PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Grotta vs Afturelding Result & Analysis

Date: 12/08/2022
Time: 19:15
Final 4-2
Grotta
Grotta
Vs
53%
21%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grotta win✓ Hit
52.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Afturelding win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W25L10W01L41W13L30W13L12L12LA·THO16/06H·FYL23/06H·THR27/06A·KÓR01/07H·FJO05/07A·GRI09/07H·SEL14/07A·VES23/07A·HK 27/07A·KV05/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.473.141.001.001.88
vs Stronger (9)2.001.334.000.671.001.67
vs Similar (6)2.001.672.501.251.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L10W41W22D21W12L41W54W41W01LA·KV09/06A·THR16/06H·THO24/06A·FYL01/07H·KÓR05/07A·FJO09/07A·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·SEL26/07H·HK 05/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.531.431.292.251.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.921.621.331.172.432.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.7%
Under 1.5
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.6%
Under 2.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
74.2%
No
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
3-0
3.9%
Grotta goals ↓
Afturelding goals →
01234
02.5%2.3%2.5%1.4%0.6%
13.5%7.7%5.9%3.3%1.4%
25.0%8.3%6.9%3.8%1.6%
33.9%6.5%5.4%3.0%1.3%
42.3%3.8%3.2%1.8%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grotta goals (down), columns = Afturelding goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fylkir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grotta
1.68
Fjolnir
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.50
Selfoss
1.45
Thor Akureyri
1.36
Afturelding
1.32
Vestri
1.27
Grindavik
1.23
KV
0.82
Thróttur Vogar
0.27
Grotta is 0.36 points better than Afturelding in terms of average points per game (1.68 vs 1.32).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fylkir
2.86
Fjolnir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grindavik
1.95
Grotta
1.91
Selfoss
1.86
Afturelding
1.77
Vestri
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.64
Thor Akureyri
1.41
KV
1.23
Thróttur Vogar
0.36
Grotta is 0.14 goals better than Afturelding in terms of goals scored per game (1.91 vs 1.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fylkir
1.05
HK Kopavogur
1.36
Kórdrengir
1.36
Grotta
1.50
Thor Akureyri
1.59
Fjolnir
1.68
Afturelding
1.77
Selfoss
1.77
Vestri
2.00
Grindavik
2.05
KV
2.36
Thróttur Vogar
2.55
Grotta is 0.27 goals better than Afturelding in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrottaGrotta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W01L21W01L20W01L11D00DA·THO16/06H·FYL23/06H·THR27/06A·KÓR01/07H·FJO05/07A·GRI09/07H·SEL14/07A·VES23/07A·HK 27/07A·KV05/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.731.570.570.250.88
vs Stronger (9)0.890.782.330.670.170.83
vs Similar (6)0.830.671.000.500.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W02L11D01L01L12L20W00DA·KV09/06A·THR16/06H·THO24/06A·FYL01/07H·KÓR05/07A·FJO09/07A·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·SEL26/07H·HK 05/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.710.140.380.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.620.670.170.431.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grotta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrottaGrotta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L00D00D20W12L10W12L01L12LA·THO16/06H·FYL23/06H·THR27/06A·KÓR01/07H·FJO05/07A·GRI09/07H·SEL14/07A·VES23/07A·HK 27/07A·KV05/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.731.570.430.751.00
vs Stronger (9)1.110.561.670.000.830.83
vs Similar (6)1.171.001.500.750.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W21W20W10W11D40W42W21W01LA·KV09/06A·THR16/06H·THO24/06A·FYL01/07H·KÓR05/07A·FJO09/07A·VES16/07A·GRI21/07A·SEL26/07H·HK 05/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.000.711.141.880.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.381.000.671.002.001.00
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grotta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes74.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
Grotta and Afturelding have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
Grotta and Afturelding have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Grotta and Afturelding have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (10)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Grotta and Afturelding have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
GRO wins
1
Draws
0
AFT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grotta vs Afturelding · H/A from GRO
DateH/AGameScore
03/06/22AAfturelding Vs GRO2-2

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/22AKV Vs GRO2-1
27/07/22AHK Kopavogur Vs GRO2-1
23/07/22AVestri Vs GRO3-1
14/07/22HGRO Vs Selfoss3-0
09/07/22AGrindavik Vs GRO3-1
05/07/22HGRO Vs Fjolnir4-1
01/07/22AKórdrengir Vs GRO1-0
27/06/22HGRO Vs Thróttur Vogar1-0
23/06/22HGRO Vs Fylkir2-5
16/06/22AThor Akureyri Vs GRO0-1

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/22HAFT Vs HK Kopavogur0-1
26/07/22ASelfoss Vs AFT1-4
21/07/22AGrindavik Vs AFT4-5
16/07/22AVestri Vs AFT1-4
09/07/22AFjolnir Vs AFT2-1
05/07/22HAFT Vs Kórdrengir2-1
01/07/22AFylkir Vs AFT2-2
24/06/22HAFT Vs Thor Akureyri4-1
16/06/22AThróttur Vogar Vs AFT0-1
09/06/22AKV Vs AFT2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grotta
Grotta
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.47
HomeWLWWW2.57
AwayLLLLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%86%12%
AVG goals3.474.142.88
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %73%71%75%
Over 3.5 %47%57%38%
Scored2.003.141.00
Conceded1.471.001.88
BTTS60%43%75%
Clean Sheet33%57%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.47
HomeDDWWL1.29
AwayDLWWW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%29%50%
AVG goals3.402.714.00
Over 1.5 %87%86%88%
Over 2.5 %60%43%75%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored1.871.432.25
Conceded1.531.291.75
BTTS73%71%75%
Clean Sheet7%0%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FylkirFylkir2251
73%
2.3
6323+40
3.9
86%
68%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.0
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2246
68%
2.1
4630+16
3.5
91%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.4
-
3GrottaGrotta2237
55%
1.7
4233+9
3.4
73%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.5
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2236
50%
1.6
5137+14
4.0
91%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
5KórdrengirKórdrengir2233
41%
1.5
3630+6
3.0
77%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6SelfossSelfoss2232
41%
1.5
4139+2
3.6
91%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2230
41%
1.4
3135-4
3.0
73%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.6
-
8AftureldingAfturelding2229
36%
1.3
3939+0
3.5
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.8
-
9VestriVestri2228
32%
1.3
3644-8
3.6
86%
73%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2227
32%
1.2
4345-2
4.0
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
11KVKV2218
23%
0.8
2752-25
3.6
95%
77%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar226
5%
0.3
856-48
2.9
82%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.5
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

← all matches