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Groningen vs Ajax Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
Groningen
Groningen
Vs
35%
27%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Groningen win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.70
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.58
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajax win✗ Miss
37.7%
Avg Implied 39.5% · @ 2.36
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GroningenGroningen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D00D20W12L02L12L12L12L23LH·FC 13/12A·GO 21/12H·NAC10/01A·HEE18/01H·FOR25/01A·SPA31/01H·PSV08/02H·UTR14/02A·TWE22/02A·FC 01/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.601.791.141.122.00
vs Stronger (9)0.892.221.001.750.802.60
vs Similar (20)1.451.351.670.891.271.73
vs Weaker (1)6.001.006.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L22D21W20W12L22D11D41W11D00DA·AZ 14/01H·GO 17/01A·VIL20/01H·FC 24/01H·OLY28/01A·EXC01/02A·AZ 08/02H·FOR14/02H·NEC21/02A·PEC01/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.871.291.362.122.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.752.500.501.831.003.17
vs Weaker (18)2.391.441.881.002.801.80
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.60-2.9%
Under 2.5
45.0%
@ 2.20+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
Groningen goals ↓
Ajax goals →
01234
06.8%7.1%6.1%3.0%1.1%
16.8%13%8.5%4.2%1.5%
25.6%8.2%6.0%3.0%1.1%
32.6%3.9%2.8%1.4%0.5%
40.9%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Groningen goals (down), columns = Ajax goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Groningen is 0.30 points worse than Ajax in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Groningen is 0.38 goals worse than Ajax in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Groningen is 0.20 goals worse than Ajax in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Groningen is 6.0 percentage points worse than Ajax in terms of average possession (50% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

GroningenGroningen

For 7.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

190102442861163163633481181128101791997919A·FC A·TWEH·UTRH·PSVA·SPAH·FORA·HEEH·NACA·GO H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

60222111513221121224212653332A·FC A·TWEH·UTRH·PSVA·SPAH·FORA·HEEH·NACA·GO H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 8.9 · Total 19.1

⚠️ Fouls

270138681268916812151311768771121141817242724131518A·FC A·TWEH·UTRH·PSVA·SPAH·FORA·HEEH·NACA·GO H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AjaxAjax

For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1503126744214541057153415134659101267A·PECH·NECH·FORA·AZ A·EXCH·OLYH·FC A·VILH·GO A·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

60231131213232421125231245633A·PECH·NECA·AZ A·EXCH·OLYH·FC A·VILH·GO A·AZ A·TEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

27081271611101211512118101310111116101020232123171923212720A·PECH·NECH·FORA·AZ A·EXCH·OLYH·FC A·VILH·GO A·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GroningenGroningen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.49.13.33.53.220.119.820.3
vs Stronger (14)9.310.08.92.94.22.119.420.418.8
vs Similar (35)10.010.79.23.63.43.820.419.721.1
vs Weaker (1)8.08.0-1.01.0-18.018.0-
% over line45%50%40%42%46%38%41%38%44%
% under line55%50%60%58%54%62%59%62%56%
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.89.23.73.93.622.324.220.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)9.59.99.14.75.04.325.126.623.3
vs Weaker (35)9.59.89.23.33.43.321.123.119.3
% over line44%44%44%44%44%44%54%72%36%
% under line56%56%56%56%56%56%46%28%64%
This opponent (Groningen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sparta Rotterdam
10.8
GO Ahead Eagles
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.7
Fortuna Sittard
10.6
Heracles
10.5
FC Volendam
10.4
Telstar
10.4
NEC Nijmegen
10.1
Excelsior
10.0
AZ Alkmaar
9.9
Heerenveen
9.9
NAC Breda
9.8
Twente
9.7
Groningen
9.7
Feyenoord
9.6
Utrecht
9.5
Ajax
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.2
Twente
4.1
Ajax
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Fortuna Sittard
3.9
NAC Breda
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
Heracles
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.7
Groningen
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
Telstar
3.3
Excelsior
3.2
Heerenveen
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fortuna Sittard
24.3
Heracles
23.9
Utrecht
23.4
Telstar
23.1
NEC Nijmegen
23.0
FC Volendam
23.0
Feyenoord
22.8
PEC Zwolle
22.6
Ajax
22.3
Excelsior
22.3
AZ Alkmaar
22.1
NAC Breda
22.1
Twente
21.8
Heerenveen
21.3
Groningen
20.3
GO Ahead Eagles
19.9
Sparta Rotterdam
19.3
PSV Eindhoven
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
45.0%
Under 21.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GroningenGroningen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D00D12L00D10W00D11D11DH·FC 13/12A·GO 21/12H·NAC10/01A·HEE18/01H·FOR25/01A·SPA31/01H·PSV08/02H·UTR14/02A·TWE22/02A·FC 01/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.790.430.500.75
vs Stronger (9)0.330.890.250.250.401.40
vs Similar (20)0.700.500.890.560.550.45
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W00D20W00D20W00D31W10W00DA·AZ 14/01H·GO 17/01A·VIL20/01H·FC 24/01H·OLY28/01A·EXC01/02A·AZ 08/02H·FOR14/02H·NEC21/02A·PEC01/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.800.860.500.941.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.251.250.170.670.331.83
vs Weaker (18)1.330.501.380.381.300.60
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Groningen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GroningenGroningen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D20W00D02L02L12L01L12LH·FC 13/12A·GO 21/12H·NAC10/01A·HEE18/01H·FOR25/01A·SPA31/01H·PSV08/02H·UTR14/02A·TWE22/02A·FC 01/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.001.000.710.621.25
vs Stronger (9)0.561.330.751.500.401.20
vs Similar (20)0.750.850.780.330.731.27
vs Weaker (1)4.001.004.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajax) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjaxAjax

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L21W00D12L02L11D10W01L00DA·AZ 14/01H·GO 17/01A·VIL20/01H·FC 24/01H·OLY28/01A·EXC01/02A·AZ 08/02H·FOR14/02H·NEC21/02A·PEC01/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.070.430.861.191.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.501.250.331.170.671.33
vs Weaker (18)1.060.940.500.621.501.20
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Groningen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Groningen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thom van Bergen25%
Younes Taha18%
Stije Resink16%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson14%
Oskar Zawada12%
Tika de Jonge10%
Tygo Land10%
Marco Rente10%
Marvin Peersman9%
David van der Werff8%
Dies Janse6%
Mats Seuntjens6%
Thijmen Blokzijl3%
Jorg Schreuders3%
Etienne Vaessen0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Mark Hoekstra0%
Travis Hernes0%
Wouter Prins0%
Tyrique Mercera0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Hoekstra25%
Dies Janse21%
Stije Resink20%
Younes Taha18%
Marvin Peersman17%
Tygo Land13%
Tyrique Mercera13%
Thijmen Blokzijl11%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson10%
Tika de Jonge10%
Etienne Vaessen10%
Travis Hernes9%
Thom van Bergen8%
Jorg Schreuders8%
Marco Rente6%
Oskar Zawada6%
Mats Seuntjens6%
David van der Werff6%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Wouter Prins0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Younes Taha24%
Stije Resink20%
Thom van Bergen11%
Marco Rente10%
Wouter Prins9%
Jorg Schreuders8%
Dies Janse6%
Marvin Peersman6%
David van der Werff6%
Tyrique Mercera4%
Tika de Jonge3%
Tygo Land3%
Etienne Vaessen3%
Thijmen Blokzijl3%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson0%
Mats Seuntjens0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Oskar Zawada0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Mark Hoekstra0%
Travis Hernes0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thom van Bergen36%
Younes Taha32%
Stije Resink20%
David van der Werff11%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson7%
Marvin Peersman6%
Jorg Schreuders6%
Dies Janse3%
Etienne Vaessen0%
Mats Seuntjens0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Oskar Zawada0%
Marco Rente0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Mark Hoekstra0%
Travis Hernes0%
Tygo Land0%
Wouter Prins0%
Tyrique Mercera0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Godts32%
Oscar Gloukh21%
Wout Weghorst21%
Davy Klaassen20%
Kasper Dolberg17%
Steven Berghuis14%
Jorthy Mokio11%
Kenneth Taylor11%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Anton Gaaei8%
Owen Wijndal7%
Youri Baas7%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Raúl Moro5%
Kian Fitz-Jim5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wout Weghorst26%
Aaron Bouwman21%
Youri Regeer16%
Anton Gaaei16%
Kenneth Taylor16%
Lucas Rosa15%
Owen Wijndal15%
James McConnell14%
Rayane Bounida14%
Steven Berghuis14%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen14%
Youri Baas12%
Kou Itakura12%
Kian Fitz-Jim9%
Mika Godts9%
Sean Steur8%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Davy Klaassen7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Vítězslav Jaroš4%
Kasper Dolberg3%
Josip Šutalo3%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mika Godts34%
Kenneth Taylor21%
Rayane Bounida18%
Oscar Gloukh16%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu11%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Raúl Moro10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Jorthy Mokio8%
Sean Steur8%
Youri Regeer5%
Davy Klaassen5%
Steven Berghuis5%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen5%
Lucas Rosa3%
Youri Baas2%
Josip Šutalo0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kou Itakura0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Godts27%
Steven Berghuis23%
Anton Gaaei14%
Wout Weghorst12%
Kasper Dolberg10%
Don-Angelo Konadu9%
Oscar Gloukh8%
Rayane Bounida7%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Jorthy Mokio5%
Raúl Moro5%
Sean Steur4%
Kou Itakura4%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Owen Wijndal0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Maarten Paes0%
Kenneth Taylor0%
Lucas Rosa0%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen0%
Youri Regeer0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
James McConnell0%
Youri Baas0%
Gerald Alders0%
Maher Carrizo0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Groningen's squad is €141m less valuable than Ajax's (€32m vs €173m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Groningen's attack is €83m less valuable than Ajax's (€12m vs €95m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Groningen's midfield is €9m less valuable than Ajax's (€6m vs €15m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Groningen's defence is €49m less valuable than Ajax's (€14m vs €63m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
GRO wins
1
Draws
7
AJA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Groningen vs Ajax · H/A from GRO
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/25AAjax Vs GRO2-0
14/05/25HGRO Vs Ajax2-2
06/10/24AAjax Vs GRO3-1
16/05/23HGRO Vs Ajax2-3
14/05/23HGRO Vs Ajax2-3
14/08/22AAjax Vs GRO6-1
02/04/22HGRO Vs Ajax1-3
25/09/21AAjax Vs GRO3-0

GroningenGroningen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26AFC Volendam Vs GRO3-2
22/02/26ATwente Vs GRO2-1
14/02/26HGRO Vs Utrecht1-2
08/02/26HGRO Vs PSV Eindhoven1-2
31/01/26ASparta Rotterdam Vs GRO2-0
25/01/26HGRO Vs Fortuna Sittard1-2
18/01/26AHeerenveen Vs GRO0-2
10/01/26HGRO Vs NAC Breda0-0
21/12/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs GRO1-1
13/12/25HGRO Vs FC Volendam3-0

AjaxAjax

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26APEC Zwolle Vs AJA0-0
21/02/26HAJA Vs NEC Nijmegen1-1
14/02/26HAJA Vs Fortuna Sittard4-1
08/02/26AAZ Alkmaar Vs AJA1-1
01/02/26AExcelsior Vs AJA2-2
28/01/26HAJA Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-2
24/01/26HAJA Vs FC Volendam2-0
20/01/26AVillarreal Vs AJA1-2
17/01/26HAJA Vs GO Ahead Eagles2-2
14/01/26AAZ Alkmaar Vs AJA6-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Groningen
Groningen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.22
HomeWDLLL1.67
AwayDWLLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%23%
AVG goals2.842.503.15
Over 1.5 %82%71%92%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.301.581.04
Conceded1.540.922.12
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet26%42%12%
Corners9.7610.429.12
Cards3.553.653.46
Ajax
Ajax
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDD1.54
HomeDWLWD1.52
AwayLWDDD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals3.282.683.88
Over 1.5 %94%100%88%
Over 2.5 %60%44%76%
Over 3.5 %42%20%64%
Scored1.641.441.84
Conceded1.641.242.04
BTTS60%48%72%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners9.509.849.16
Cards3.984.223.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches