-1
26/11/23AKom Vs GRB1-1
18/11/23HGRB Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-0
11/11/23ALovćen Vs GRB1-2
05/11/23HGRB Vs Igalo2-1
28/10/23HGRB Vs Internacional Podgorica2-2
22/10/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB3-0
15/10/23HGRB Vs Otrant-Olympic1-3

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/03/24HML Vs Internacional Podgorica2-1
02/03/24AIgalo Vs ML1-1
03/12/23AOtrant-Olympic Vs ML3-1
28/11/23ABerane Vs ML3-1
18/11/23HML Vs Bokelj2-1
12/11/23AKom Vs ML1-1
05/11/23HML Vs Iskra (Montenegro)2-1
01/11/23AInternacional Podgorica Vs ML0-0
28/10/23ALovćen Vs ML1-4
22/10/23HML Vs Grbalj3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.26
HomeLDWWL1.44
AwayLWDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.242.202.28
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.081.161.00
Conceded1.161.041.28
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.66
HomeDWWWW2.16
AwayDDLLD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%64%28%
AVG goals2.502.642.36
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.481.881.08
Conceded1.020.761.28
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BokeljBokelj3680
67%
2.2
7128+43
2.8
83%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.8
-
2Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3679
64%
2.2
6420+44
2.3
72%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.6
-
3Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3657
44%
1.6
6351+12
3.2
81%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
4GrbaljGrbalj3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
83%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5IgaloIgalo3646
36%
1.3
4038+2
2.2
72%
36%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
6Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3643
33%
1.2
3648-12
2.3
58%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
7KomKom3641
33%
1.1
5258-6
3.1
83%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
8LovćenLovćen3641
28%
1.1
3658-22
2.6
69%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3632
19%
0.9
3661-25
2.7
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10BeraneBerane3625
17%
0.7
3470-36
2.9
75%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
Montenegro: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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