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Grbalj vs Nikšić Result & Analysis

Date: 16/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Grbalj
Grbalj
Vs
48%
30%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nikšić
Nikšić
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grbalj win✗ Miss
48.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nikšić win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L11D01L12L10W00D23L02L21WH·IGA21/08A·NIK28/08A·BOK03/09H·ZET11/09A·MLA17/09H·KOM24/09A·OTR28/09H·MLA02/10H·BER09/10A·IGA12/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.911.180.801.401.001.00
vs Stronger (8)1.001.381.001.671.001.20
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.501.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikšićNikšić

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L21W13L22D00D20W05L02L11D02LA·BOK21/08H·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09H·BER02/10H·IGA09/10H·BOK12/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.821.731.171.330.402.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.882.001.251.250.502.75
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %18% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
Grbalj goals ↓
Nikšić goals →
01234
011%7.6%3.9%1.1%0.3%
113%14%5.5%1.6%0.4%
210%8.9%3.9%1.1%0.3%
34.8%4.2%1.9%0.5%0.1%
41.7%1.5%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grbalj goals (down), columns = Nikšić goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Grbalj is 0.28 points better than Nikšić in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 0.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Grbalj is 0.02 goals worse than Nikšić in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 0.84).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Grbalj is 0.69 goals better than Nikšić in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D10W00D00D10W00D00D01L01LH·IGA21/08A·NIK28/08A·BOK03/09H·ZET11/09A·MLA17/09H·KOM24/09A·OTR28/09H·MLA02/10H·BER09/10A·IGA12/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.360.200.400.330.33
vs Stronger (8)0.250.380.000.330.400.40
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %64% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikšićNikšić

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D01L10W00D10W04L00D01L01LA·BOK21/08H·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09H·BER02/10H·IGA09/10H·BOK12/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.730.500.500.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.880.500.500.001.25
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %55% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L01L12L00D00D23L01L20WH·IGA21/08A·NIK28/08A·BOK03/09H·ZET11/09A·MLA17/09H·KOM24/09A·OTR28/09H·MLA02/10H·BER09/10A·IGA12/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.820.601.000.670.67
vs Stronger (8)0.751.001.001.330.600.80
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Nikšić) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NikšićNikšić

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W12L12L00D10W01L02L10W01LA·BOK21/08H·GRB28/08A·ZET03/09H·MLA11/09A·KOM18/09H·OTR24/09A·MLA28/09H·BER02/10H·IGA09/10H·BOK12/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.551.000.670.830.401.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.621.120.750.750.501.50
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %36% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nikšić over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
GRB wins
0
Draws
1
NIK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grbalj vs Nikšić · H/A from GRB
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/22ANikšić Vs GRB2-1

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/22AIgalo Vs GRB1-2
09/10/22HGRB Vs Berane0-2
02/10/22HGRB Vs Mladost DG2-3
28/09/22AOtrant-Olympic Vs GRB0-0
24/09/22HGRB Vs Kom1-0
17/09/22AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB2-1
11/09/22HGRB Vs Zeta0-1
03/09/22ABokelj Vs GRB1-1
28/08/22ANikšić Vs GRB2-1
21/08/22HGRB Vs Igalo1-1

NikšićNikšić

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/22HNIK Vs Bokelj0-2
09/10/22HNIK Vs Igalo1-1
02/10/22HNIK Vs Berane0-2
28/09/22AMladost DG Vs NIK5-0
24/09/22HNIK Vs Otrant-Olympic2-0
18/09/22AKom Vs NIK0-0
11/09/22HNIK Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-2
03/09/22AZeta Vs NIK3-1
28/08/22HNIK Vs Grbalj2-1
21/08/22ABokelj Vs NIK2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.09
HomeDLWLL0.80
AwayLDLDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%20%33%
AVG goals2.092.202.00
Over 1.5 %64%60%67%
Over 2.5 %36%20%50%
Over 3.5 %9%20%0%
Scored0.910.801.00
Conceded1.181.401.00
BTTS55%40%67%
Clean Sheet27%20%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Nikšić
Nikšić
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL0.82
HomeDWLDL1.33
AwayLLLDL0.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%33%0%
AVG goals2.552.502.60
Over 1.5 %82%100%60%
Over 2.5 %45%33%60%
Over 3.5 %27%17%40%
Scored0.821.170.40
Conceded1.731.332.20
BTTS45%50%40%
Clean Sheet18%17%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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