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Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: 04/09/2022
Time: 10:00
Final 0-0
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
Vs
36%
21%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grobiņa win✗ Miss
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FS Jelgava win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-930W10W40W03L13L12L32W23L93W60WA·DIN22/05H·JDF29/05A·SMI19/06H·SKA02/07A·PRO16/07A·RIG30/07A·VAL07/08H·RĪG20/08H·SAL24/08A·RĒZ27/08
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.121.693.621.752.621.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)3.231.923.672.332.861.57
vs Weaker (3)2.670.673.500.001.002.00
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FS Jelgava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W31W20W30W43W23L10W20W40WH·JDF22/05H·SMI28/05A·SKA18/06H·PRO03/07A·SAL17/07H·RIG22/07A·VAL31/07A·RĪG05/08H·RĒZ21/08A·TUK26/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.060.623.400.602.500.67
vs Stronger (3)2.331.003.002.002.000.50
vs Similar (9)2.890.333.170.002.331.00
vs Weaker (4)4.001.004.001.334.000.00
Clean sheet %69% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%2%05%114%218%319%416%525%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
93.0%
Under 1.5
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
79.3%
Under 2.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
77.9%
No
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-3
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
Grobiņa goals ↓
FS Jelgava goals →
01234
02.1%2.6%3.5%2.6%1.4%
12.3%7.2%7.1%5.2%2.9%
23.0%6.6%7.3%5.3%2.9%
32.1%4.5%4.9%3.6%2.0%
41.0%2.3%2.5%1.8%1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grobiņa goals (down), columns = FS Jelgava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FS Jelgava
2.81
Riga FC II
2.31
Grobiņa
2.04
Valmiera II
2.00
Rīgas FS II
1.77
JDFS Alberts
1.73
Skanste
1.42
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.96
Salaspils
0.96
Saldus SS/Leevon
0.88
Tukums II
0.85
Dinamo Rīga
0.85
Rēzekne FA
0.81
Smiltene
0.62
Grobiņa is 0.77 points worse than FS Jelgava in terms of average points per game (2.04 vs 2.81).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valmiera II
3.46
Grobiņa
3.27
Riga FC II
3.23
FS Jelgava
2.92
Rīgas FS II
2.88
Salaspils
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.46
JDFS Alberts
1.46
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.31
Skanste
1.31
Rēzekne FA
1.27
Tukums II
1.27
Smiltene
0.92
Dinamo Rīga
0.65
Grobiņa is 0.35 goals better than FS Jelgava in terms of goals scored per game (3.27 vs 2.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FS Jelgava
0.50
JDFS Alberts
0.96
Riga FC II
1.04
Valmiera II
1.42
Grobiņa
1.50
Skanste
1.58
Rīgas FS II
1.65
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.88
Dinamo Rīga
2.19
Tukums II
2.54
Rēzekne FA
2.69
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.77
Salaspils
2.88
Smiltene
3.35
Grobiņa is 1.00 goals worse than FS Jelgava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D10W01L00D02L21W22D41W30WA·DIN22/05H·JDF29/05A·SMI19/06H·SKA02/07A·PRO16/07A·RIG30/07A·VAL07/08H·RĪG20/08H·SAL24/08A·RĒZ27/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.560.751.880.751.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.690.772.001.001.430.57
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.500.000.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FS Jelgava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D00D10W21W23L10W10W00DH·JDF22/05H·SMI28/05A·SKA18/06H·PRO03/07A·SAL17/07H·RIG22/07A·VAL31/07A·RĪG05/08H·RĒZ21/08A·TUK26/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.190.381.400.300.830.50
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.001.000.500.00
vs Similar (9)1.440.331.500.001.331.00
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.670.670.000.00
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grobiņa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FS Jelgava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FS Jelgava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FS Jelgava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W30W02L13L10W11D01L52W30WA·DIN22/05H·JDF29/05A·SMI19/06H·SKA02/07A·PRO16/07A·RIG30/07A·VAL07/08H·RĪG20/08H·SAL24/08A·RĒZ27/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.560.941.751.001.380.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.541.151.671.331.431.00
vs Weaker (3)1.670.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FS Jelgava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D31W20W20W22D00D00D10W40WH·JDF22/05H·SMI28/05A·SKA18/06H·PRO03/07A·SAL17/07H·RIG22/07A·VAL31/07A·RĪG05/08H·RĒZ21/08A·TUK26/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.880.252.000.301.670.17
vs Stronger (3)2.000.673.001.001.500.50
vs Similar (9)1.440.001.670.001.000.00
vs Weaker (4)2.750.502.330.674.000.00
Clean sheet %81% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grobiņa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FS Jelgava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FS Jelgava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FS Jelgava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.579.3%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes77.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
GRO wins
0
Draws
1
FJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava · H/A from GRO
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/22AFS Jelgava Vs GRO4-0

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22ARēzekne FA Vs GRO0-6
24/08/22HGRO Vs Salaspils9-3
20/08/22HGRO Vs Rīgas FS II2-3
07/08/22AValmiera II Vs GRO2-3
30/07/22ARiga FC II Vs GRO2-1
16/07/22AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs GRO3-1
02/07/22HGRO Vs Skanste0-3
19/06/22ASmiltene Vs GRO0-4
29/05/22HGRO Vs JDFS Alberts1-0
22/05/22ADinamo Rīga Vs GRO0-3

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/22ATukums II Vs FJ0-4
21/08/22HFJ Vs Rēzekne FA2-0
05/08/22ARīgas FS II Vs FJ0-1
31/07/22AValmiera II Vs FJ3-2
22/07/22HFJ Vs Riga FC II4-3
17/07/22ASalaspils Vs FJ0-3
03/07/22HFJ Vs Progress / AFA Olaine2-0
18/06/22ASkanste Vs FJ1-3
28/05/22HFJ Vs Smiltene1-0
22/05/22HFJ Vs JDFS Alberts2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grobiņa
Grobiņa
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.88
HomeWWLLW1.88
AwayWLLWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%62%62%
AVG goals4.815.384.25
Over 1.5 %94%88%100%
Over 2.5 %94%88%100%
Over 3.5 %75%75%75%
Scored3.123.622.62
Conceded1.691.751.62
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet31%25%38%
Corners---
Cards---
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.81
HomeWWWWW3.00
AwayWWLWW2.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %94%100%83%
AVG goals3.694.003.17
Over 1.5 %88%90%83%
Over 2.5 %62%60%67%
Over 3.5 %56%60%50%
Scored3.063.402.50
Conceded0.620.600.67
BTTS31%30%33%
Clean Sheet69%70%67%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FS JelgavaFS Jelgava2673
92%
2.8
7613+63
3.4
81%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.90.5
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2660
73%
2.3
8427+57
4.3
92%
73%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
3GrobiņaGrobiņa2653
65%
2.0
8539+46
4.8
92%
88%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.31.5
-
4Valmiera IIValmiera II2652
65%
2.0
9037+53
4.9
88%
77%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.51.4
-
5Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2646
54%
1.8
7543+32
4.5
92%
77%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.7
-
6JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2645
50%
1.7
3825+13
2.4
62%
35%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
7SkansteSkanste2637
38%
1.4
3441-7
2.9
81%
58%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
8Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2625
27%
1.0
3872-34
4.2
96%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.8
-
9SalaspilsSalaspils2625
27%
1.0
4075-35
4.4
81%
73%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.9
-
10Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2623
23%
0.9
3449-15
3.2
85%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Tukums IITukums II2622
23%
0.8
3366-33
3.8
85%
73%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.5
-
12Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga2622
23%
0.8
1757-40
2.8
69%
50%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
13Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2621
23%
0.8
3370-37
4.0
88%
69%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
14SmilteneSmiltene2616
15%
0.6
2487-63
4.3
85%
77%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.3
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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