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Grotta vs Throttur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Grotta
Grotta
Vs
41%
22%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Grotta's recent surge in form, having won two of their last four matches, including a convincing 3-0 victory over Vestri, sets the stage for this encounter with Throttur Reykjavik. Meanwhile, Throttur Reykjavik are on a three-match winning streak, albeit with a 4-1 loss in their last match against Afturelding.

The model predicts a home win, with a 41% chance of Grotta emerging victorious, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 37% chance of Throttur Reykjavik winning. The expected total goals is 4.1, with the most likely total goals being 6 or more, occurring at a 23% probability. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring at a 7.6% probability.

Grotta's home form is marked by an average of 1.55 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded, while Throttur Reykjavik's away form sees them average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded against similar opponents.

The model's selections include Over 1.5, which it suggests at a 92.4% probability, with a 7% edge, Over 2.5 at 77.9% with a 9% edge, and BTTS Yes at 76.8% with a 10% edge. The home win percentage is 41%, the draw percentage is 22%, and the away win percentage is 37%.

Results analysis

The draw between Grotta and Throttur Reykjavik extends the recent trend of stalemates between these two teams, with both matches ending in a 1-1 scoreline. The actual result defied the pre-match favourite, as Grotta, with a 41% chance of winning, failed to come out on top. The model's selection, a Home win, proved incorrect. The model's Over 1.5 pick hit, with a 92.4% probability, while the Over 2.5 selection missed, with a 77.9% probability. The BTTS Yes pick also hit, with a 76.8% probability. The final score was 1-1, a fitting outcome given the recent form of both teams.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grotta win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.88
Edge
+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.11
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Unibet
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
Draw✓ Hit
21.7%
Avg Implied 22.5% · @ 4.02
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.22
BetVictor
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.20
10Bet
4.10
Throttur Reykjavik win✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied 54.1% · @ 1.67
Edge
-17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
Dafabet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L13L20W21W10W40W11D12L61W30WH·IA 11/02A·THO14/02A·THR14/03H·ÚLF26/03H·ÁLF06/04A·VES14/05A·FYL13/06H·GRI14/07H·ÆGI18/07A·VES03/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.502.031.732.131.271.93
vs Stronger (16)1.252.251.501.900.832.83
vs Similar (13)1.461.851.253.001.561.33
vs Weaker (1)6.001.006.001.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-741W07L40W30W31W22D12L10W51W41WA·LEI31/01H·FH 06/02H·BRE13/02H·FYL05/03H·VIK28/03A·IBV04/04H·BRE13/05H·VÖL18/07A·LEI23/07H·AFT29/07
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.772.241.762.381.77
vs Stronger (5)2.201.602.251.752.001.00
vs Similar (19)2.162.052.182.002.122.12
vs Weaker (6)2.831.002.500.503.001.25
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%2%05%114%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.4%
@ 1.08+6.5%
Under 1.5
7.6%
@ 6.54-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Under
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.35
Marathonbet
6.35
888Sport
6.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
77.9%
@ 1.34+9.2%
Under 2.5
22.1%
@ 2.94-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.10
Unibet
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.9%
@ 1.89+9.9%
Under 3.5
41.1%
@ 1.82-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
10Bet
1.93
888Sport
1.91
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Under
Betfair
1.90
Unibet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
76.8%
@ 1.38+10.4%
No
23.2%
@ 2.73-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
888Sport
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.38
No
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.78
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.71

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
7.6%@ 8.23+2.4%
2-2
7.3%@ 10.28+3.1%
2-1
7.3%@ 12.13+3.8%
1-2
6.9%@ 7.63+1.3%
3-2
5.2%@ 21.49+3.2%
3-1
5.1%@ 24.38+3.4%
2-3
4.9%@ 13.88+1.8%
1-3
4.6%@ 10.27+0.4%
Grotta goals ↓
Throttur Reykjavik goals →
01234
02.3%2.6%3.3%2.2%1.1%
12.8%7.6%6.9%4.6%2.3%
23.6%7.3%7.3%4.9%2.4%
32.6%5.1%5.2%3.4%1.7%
41.4%2.7%2.7%1.8%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grotta goals (down), columns = Throttur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
Grotta is 1.11 points worse than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
Grotta is 1.19 goals worse than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 2.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
Grotta is 0.40 goals worse than Throttur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrottaGrotta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L10W00D10W40W10W11D40W20WH·IA 11/02A·THO14/02A·THR14/03H·ÚLF26/03H·ÁLF06/04A·VES14/05A·FYL13/06H·GRI14/07H·ÆGI18/07A·VES03/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.670.600.800.53
vs Stronger (16)0.500.560.500.500.500.67
vs Similar (13)0.770.620.251.001.000.44
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L20W10W10W10W01L00D20W30WA·LEI31/01H·FH 06/02H·BRE13/02H·FYL05/03H·VIK28/03A·IBV04/04H·BRE13/05H·VÖL18/07A·LEI23/07H·AFT29/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.940.760.540.46
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.750.750.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.790.681.000.820.500.50
vs Weaker (6)0.830.331.000.500.750.25
Clean sheet %53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grotta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrottaGrotta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D10W21W00D00D01L01L21W10WH·IA 11/02A·THO14/02A·THR14/03H·ÚLF26/03H·ÁLF06/04A·VES14/05A·FYL13/06H·GRI14/07H·ÆGI18/07A·VES03/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.471.071.530.471.40
vs Stronger (16)0.751.691.001.400.332.17
vs Similar (13)0.691.231.002.000.560.89
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Throttur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W03L20W20W21W12L11D10W31W11DA·LEI31/01H·FH 06/02H·BRE13/02H·FYL05/03H·VIK28/03A·IBV04/04H·BRE13/05H·VÖL18/07A·LEI23/07H·AFT29/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.131.291.001.851.31
vs Stronger (5)1.600.801.501.002.000.00
vs Similar (19)1.371.371.181.181.621.62
vs Weaker (6)2.000.671.500.002.251.00
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Grotta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grotta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grotta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Throttur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.4%1.08
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+6.5%✓ Hit
Over 2.577.9%1.34
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+9.2%✗ Miss
BTTS Yes76.8%1.38
Bet365
1.44
888Sport
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.38
+10.4%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
Grotta and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
Grotta and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Grotta and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
Grotta and Throttur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
GRO wins
2
Draws
2
TR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grotta vs Throttur Reykjavik · H/A from GRO
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/24AThrottur Reykjavik Vs GRO3-1
07/06/24HGRO Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-1
25/08/23HGRO Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-2
22/06/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs GRO2-1

GrottaGrotta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/26AVestri Vs GRO0-3
18/07/26HGRO Vs Ægir6-1
14/07/26HGRO Vs Grindavik1-2
13/06/26AFylkir Vs GRO1-1
14/05/26AVestri Vs GRO0-4
06/04/26HGRO Vs Álftanes1-0
26/03/26HGRO Vs Úlfarnir2-1
14/03/26AThróttur Vogar Vs GRO0-2
14/02/26AThor Akureyri Vs GRO3-1
11/02/26HGRO Vs IA Akranes1-3

Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/26HTR Vs Afturelding4-1
23/07/26ALeiknir R. Vs TR1-5
18/07/26HTR Vs Völsungur1-0
13/05/26HTR Vs Breidablik1-2
04/04/26AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs TR2-2
28/03/26HTR Vs Vikingur Olafsiik3-1
05/03/26HTR Vs Fylkir3-0
13/02/26HTR Vs Breidablik4-0
06/02/26HTR Vs FH hafnarfjordur0-7
31/01/26ALeiknir R. Vs TR1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grotta
Grotta
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.00
HomeLWWLW1.38
AwayLWWDW0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%42%12%
AVG goals3.483.773.17
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %76%85%67%
Over 3.5 %48%50%46%
Scored1.481.731.21
Conceded2.002.041.96
BTTS70%73%67%
Clean Sheet14%15%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Throttur Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.68
HomeWWLWW1.69
AwayLLWDW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals3.924.073.71
Over 1.5 %88%90%86%
Over 2.5 %82%86%76%
Over 3.5 %60%69%48%
Scored2.202.282.10
Conceded1.721.791.62
BTTS78%76%81%
Clean Sheet14%17%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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