This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.83
1.21
1.50
1.19
2.12
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
3.20
1.25
3.00
1.00
3.33
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.15
1.20
0.90
1.30
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Salford
1.71
Grimsby
1.69
Chesterfield
1.67
Barnet
1.65
Swindon
1.63
Rotherham
1.61
Port Vale
1.60
Exeter
1.56
Northampton
1.53
Oldham
1.48
Crewe
1.46
Colchester
1.43
Walsall
1.41
Bristol Rvs
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.33
Accrington
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.07
Newport County
0.93
Tranmere
0.89
Rochdale
0.87
Crawley Town
0.87
York
0.65
Grimsby is 0.13 points better than Exeter in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Grimsby
1.60
Barnet
1.52
Swindon
1.52
Rotherham
1.51
Port Vale
1.50
Chesterfield
1.48
Exeter
1.46
Northampton
1.44
Crewe
1.39
Colchester
1.35
Salford
1.31
Oldham
1.30
Fleetwood Town
1.24
Bristol Rvs
1.22
Walsall
1.22
Tranmere
1.17
Cheltenham
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Newport County
1.04
Accrington
1.02
Crawley Town
0.96
Shrewsbury
0.91
Rochdale
0.82
York
0.61
Grimsby is 0.14 goals better than Exeter in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.46).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Oldham
0.96
Colchester
1.07
Rotherham
1.10
Port Vale
1.10
Grimsby
1.10
Exeter
1.13
Barnet
1.15
Northampton
1.15
Salford
1.16
Chesterfield
1.19
Walsall
1.22
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Accrington
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Swindon
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.41
Crawley Town
1.48
Shrewsbury
1.50
Gillingham
1.57
Newport County
1.67
Cheltenham
1.72
Tranmere
1.72
Rochdale
2.03
York
2.73
Grimsby is 0.03 goals better than Exeter in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chesterfield
58%
Barnet
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Grimsby
55%
Colchester
54%
Swindon
52%
Salford
50%
Crewe
50%
Fleetwood Town
50%
Cheltenham
49%
Tranmere
49%
Oldham
48%
Accrington
48%
Gillingham
47%
Newport County
47%
Shrewsbury
44%
Walsall
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grimsby
For 5.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Exeter
For 4.5 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 9.5 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grimsby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.9
10.0
3.6
3.5
3.8
23.8
22.9
24.8
vs Stronger (5)
8.8
9.3
7.0
2.2
2.0
3.0
21.8
20.0
27.0
vs Similar (44)
10.7
11.1
10.2
3.9
4.0
3.8
24.0
23.3
24.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
62%
45%
56%
57%
55%
67%
58%
77%
% under line
46%
38%
55%
44%
43%
45%
33%
42%
23%
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.2
10.4
3.3
2.9
3.7
21.9
22.2
21.6
vs Stronger (12)
9.2
8.4
9.9
3.2
2.6
3.6
21.5
21.4
21.6
vs Similar (37)
10.6
10.7
10.6
3.5
2.9
4.0
22.0
22.4
21.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
58%
65%
52%
50%
38%
62%
56%
52%
60%
% under line
42%
35%
48%
50%
62%
38%
44%
48%
40%
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
12.0
Swindon
11.0
Port Vale
10.7
Grimsby
10.4
Chesterfield
10.4
Exeter
10.3
Walsall
10.2
Fleetwood Town
10.2
Barnet
10.1
Northampton
10.0
Oldham
10.0
Tranmere
9.9
Salford
9.7
Rotherham
9.6
Cheltenham
9.6
Accrington
9.6
Rochdale
9.5
Newport County
9.5
Bristol Rvs
9.4
Gillingham
9.4
Crewe
9.3
Colchester
9.2
York
9.0
Shrewsbury
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Shrewsbury
4.3
Crawley Town
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Chesterfield
4.2
Rotherham
4.1
Accrington
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
York
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Crewe
3.8
Tranmere
3.8
Grimsby
3.8
Newport County
3.8
Fleetwood Town
3.8
Walsall
3.7
Salford
3.7
Cheltenham
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Northampton
3.5
Port Vale
3.5
Swindon
3.4
Exeter
3.3
Rochdale
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crewe
25.6
Crawley Town
25.3
Oldham
25.1
Colchester
24.9
Salford
24.5
Bristol Rvs
24.1
Gillingham
24.0
Grimsby
23.8
Rotherham
23.7
Barnet
23.6
Newport County
23.3
Fleetwood Town
23.0
Cheltenham
22.7
Tranmere
22.7
Walsall
22.7
Shrewsbury
22.6
Rochdale
22.5
Accrington
22.4
Chesterfield
22.4
Northampton
22.2
Exeter
21.8
Port Vale
21.2
Swindon
20.9
York
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.9%
Under 9.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.6%
Under 3.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.0%
Under 21.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grimsby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.76
0.53
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.50
0.80
0.60
0.69
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.80
0.21
0.64
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.20
0.25
1.25
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.60
0.20
0.40
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grimsby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grimsby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.00
0.59
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.47
0.69
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Exeter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Exeter
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.03
1.00
0.86
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.75
0.67
2.17
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.55
1.00
0.50
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grimsby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Exeter over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grimsby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harvey Rodgers33%
Andy Cook33%
Cian Doyle33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Jayden Sweeney0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Kieran Green0%
Géza Dávid Turi0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Maldini Kacurri0%
Iwan Morgan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jayden Sweeney33%
Harvey Rodgers33%
Maldini Kacurri33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Andy Cook0%
Kieran Green0%
Géza Dávid Turi0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Iwan Morgan0%
Cian Doyle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Géza Dávid Turi67%
Kieran Green33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Jayden Sweeney0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Harvey Rodgers0%
Andy Cook0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Maldini Kacurri0%
Iwan Morgan0%
Cian Doyle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andy Cook33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Jayden Sweeney0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Harvey Rodgers0%
Kieran Green0%
Géza Dávid Turi0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Maldini Kacurri0%
Iwan Morgan0%
Cian Doyle0%
Exeter
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Fitzwater67%
Reece Cole0%
Gwion Edwards0%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
Edward James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charlie Cummins67%
Reece Cole33%
Gwion Edwards33%
Jack Fitzwater33%
Ethan Sutherland33%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Edward James0%
George Birch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Oluwabori33%
Reece Cole0%
Gwion Edwards0%
Jack Fitzwater0%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
Edward James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reece Cole0%
Gwion Edwards0%
Jack Fitzwater0%
Josh Gordon0%
Taylor Perry0%
Jack Bycroft0%
Andrew Oluwabori0%
Ethan Sutherland0%
Edward James0%
Charlie Cummins0%
George Birch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAL (26)
€8m
PV (23)
€7m
CHE (24)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Grimsby and Exeter have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Grimsby and Exeter have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Grimsby and Exeter have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Grimsby's defence is €1m more valuable than Exeter's (€2m vs €1m).
England: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
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Barnet
Walsall
York
Colchester
Crewe
Oldham
Bristol Rvs
Tranmere
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Cheltenham
Rotherham
Swindon
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
Northampton
Port Vale
Gillingham
Accrington
Salford
Rochdale