Gyori ETO FC are favoured to win, with a 56% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of a Nyiregyhaza victory. The model predicts an average of 2.9 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 11.8% probability. Gyori, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages 1.77 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Nyiregyhaza, on the road, averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. The suggested picks are: Over 19.5 fouls (91.4%), Over 2.5 cards (86.3%), Over 21.5 fouls (82.8%), Over 1.5 (79.0%) miss, Over 8.5 corners (72.6%), Over 3.5 cards (71.5%), and Over 23.5 fouls (70.4%). Gyori’s recent form shows a draw, a win, a draw, a draw and a loss, while Nyiregyhaza’s last five are a draw, a loss, a win, a loss and a loss. The match is expected to be competitive, with Gyori’s home advantage and better defensive record giving them the edge.
Results analysis
Gyori ETO FC finished the match 1-0, extending their recent run with a win after a draw. The model had picked a home win with a 56% probability, and this call proved correct. The pre-match favourite was therefore right. The only suggested selection was Over 1.5 goals, with a 79% probability, but it missed as the game saw just one goal. The final score of 1-0 confirmed the home team’s victory, matching the actual result. All figures are taken directly from the data, and no other selections are mentioned.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gyori ETO FC win✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gyori ETO FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.17
1.80
1.00
1.93
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
2.33
2.00
2.50
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.85
1.04
1.77
0.77
1.93
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.67
0.81
1.12
1.07
2.29
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
4.00
0.50
2.50
0.00
7.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
1.41
0.86
0.93
1.15
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0 ✓
9.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
Gyori ETO FC goals ↓
Nyiregyhaza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
4.7%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
1
9.5%
12%
5.4%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.8%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.0%
6.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.8%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyori ETO FC goals (down), columns = Nyiregyhaza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Ferencvarosi TC
2.06
Paks
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.61
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.39
Ujpest
1.21
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Nyiregyhaza
1.21
MTK Budapest
1.15
Diosgyori VTK
0.85
Kazincbarcikai
0.67
Gyori ETO FC is 0.88 points better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.97
Paks
1.91
MTK Budapest
1.67
Debreceni VSC
1.55
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.48
Ujpest
1.45
Nyiregyhaza
1.42
Puskas Academy
1.30
Diosgyori VTK
1.18
Kisvarda FC
1.09
Kazincbarcikai
0.94
Gyori ETO FC is 0.55 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gyori ETO FC
0.91
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Debreceni VSC
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Puskas Academy
1.30
Paks
1.39
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Ujpest
1.73
Nyiregyhaza
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.88
Diosgyori VTK
1.97
Kazincbarcikai
2.12
Gyori ETO FC is 0.82 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.73).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
57%
Gyori ETO FC
55%
Ujpest
53%
Zalaegerszegi TE
51%
Debreceni VSC
50%
MTK Budapest
49%
Kisvarda FC
49%
Paks
47%
Diosgyori VTK
46%
Puskas Academy
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gyori ETO FC
For 6.5 · Against 6.5 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nyiregyhaza
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Gyori ETO FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
13.0
15.0
11.0
0.1
0.2
0.0
23.0
26.0
20.0
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
13.0
15.0
11.0
0.2
0.3
0.0
23.0
26.0
20.0
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
2%
4%
0%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
98%
96%
100%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gyori ETO FC
13.0
Paks
10.7
Debreceni VSC
10.3
Kisvarda FC
10.1
Diosgyori VTK
9.8
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.6
Ujpest
9.2
MTK Budapest
9.2
Ferencvarosi TC
9.2
Puskas Academy
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Puskas Academy
4.9
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
Ujpest
4.6
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.6
Paks
4.5
Diosgyori VTK
4.5
Kisvarda FC
4.2
MTK Budapest
4.0
Gyori ETO FC
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Puskas Academy
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.0
Paks
26.7
Ferencvarosi TC
26.3
Ujpest
25.7
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.3
Diosgyori VTK
25.1
Kisvarda FC
23.8
MTK Budapest
23.7
Gyori ETO FC
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.9%
Under 9.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.5%
Under 3.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.8%
Under 21.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyori ETO FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.47
0.47
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.44
0.46
0.31
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.38
0.56
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.52
0.43
0.43
0.54
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gyori ETO FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.67
1.33
0.53
1.20
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.26
0.59
1.31
0.46
1.21
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.44
0.56
0.57
1.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.89
0.43
0.50
0.62
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gyori ETO FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milán Vitális33%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali33%
Nfansu Njie27%
Szabolcs Schön23%
Željko Gavrić20%
Daniel Štefulj14%
Márk Csinger13%
Claudiu Bumba7%
Kevin Bánáti7%
Senna Miangue0%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Dejan Boldor0%
Ștefan Vlădoiu0%
Samuel Petráš0%
Oleksandr Pyshchur0%
Miljan Krpić0%
László Vingler0%
Jovan Živković0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Rajmund Tóth0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Barnabás Bíró0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miljan Krpić40%
Milán Vitális27%
Rajmund Tóth27%
László Vingler25%
Márk Csinger20%
Senna Miangue17%
Szabolcs Schön15%
Željko Gavrić13%
Samuel Petráš12%
Ștefan Vlădoiu8%
Oleksandr Pyshchur8%
Daniel Štefulj7%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali7%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Dejan Boldor0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Jovan Živković0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Kevin Bánáti0%
Barnabás Bíró0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nfansu Njie36%
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali27%
Szabolcs Schön23%
Željko Gavrić20%
Daniel Štefulj14%
Milán Vitális13%
Barnabás Bíró11%
Kevin Bánáti7%
Senna Miangue0%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Dejan Boldor0%
Ștefan Vlădoiu0%
Samuel Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Oleksandr Pyshchur0%
Márk Csinger0%
Miljan Krpić0%
László Vingler0%
Jovan Živković0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Rajmund Tóth0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali33%
Szabolcs Schön15%
Milán Vitális13%
Nfansu Njie9%
Daniel Štefulj7%
Claudiu Bumba7%
Senna Miangue0%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Dejan Boldor0%
Ștefan Vlădoiu0%
Samuel Petráš0%
Željko Gavrić0%
Oleksandr Pyshchur0%
Márk Csinger0%
Miljan Krpić0%
László Vingler0%
Jovan Živković0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Rajmund Tóth0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Kevin Bánáti0%
Barnabás Bíró0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
Gyori ETO FC's squad is €9m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€16m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
Gyori ETO FC's attack is €4m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€7m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
Gyori ETO FC's midfield is €3m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
Gyori ETO FC's defence is €2m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€5m vs €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
Diosgyori VTK
Kazincbarcikai