PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 2-2
Guilsfield
Guilsfield
Vs
66%
18%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Guilsfield is the clear favourite to win against Ruthin Town, with a 65% chance of taking all three points. The model's high rating of Guilsfield is due in part to Ruthin Town's struggles at home, where they've conceded an average of 3 goals per match against stronger opponents. Guilsfield, on the other hand, has a strong home record, scoring an average of 2 goals per match and conceding just 1.29 against weaker opponents.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.9 goals and a most likely total of 6 or more goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 to Guilsfield, with a probability of 8.9%. Guilsfield's strong home form and Ruthin Town's away struggles suggest a home win is the most likely outcome.

The model's selection is the home win, with a 65% chance of success. Other selections with high probabilities include the over 1.5 goals, which has a 90.9% chance of occurring, and the over 2.5 goals, with a 74.9% chance. Guilsfield has a 65% chance of winning, a 18% chance of drawing, and a 16% chance of losing to Ruthin Town.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Guilsfield, failed to secure the win, ending in a 2-2 draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The model had given the home side a 66 % chance of triumph, yet the match finished level. The upset came as both teams were unbeaten in their recent fixtures, Guilsfield’s last five including a 2-2 draw and Ruthin Town’s last five ending with a 2-2 stalemate. The model’s selections performed well: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.8 %, Under 7.5 at 95.4 %, Home +2 handicap at 93.4 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.2 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 92.8 % and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.2 %. All eight picks were settled, each hitting its target.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guilsfield win✗ Miss
65.5%
Avg Implied 60.1% · @ 1.50
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Draw✓ Hit
18.4%
Avg Implied 21.1% · @ 4.27
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.40
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.31
Ruthin Town win✗ Miss
16.1%
Avg Implied 18.7% · @ 4.82
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.27
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Dafabet
5.00
Superbet
4.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-444D01L03L21W14L41W40W11D32W11DH·HOL21/03A·FLI24/03A·AIR28/03A·RHY03/04A·LLA06/04H·CAE11/04H·GRE18/04A·RHY01/08H·MOL08/08A·NEW15/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.472.331.400.871.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.831.112.501.001.001.25
vs Weaker (12)1.252.002.002.200.711.86
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-523L01L12L21W10W25L23L12L12L21WA·RHY01/03A·MOL07/03H·FLI13/03H·GRE20/03H·BUC27/03A·LLA03/04H·NEW18/04H·HOL31/07A·BAL07/08H·DEN14/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.101.121.621.362.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.231.731.251.331.202.20
vs Weaker (8)1.253.120.752.501.753.75
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Guilsfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.9%
@ 1.10+9.0%
Under 1.5
9.1%
@ 5.00-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Under
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.9%
@ 1.42+10.5%
Under 2.5
25.1%
@ 2.57-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Superbet
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.0%
@ 2.06+10.3%
Under 3.5
45.0%
@ 1.66-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
Betano
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.62
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.8%
@ 1.50+6.8%
No
32.2%
@ 2.35-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
No
William Hil
2.38
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.31

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.9%@ 8.00+3.6%
3-1
7.8%@ 10.25+3.7%
1-1
7.4%@ 8.25+2.3%
2-0
6.9%@ 8.50+1.9%
3-0
6.1%@ 11.00+2.2%
2-2 ✓
5.7%@ 13.00+2.5%
4-1
5.1%@ 17.00+2.6%
3-2
5.0%@ 17.00+2.5%
Guilsfield goals ↓
Ruthin Town goals →
01234
02.7%1.9%1.6%0.7%0.2%
14.6%7.4%4.3%1.9%0.6%
26.9%8.9%5.7%2.4%0.8%
36.1%7.8%5.0%2.1%0.7%
44.0%5.1%3.3%1.4%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Guilsfield goals (down), columns = Ruthin Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Guilsfield is 0.83 points better than Ruthin Town in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Guilsfield is 1.00 goals better than Ruthin Town in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Guilsfield is 0.67 goals better than Ruthin Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Guilsfield or Draw✓ Hit
83.9%
Avg Implied 81.7% · @ 1.12
Edge
+2.2%
66%
18%
16%
covers Guilsfield + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Guilsfield or Ruthin Town✗ Miss
81.6%
Avg Implied 79.1% · @ 1.16
Edge
+2.4%
66%
18%
16%
covers Guilsfield + Ruthin Town
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Draw or Ruthin Town✓ Hit
34.5%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.35
Edge
-4.6%
66%
18%
16%
covers Draw + Ruthin Town
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.35
William Hil
2.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Guilsfield over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.8%
@ 1.05+6.5%
Under
7.2%
@ 6.60-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
5.60
Guilsfield over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
73.9%
@ 1.40+8.8%
Under
26.1%
@ 2.62-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.64
Superbet
2.57
Guilsfield over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 2.30+8.9%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.53-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Guilsfield over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
27.1%
@ 4.90+8.5%
Under
72.9%
@ 1.12-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.09
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
@ 1.36+5.6%
Under
27.6%
@ 2.73-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.8%
@ 2.79+4.1%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.36-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.84
Superbet
2.70
Under
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 5.90-1.4%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.07+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
5.70
Under
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.05
Ruthin Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Guilsfield, so a minus line means Guilsfield give that many goals of a start and Ruthin Town receive them. At -1, Guilsfield must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Guilsfield win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Guilsfield)Actual: Ruthin Town
Guilsfield -2
26.6%
@ 3.92+4.1%
Draw -2
18.8%
@ 4.55-0.6%
Ruthin Town +2
54.6%
@ 1.52-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.92
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.52
Handicap -1 (Guilsfield)Actual: Ruthin Town
Guilsfield -1
45.4%
@ 2.22+5.9%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 3.71-3.6%
Ruthin Town +1
34.5%
@ 2.38-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.24
Betfair
2.20
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Away
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.35
Handicap +1 (Guilsfield)Actual: Guilsfield
Guilsfield +1
83.9%
Draw +1
9.5%
Ruthin Town -1
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Guilsfield)Actual: Guilsfield
Guilsfield +2
93.4%
Draw +2
4.5%
Ruthin Town -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D00D01L12L31W20W01L01L11DH·HOL21/03A·FLI24/03A·AIR28/03A·RHY03/04A·LLA06/04H·CAE11/04H·GRE18/04A·RHY01/08H·MOL08/08A·NEW15/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.831.270.870.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.940.671.200.800.620.50
vs Weaker (12)0.751.081.401.000.291.14
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D02L11D00D11D11D01L00D00DA·RHY01/03A·MOL07/03H·FLI13/03H·GRE20/03H·BUC27/03A·LLA03/04H·NEW18/04H·HOL31/07A·BAL07/08H·DEN14/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.440.810.791.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.590.820.420.750.800.90
vs Weaker (8)0.621.250.501.000.751.50
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Guilsfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.0%
@ 1.21+0.0%
Under 0.5
24.0%
@ 3.83-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 2.06-3.6%
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.65+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Under
Superbet
1.69
William Hil
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.0%
@ 4.36-4.0%
Under 2.5
83.0%
@ 1.16+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.00
Under
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Guilsfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.7%
@ 1.45-4.3%
Under
41.3%
@ 2.47+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.43
Guilsfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 3.15-6.7%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.29+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.15
Under
1xBet
1.29
Guilsfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 7.30-5.9%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.06+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.06
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.5%
@ 2.29-3.5%
Under
63.5%
@ 1.52+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.26
Under
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 7.30-4.9%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.06+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.06
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 11.00-7.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L03L20W02L10W20W10W31W00DH·HOL21/03A·FLI24/03A·AIR28/03A·RHY03/04A·LLA06/04H·CAE11/04H·GRE18/04A·RHY01/08H·MOL08/08A·NEW15/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.631.070.530.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.890.441.300.200.380.75
vs Weaker (12)0.500.920.601.200.430.71
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L10W10W10W14L12L11D12L21WA·RHY01/03A·MOL07/03H·FLI13/03H·GRE20/03H·BUC27/03A·LLA03/04H·NEW18/04H·HOL31/07A·BAL07/08H·DEN14/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.170.690.810.571.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.640.910.830.580.401.30
vs Weaker (8)0.621.880.251.501.002.25
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Guilsfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.7%
Under 0.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.5%
Under 1.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.0%
Under 2.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Guilsfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guilsfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
32.6%
Under
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guilsfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.4%
Under
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.595.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.2%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+5.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals92.8%1.05
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.03
---+6.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.2%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+4.9%✓ Hit
Over 1.590.9%1.10
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
---+9.0%✓ Hit
Under 6.589.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals87.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.0%1.07
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.05
---+1.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals84.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw83.9%1.12
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.11
+2.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap83.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals83.0%1.16
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
-+4.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away81.6%1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+2.4%✗ Miss
Under 5.579.8%1.09
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.08
----4.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals77.6%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+6.7%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals76.0%1.21
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-+0.0%✓ Hit
Over 2.574.9%1.42
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
+10.5%✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals73.9%1.40
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
--+8.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals72.9%1.12
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.09
----8.5%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals72.4%1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
---+5.6%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals71.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals71.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
GUI wins
1
Draws
1
RT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town · H/A from GUI
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/26HGUI Vs Ruthin Town3-2
04/10/25ARuthin Town Vs GUI1-1
26/10/24ARuthin Town Vs GUI2-0
26/08/24HGUI Vs Ruthin Town3-1
20/01/24HGUI Vs Ruthin Town2-1
06/10/23ARuthin Town Vs GUI1-2
10/04/23HGUI Vs Ruthin Town3-0
19/08/22ARuthin Town Vs GUI0-1

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ANewtown AFC Vs GUI1-1
08/08/26HGUI Vs Mold Alexandra3-2
01/08/26ARhyl Vs GUI1-1
18/04/26HGUI Vs Gresford Athletic4-0
11/04/26HGUI Vs Caersws4-1
06/04/26ALlandudno Vs GUI4-1
03/04/26ARhyl Vs GUI1-2
28/03/26AAirbus UK Vs GUI3-0
24/03/26AFlint Mountain Vs GUI1-0
21/03/26HGUI Vs Holywell4-4

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26HRT Vs Denbigh Town2-1
07/08/26ABala Town Vs RT2-1
31/07/26HRT Vs Holyhead Hotspur1-2
18/04/26HRT Vs Newtown AFC2-3
03/04/26ALlandudno Vs RT5-2
27/03/26HRT Vs Buckley Town1-0
20/03/26HRT Vs Gresford Athletic2-1
13/03/26HRT Vs Flint Mountain1-2
07/03/26AMold Alexandra Vs RT1-0
01/03/26ARhyl Vs RT3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Guilsfield
Guilsfield
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.56
HomeLDWWW2.12
AwayLWLDD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%67%23%
AVG goals3.383.832.96
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %66%79%54%
Over 3.5 %44%54%35%
Scored1.842.461.27
Conceded1.541.381.69
BTTS74%75%73%
Clean Sheet12%17%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.80
HomeWWLLW1.12
AwayWLLLL0.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%31%8%
AVG goals3.122.543.75
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %60%50%71%
Over 3.5 %40%27%54%
Scored1.121.151.08
Conceded2.001.382.67
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet12%15%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

← all matches