This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.03
2.27
0.87
1.53
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.83
1.07
2.14
0.93
1.53
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Willem II
2.08
Groningen
1.97
Roda
1.97
Dordrecht
1.82
ADO Den Haag
1.66
De Graafschap
1.66
Emmen
1.50
Jong AZ
1.47
MVV
1.47
NAC Breda
1.47
Helmond Sport
1.34
VVV Venlo
1.26
Cambuur
1.24
FC Eindhoven
1.13
Jong Ajax
1.05
Jong PSV U21
1.05
Telstar
0.92
FC OSS
0.89
Den Bosch
0.87
Jong Utrecht
0.68
Groningen is 0.11 points worse than Willem II in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 2.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Willem II
2.03
Dordrecht
1.95
ADO Den Haag
1.89
Groningen
1.87
Cambuur
1.87
Roda
1.82
MVV
1.68
Jong PSV U21
1.66
NAC Breda
1.66
Jong AZ
1.63
De Graafschap
1.61
Emmen
1.55
Jong Ajax
1.42
VVV Venlo
1.39
Helmond Sport
1.37
Telstar
1.24
FC Eindhoven
1.18
Den Bosch
1.00
FC OSS
0.84
Jong Utrecht
0.84
Groningen is 0.16 goals worse than Willem II in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 2.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Groningen
0.79
Roda
0.89
Willem II
0.92
ADO Den Haag
1.32
Dordrecht
1.34
De Graafschap
1.37
Helmond Sport
1.45
NAC Breda
1.47
FC Eindhoven
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.53
Emmen
1.58
MVV
1.58
Jong AZ
1.61
FC OSS
1.74
Den Bosch
1.79
Telstar
1.79
Jong Ajax
1.82
Cambuur
1.95
Jong Utrecht
1.95
Jong PSV U21
2.13
Groningen is 0.13 goals better than Willem II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jong PSV U21
57%
Jong Ajax
55%
Groningen
54%
NAC Breda
53%
Jong AZ
53%
Dordrecht
53%
De Graafschap
52%
ADO Den Haag
52%
Roda
52%
Cambuur
51%
Willem II
51%
Emmen
50%
VVV Venlo
50%
Helmond Sport
49%
MVV
48%
Telstar
47%
FC Eindhoven
46%
Jong Utrecht
45%
Den Bosch
45%
FC OSS
40%
Groningen is 3.2 percentage points better than Willem II in terms of average possession (54% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Groningen
For 3.7 · Against 7.3 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 0.7 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 18.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Willem II
For 4.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Groningen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.9
8.3
0.9
1.0
0.8
20.0
17.6
23.1
vs Stronger (14)
8.0
8.0
8.0
0.5
0.4
0.6
21.8
19.0
24.5
vs Similar (30)
11.2
11.7
10.0
1.1
1.3
0.9
19.0
17.1
23.3
vs Weaker (6)
6.0
-
6.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
21.5
-
21.5
% over line
50%
78%
14%
10%
12%
8%
25%
11%
43%
% under line
50%
22%
86%
90%
88%
92%
75%
89%
57%
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.2
9.9
2.9
3.0
2.9
19.9
20.3
19.6
vs Stronger (4)
9.5
8.0
11.0
2.0
2.5
1.5
17.5
16.0
19.0
vs Similar (44)
9.1
8.5
9.7
3.0
3.0
3.0
19.9
20.4
19.3
vs Weaker (2)
6.5
2.0
11.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
26.5
27.0
26.0
% over line
46%
29%
62%
36%
32%
40%
40%
46%
33%
% under line
54%
71%
38%
64%
68%
60%
60%
54%
67%
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Cambuur
10.8
VVV Venlo
10.4
Den Bosch
9.9
Emmen
9.9
NAC Breda
9.7
De Graafschap
9.7
ADO Den Haag
9.6
Roda
9.6
MVV
9.5
Helmond Sport
9.5
Jong Ajax
9.4
Jong Utrecht
9.3
FC Eindhoven
9.2
Dordrecht
9.2
Willem II
9.1
Jong AZ
9.1
Groningen
9.0
FC OSS
9.0
Jong PSV U21
8.9
Telstar
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dordrecht
4.1
Jong AZ
3.8
FC Eindhoven
3.8
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Jong Utrecht
3.7
Roda
3.7
Jong Ajax
3.7
MVV
3.7
NAC Breda
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
Telstar
3.6
Emmen
3.5
Cambuur
3.5
FC OSS
3.4
Jong PSV U21
3.4
Den Bosch
3.3
VVV Venlo
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Groningen
3.2
De Graafschap
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
26.1
Dordrecht
23.9
Roda
22.8
FC Eindhoven
22.5
Emmen
22.4
Jong AZ
22.4
FC OSS
22.3
Jong Utrecht
22.3
ADO Den Haag
22.2
Groningen
21.7
NAC Breda
21.7
Helmond Sport
21.2
VVV Venlo
21.1
Jong PSV U21
20.9
Den Bosch
20.8
Cambuur
20.7
De Graafschap
20.6
MVV
19.9
Willem II
19.8
Jong Ajax
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.1%
Under 21.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Groningen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.75
0.88
0.21
0.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.00
1.17
1.33
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.73
0.38
0.50
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.07
0.27
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.45
1.00
0.29
0.67
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Groningen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Groningen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.47
0.69
1.31
0.29
1.64
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.70
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
1.53
0.88
1.25
0.43
1.86
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
1.20
0.60
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.00
0.62
1.14
0.64
0.87
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Groningen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Groningen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romano Postema34%
Thom van Bergen22%
Kevin van Veen21%
Jorg Schreuders21%
Johan Hove18%
Luciano Valente18%
Laros Duarte17%
Liam van Gelderen17%
Paulos Abraham17%
Radinio Balker16%
Marvin Peersman8%
Kristian Stromland Lien7%
Rui Mendes7%
Marco Rente6%
Leandro Bacuna3%
Isak Dybvik Määttä3%
Michael Verrips0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Nick Bakker0%
Daleho Irandust0%
Kian Slor0%
Noam Emeran0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Fofin Turay0%
Wouter Prins0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin van Veen21%
Wouter Prins20%
Isak Dybvik Määttä18%
Marco Rente17%
Liam van Gelderen17%
Radinio Balker16%
Joey Pelupessy12%
Luciano Valente12%
Romano Postema11%
Marvin Peersman11%
Jorg Schreuders10%
Leandro Bacuna9%
Laros Duarte9%
Thom van Bergen8%
Rui Mendes7%
Johan Hove6%
Hidde Jurjus4%
Michael Verrips0%
Nick Bakker0%
Daleho Irandust0%
Kristian Stromland Lien0%
Kian Slor0%
Paulos Abraham0%
Noam Emeran0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Fofin Turay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daleho Irandust25%
Leandro Bacuna18%
Luciano Valente18%
Laros Duarte17%
Paulos Abraham17%
Thom van Bergen17%
Marvin Peersman16%
Johan Hove15%
Romano Postema11%
Tika de Jonge11%
Isak Dybvik Määttä9%
Marco Rente9%
Noam Emeran8%
Jorg Schreuders7%
Rui Mendes7%
Wouter Prins7%
Hidde Jurjus4%
Michael Verrips0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Nick Bakker0%
Radinio Balker0%
Liam van Gelderen0%
Kristian Stromland Lien0%
Kian Slor0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Fofin Turay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin van Veen43%
Luciano Valente26%
Romano Postema20%
Laros Duarte17%
Liam van Gelderen17%
Paulos Abraham17%
Jorg Schreuders14%
Kristian Stromland Lien13%
Johan Hove12%
Radinio Balker11%
Rui Mendes7%
Leandro Bacuna6%
Marco Rente3%
Thom van Bergen3%
Marvin Peersman3%
Michael Verrips0%
Joey Pelupessy0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Nick Bakker0%
Daleho Irandust0%
Isak Dybvik Määttä0%
Kian Slor0%
Noam Emeran0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Fofin Turay0%
Wouter Prins0%
Willem II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jeredy Hilterman40%
Thijs Oosting29%
Jeremy Bokila23%
Ringo Meerveld22%
Max Svensson17%
Rob Nizet15%
Jesse Bosch14%
Michael de Leeuw11%
Freek Heerkens9%
Tommy St. Jago8%
Max de Waal7%
Nick Doodeman6%
Raffael Behounek5%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson4%
Matthias Verreth3%
Erik Schouten3%
Valentino Vermeulen0%
Joshua Smits0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Niels van Berkel0%
Amine Lachkar0%
Khaled Razak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesse Bosch25%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson22%
Khaled Razak20%
Freek Heerkens18%
Tommy St. Jago17%
Raffael Behounek16%
Valentino Vermeulen13%
Jeremy Bokila13%
Amine Lachkar12%
Matthias Verreth11%
Niels van Berkel10%
Erik Schouten8%
Michael de Leeuw7%
Nick Doodeman6%
Joshua Smits5%
Max Svensson4%
Thijs Oosting3%
Jeredy Hilterman3%
Ringo Meerveld3%
Patrick Joosten0%
Rob Nizet0%
Max de Waal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Doodeman34%
Niels van Berkel30%
Jeredy Hilterman20%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson17%
Rob Nizet15%
Thijs Oosting15%
Ringo Meerveld14%
Raffael Behounek11%
Freek Heerkens9%
Jesse Bosch8%
Valentino Vermeulen7%
Jeremy Bokila6%
Amine Lachkar6%
Matthias Verreth6%
Michael de Leeuw4%
Erik Schouten3%
Joshua Smits0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Max Svensson0%
Tommy St. Jago0%
Max de Waal0%
Khaled Razak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jeredy Hilterman40%
Thijs Oosting18%
Jeremy Bokila13%
Max Svensson9%
Michael de Leeuw7%
Matthias Verreth6%
Ringo Meerveld6%
Freek Heerkens5%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson4%
Jesse Bosch3%
Raffael Behounek0%
Valentino Vermeulen0%
Joshua Smits0%
Erik Schouten0%
Nick Doodeman0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Tommy St. Jago0%
Rob Nizet0%
Max de Waal0%
Niels van Berkel0%
Amine Lachkar0%
Khaled Razak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (24)
€32m
JA (24)
€19m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
JPU (14)
€7m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
Groningen's squad is €19m more valuable than Willem II's (€32m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (7)
€12m
ADH (11)
€7m
WI (8)
€4m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Groningen's attack is €8m more valuable than Willem II's (€12m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (5)
€6m
WI (4)
€4m
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Groningen's midfield is €2m more valuable than Willem II's (€6m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (12)
€14m
JA (11)
€12m
CAM (10)
€8m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Groningen's defence is €10m more valuable than Willem II's (€14m vs €5m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →