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Grotta vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 26/06/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 1-3
Grotta
Grotta
Vs
55%
23%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grotta win✗ Miss
54.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik win✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W03L11D10W22D43W22D11D03L23LH·NJA13/04H·THO25/04A·AFT03/05H·KEF10/05A·GRI20/05H·LEI25/05A·DAL01/06H·THR07/06H·IBV13/06H·NJA19/06
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.931.561.881.142.00
vs Stronger (16)1.061.941.111.781.002.14
vs Similar (13)1.691.922.142.001.171.83
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-771W11D21W11D01L11D05L22D03L31WA·KV13/04A·KA 25/04A·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05A·LEI18/05H·DAL25/05A·THR31/05H·IBV07/06A·NJA13/06H·FJO20/06
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.932.072.502.831.561.56
vs Stronger (3)2.332.673.003.501.001.00
vs Similar (12)1.831.922.252.501.621.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.1%
Under 3.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.8%
No
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
Grotta goals ↓
IR Reykjavik goals →
01234
05.0%3.9%3.0%1.2%0.4%
17.1%11%5.9%2.4%0.7%
28.1%9.8%5.9%2.4%0.7%
35.4%6.5%4.0%1.6%0.5%
42.7%3.3%2.0%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grotta goals (down), columns = IR Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.77
Afturelding
1.72
Keflavik
1.64
IR Reykjavik
1.58
Fjolnir
1.58
Njardvik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.36
Leiknir R.
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.18
Grindavik
1.18
Grotta
0.73
Dalvík / Reynir
0.59
Grotta is 0.86 points worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.27
Grindavik
1.82
Keflavik
1.72
Afturelding
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.68
Njardvik
1.55
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.46
Thor Akureyri
1.45
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Grotta
1.41
Dalvík / Reynir
1.05
Grotta is 0.01 goals worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Keflavik
1.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.23
Fjolnir
1.29
Njardvik
1.32
Throttur Reykjavik
1.41
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Afturelding
1.48
Leiknir R.
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.73
Grindavik
2.09
Dalvík / Reynir
2.23
Grotta
2.27
Grotta is 0.86 goals worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (2.27 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrottaGrotta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L10W01L12L02L11D02L00DH·NJA13/04H·THO25/04A·AFT03/05H·KEF10/05A·GRI20/05H·LEI25/05A·DAL01/06H·THR07/06H·IBV13/06H·NJA19/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.880.810.431.00
vs Stronger (16)0.500.750.670.560.291.00
vs Similar (13)0.771.001.141.140.330.83
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W00D21W01L01L10W02L21W02L00DA·KV13/04A·KA 25/04A·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05A·LEI18/05H·DAL25/05A·THR31/05H·IBV07/06A·NJA13/06H·FJO20/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.001.331.170.890.89
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (12)1.171.081.501.251.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grotta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrottaGrotta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L10W00D21W31W20W00D01L23LH·NJA13/04H·THO25/04A·AFT03/05H·KEF10/05A·GRI20/05H·LEI25/05A·DAL01/06H·THR07/06H·IBV13/06H·NJA19/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.030.691.060.711.00
vs Stronger (16)0.561.190.441.220.711.14
vs Similar (13)0.920.921.000.860.831.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D00D10W00D01L03L01L01L31WA·KV13/04A·KA 25/04A·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05A·LEI18/05H·DAL25/05A·THR31/05H·IBV07/06A·NJA13/06H·FJO20/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.071.171.670.670.67
vs Stronger (3)1.672.002.002.501.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.830.751.250.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grotta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
Grotta and IR Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Grotta and IR Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
Grotta and IR Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
Grotta and IR Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
GRO wins
0
Draws
0
IR wins

Head-to-head

Grotta vs IR Reykjavik · H/A from GRO
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/06/24HGRO Vs Njardvik2-3
13/06/24HGRO Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-3
07/06/24HGRO Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-1
01/06/24ADalvík / Reynir Vs GRO2-2
25/05/24HGRO Vs Leiknir R.4-3
20/05/24AGrindavik Vs GRO2-2
10/05/24HGRO Vs Keflavik1-0
03/05/24AAfturelding Vs GRO1-1
25/04/24HGRO Vs Thor Akureyri0-3
13/04/24HGRO Vs Njardvik3-2

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/06/24HIR Vs Fjolnir3-1
13/06/24ANjardvik Vs IR3-0
07/06/24HIR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-2
31/05/24AThrottur Reykjavik Vs IR5-0
25/05/24HIR Vs Dalvík / Reynir1-1
18/05/24ALeiknir R. Vs IR1-0
10/05/24AGrindavik Vs IR1-1
03/05/24AKeflavik Vs IR1-2
25/04/24AKA Akureyri Vs IR1-1
13/04/24AKV Vs IR1-7

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grotta
Grotta
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.26
HomeWWDLL1.74
AwayLLDDD0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%52%13%
AVG goals3.363.633.04
Over 1.5 %82%85%78%
Over 2.5 %72%74%70%
Over 3.5 %50%52%48%
Scored1.561.961.09
Conceded1.801.671.96
BTTS68%63%74%
Clean Sheet20%26%13%
Corners---
Cards---
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.47
HomeLLDDW1.33
AwayWDLLL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%33%44%
AVG goals4.005.333.11
Over 1.5 %87%100%78%
Over 2.5 %67%83%56%
Over 3.5 %47%83%22%
Scored1.932.501.56
Conceded2.072.831.56
BTTS73%100%56%
Clean Sheet7%0%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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