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Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-3
Grindavik
Grindavik
Vs
39%
25%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Grindavik’s recent 1-6 loss to Fylkir has left them looking to rebound, while HK Kopavogur, fresh from a 3-0 win over Throttur Reykjavik, carry momentum into the match. The model predicts a home win with a 39 % chance, a draw at 25 %, and an away win at 36 %. The expected total goals is 3.2, with the most likely total of three goals at 22 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.3 % probability. Grindavik averages 0.89 goals scored and 2.11 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, whereas HK Kopavogur averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.89 conceded away against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0 %, Under 7.5 at 98.2 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.3 %, Under 6.5 at 95.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 92.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.3 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 91.3 %.

Results analysis

Grindavik’s recent win over HK Kopavogur extended a mixed run, and they finished the match 4-3, a clear total that far exceeded the model’s expected 3.2 goals. The model’s favourite was a Home win, with a 39% probability, and that call proved correct. The suggested picks delivered a mix of hits and misses: Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%) missed, Under 7.5 (98.2%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.7%) hit, Under 6.5 (95.3%) missed, Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.3%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (92.5%) missed, Away under 3.5 goals (92.3%) hit, and Home under 3.5 goals (91.3%) missed. The final score confirmed the home side’s victory, aligning with the model’s prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grindavik win✓ Hit
38.8%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.65
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.85
Betano
2.72
Bet365
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.80
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.98
Dafabet
3.95
Betfair
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
1xBet
3.88
HK Kopavogur win✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.15
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.26
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Dafabet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrindavikGrindavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D45L21W00D02L10W14L21W00D16LA·IA 13/05A·NJA10/07A·GRO14/07H·IR 18/07A·VÖL24/07H·LEI29/07A·AFT07/08H·THR13/08H·GRO17/08A·FYL22/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.301.001.751.222.67
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.182.730.892.111.383.15
vs Weaker (7)1.141.001.330.671.001.25
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-640W43W02L51W62W23L23L21W22D30WH·BF 27/03A·FJO06/04H·VIK13/05H·IR 14/07H·VES20/07A·NJA24/07A·VÖL09/08H·LEI13/08A·AFT17/08H·THR22/08
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.471.872.761.352.082.54
vs Stronger (6)2.502.331.671.333.333.33
vs Similar (23)2.481.783.081.381.702.30
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.5%
@ 1.06-2.2%
Under 1.5
15.5%
@ 6.92+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Under
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.85
Bet365
6.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.31-6.7%
Under 2.5
37.1%
@ 3.01+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.7%
@ 1.85-9.3%
Under 3.5
59.3%
@ 1.85+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.93
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Betfair
1.90
Unibet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.4%
@ 1.32-4.5%
No
34.6%
@ 3.07+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.30
No
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.21
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.12
William Hil
3.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 7.96+5.9%
2-1
8.5%@ 9.71+4.0%
1-2
8.1%@ 8.60+3.1%
2-2
6.7%@ 9.39+2.1%
1-0
5.4%@ 15.61+2.7%
2-0
5.4%@ 17.66+2.9%
0-1
5.2%@ 13.43+2.0%
0-0
4.9%@ 21.88+3.0%
Grindavik goals ↓
HK Kopavogur goals →
01234
04.9%5.2%4.9%2.6%1.0%
15.4%11%8.1%4.3%1.7%
25.4%8.5%6.7%3.6%1.4%
33.0%4.7%3.7%2.0%0.8%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grindavik goals (down), columns = HK Kopavogur goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Grindavik is 0.23 points worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Grindavik is 1.62 goals worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 3.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Grindavik is 0.20 goals worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Grindavik or Draw✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied 57.6% · @ 1.58
Edge
+6.5%
39%
25%
36%
covers Grindavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Grindavik or HK Kopavogur✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
-1.3%
39%
25%
36%
covers Grindavik + HK Kopavogur
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Draw or HK Kopavogur✗ Miss
61.2%
Avg Implied 66.4% · @ 1.37
Edge
-5.2%
39%
25%
36%
covers Draw + HK Kopavogur
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Grindavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.9%
@ 1.14+0.1%
Under
19.1%
@ 4.80-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
4.50
Grindavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.3%
@ 1.79-2.2%
Under
50.7%
@ 1.90+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
Unibet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Grindavik over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.1%
@ 3.48-3.2%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.24+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.35
1xBet
3.35
Under
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Grindavik over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.7%
@ 7.50-3.8%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.07+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.50
Under
Bet365
1.07
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.5%
@ 1.10-4.3%
Under
20.5%
@ 5.70+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
5.90
Bet365
5.50
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.1%
@ 1.60-10.6%
Under
52.9%
@ 2.18+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.15
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.3%
@ 2.71-12.7%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.39+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.31
HK Kopavogur over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 5.15-10.4%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.14+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.16
Bet365
1.11

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Grindavik, so a minus line means Grindavik give that many goals of a start and HK Kopavogur receive them. At -1, Grindavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Grindavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Grindavik)Actual: HK Kopavogur
Grindavik -2
8.3%
@ 8.53-1.8%
Draw -2
11.9%
@ 6.22-2.0%
HK Kopavogur +2
79.8%
@ 1.14+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.05
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Grindavik)Actual: Draw
Grindavik -1
20.2%
@ 4.90+2.1%
Draw -1
18.6%
@ 4.90+0.5%
HK Kopavogur +1
61.2%
@ 1.40-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Handicap +1 (Grindavik)Actual: Grindavik
Grindavik +1
64.1%
@ 1.56+8.3%
Draw +1
17.8%
@ 4.23-2.9%
HK Kopavogur -1
18.1%
@ 3.71-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.61
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
3.45
Away
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
2.90
Handicap +2 (Grindavik)Actual: Grindavik
Grindavik +2
81.9%
@ 1.21+9.7%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 5.75-4.3%
HK Kopavogur -2
7.2%
@ 6.93-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw
Marathonbet
6.65
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
4.60
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
5.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrindavikGrindavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L33D11D00D01L00D04L10W00D04LA·IA 13/05A·NJA10/07A·GRO14/07H·IR 18/07A·VÖL24/07H·LEI29/07A·AFT07/08H·THR13/08H·GRO17/08A·FYL22/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.470.581.170.391.67
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.501.730.561.330.462.00
vs Weaker (7)0.430.710.670.670.250.75
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L00D40W40W11D11D00D11D10WH·BF 27/03A·FJO06/04H·VIK13/05H·IR 14/07H·VES20/07A·NJA24/07A·VÖL09/08H·LEI13/08A·AFT17/08H·THR22/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.671.240.410.851.00
vs Stronger (6)0.831.000.670.671.001.33
vs Similar (23)1.090.571.310.310.800.90
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.4%
@ 1.17-7.3%
Under 0.5
28.6%
@ 4.34+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 1.92-12.7%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 1.78+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
SBO
1.98
Pinnacle
1.96
William Hil
1.95
BetVictor
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 3.94-8.6%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.20+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Under
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.18

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grindavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
39.0%
@ 1.74-14.4%
Under
61.0%
@ 1.99+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.91
Grindavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.1%
@ 4.58-10.8%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.14+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
Grindavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
57.8%
@ 1.64+1.3%
Under
42.2%
@ 2.12-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
Betano
2.07
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 4.12+0.3%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.18-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 10.00-3.4%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrindavikGrindavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L10W00D01L10W10W11D00D12LA·IA 13/05A·NJA10/07A·GRO14/07H·IR 18/07A·VÖL24/07H·LEI29/07A·AFT07/08H·THR13/08H·GRO17/08A·FYL22/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.420.580.831.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.681.000.330.780.921.15
vs Weaker (7)0.710.290.670.000.750.50
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W41W02L11D22D12L12L21W11D20WH·BF 27/03A·FJO06/04H·VIK13/05H·IR 14/07H·VES20/07A·NJA24/07A·VÖL09/08H·LEI13/08A·AFT17/08H·THR22/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.530.941.231.54
vs Stronger (6)1.671.331.000.672.332.00
vs Similar (23)1.391.221.771.080.901.40
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.3%
@ 1.10-4.8%
Under 0.5
19.7%
@ 6.30+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
William Hil
6.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 1.53-13.7%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 2.29+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.8%
@ 2.61-13.2%
Under 2.5
78.2%
@ 1.41+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grindavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.8%
@ 1.52-14.3%
Under
54.2%
@ 2.31+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.18
Grindavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 3.32-15.1%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.26+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Grindavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 9.10-7.8%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.02
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.7%
@ 1.43-2.8%
Under
38.3%
@ 2.60+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.60
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
27.4%
@ 2.98-3.3%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.32+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
Under
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.5%
@ 7.90-4.1%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Under
1xBet
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 7.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
---+6.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.7%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+7.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.595.3%1.06
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
---+7.0%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals94.3%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+3.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.5%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+4.1%✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals92.3%1.14
1xBet
1.16
Bet365
1.11
---+10.4%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals91.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.8%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals90.9%1.14
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
---+10.8%✗ Miss
Under 5.589.0%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-+7.4%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals87.6%1.26
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
---+15.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals85.2%1.20
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+8.6%✗ Miss
Over 1.584.5%1.06
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
--2.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap81.9%1.21
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
--+9.7%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals80.9%1.14
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.11
---+0.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.3%1.10
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.08
---4.8%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap79.8%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.11
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals79.5%1.10
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
----4.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals78.7%1.39
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.31
+12.7%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals78.2%1.41
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
-+13.2%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals77.6%1.18
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
----0.3%✓ Hit
Under 4.577.3%1.35
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
+9.5%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals76.9%1.24
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
--+3.2%✗ Miss
Home or Away74.7%1.20
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-1.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals72.6%1.32
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
---+3.3%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals71.4%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
-7.3%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
GRI wins
1
Draws
1
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur · H/A from GRI
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25AHK Kopavogur Vs GRI3-3
09/06/25HGRI Vs HK Kopavogur2-1
10/09/22HGRI Vs HK Kopavogur4-3
05/07/22AHK Kopavogur Vs GRI2-1

GrindavikGrindavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AFylkir Vs GRI6-1
17/08/26HGRI Vs Grotta0-0
13/08/26HGRI Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-1
07/08/26AAfturelding Vs GRI4-1
29/07/26HGRI Vs Leiknir R.1-0
24/07/26AVölsungur Vs GRI2-0
18/07/26HGRI Vs IR Reykjavik0-0
14/07/26AGrotta Vs GRI1-2
10/07/26ANjardvik Vs GRI5-4
13/05/26AIA Akranes Vs GRI1-1

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HHK Vs Throttur Reykjavik3-0
17/08/26AAfturelding Vs HK2-2
13/08/26HHK Vs Leiknir R.2-1
09/08/26AVölsungur Vs HK3-2
24/07/26ANjardvik Vs HK3-2
20/07/26HHK Vs Vestri6-2
14/07/26HHK Vs IR Reykjavik5-1
13/05/26HHK Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-2
06/04/26AFjolnir Vs HK3-4
27/03/26HHK Vs BF 1084-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grindavik
Grindavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.06
HomeDDWWD1.20
AwayLWLLL0.97
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%30%27%
AVG goals4.163.704.47
Over 1.5 %90%80%97%
Over 2.5 %74%75%73%
Over 3.5 %60%60%60%
Scored1.661.551.73
Conceded2.502.152.73
BTTS64%70%60%
Clean Sheet14%20%10%
Corners---
Cards---
HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.74
HomeLWWWW2.12
AwayLWLLD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%65%38%
AVG goals3.983.854.12
Over 1.5 %96%96%96%
Over 2.5 %84%81%88%
Over 3.5 %52%46%58%
Scored2.162.501.79
Conceded1.821.352.33
BTTS66%65%67%
Clean Sheet18%23%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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