Gyori ETO FC hosts Nyiregyhaza in Hungary's NB I league on August 2nd. The home side has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with a 4-0 win over Nyiregyhaza being their most recent result. Meanwhile, Nyiregyhaza has struggled, following two straight defeats. Gyori ETO FC is the favourite to win at home, with a 57% chance of victory, followed by a 26% draw probability, and a 17% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely total goals being 2.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.2% probability. Gyori ETO FC has averaged 1.75 goals scored at home, with an average of 0.12 goals conceded, while Nyiregyhaza has averaged 1.15 goals scored away, with an average of 1.77 goals conceded against similar opponents. The model's selection is the home win, with a 57% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals with a 74.4% probability, and Under 3.5 goals with a 73.6% probability, which has a 10% edge.
Results analysis
The win extends Gyori ETO FC's unbeaten run, as they thrashed Nyiregyhaza 4-0. The model's selection, a Home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 57%. The model's call was vindicated, as Gyori ETO FC dominated the match. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 74.4%, while Under 3.5 goals missed, despite a high probability of 73.6%. The predicted most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 26%. The most likely scores included 1-1, 1-0, and 2-0, with probabilities of 12.2%, 11.9%, and 11.3%, respectively.
ðŊ 1. Model Analysis
Gyori ETO FC winâ Hit
57.3%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.68
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.75
888Sport
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Drawâ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.90
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.25
Bet365
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Betano
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
Nyiregyhaza winâ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.26
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.90
Betfair
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.33
Dafabet
4.30
â― 2. Goal Analysis
Gyori ETO FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.83
1.53
0.53
2.13
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
2.12
0.75
1.25
0.00
3.00
1.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.79
0.84
1.89
0.67
1.70
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.63
1.56
1.56
1.29
1.71
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.29
0.67
1.67
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.57
1.74
1.77
1.54
1.30
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
@ 1.18-4.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
@ 4.36+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Pinnacle
4.42
888Sport
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.61-9.6%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 2.20+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.22
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.4%
@ 2.52-10.5%
Under 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.47+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.52
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
@ 1.62-8.5%
No
51.4%
@ 2.15+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.64
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
No
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
888Sport
2.20
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 7.02+6.0%
1-0
11.9%@ 7.80+6.2%
2-0
11.3%@ 8.07+5.9%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.26+3.6%
0-0
8.5%@ 12.74+5.1%
3-0
6.6%@ 12.07+2.9%
3-1
5.6%@ 11.13+1.7%
0-1
5.3%@ 13.05+1.9%
Gyori ETO FC goals ↓
Nyiregyhaza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
5.3%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
12%
12%
4.7%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.7%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
6.6%
5.6%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
4
2.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyori ETO FC goals (down), columns = Nyiregyhaza goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Ferencvarosi TC
2.06
Debreceni VSC
1.61
Paks
1.61
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.39
Vasas
1.32
Budapest Honved
1.21
Nyiregyhaza
1.21
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Ujpest
1.21
MTK Budapest
1.15
Gyori ETO FC is 0.88 points better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.21).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.97
Paks
1.91
MTK Budapest
1.67
Debreceni VSC
1.55
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.48
Ujpest
1.45
Vasas
1.44
Nyiregyhaza
1.42
Budapest Honved
1.32
Puskas Academy
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.09
Gyori ETO FC is 0.55 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.42).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gyori ETO FC
0.91
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Debreceni VSC
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Puskas Academy
1.30
Paks
1.39
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Vasas
1.56
Budapest Honved
1.70
Nyiregyhaza
1.73
Ujpest
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.88
Gyori ETO FC is 0.82 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.73).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
57%
Gyori ETO FC
55%
Ujpest
53%
Zalaegerszegi TE
51%
Debreceni VSC
50%
MTK Budapest
49%
Kisvarda FC
49%
Paks
47%
Puskas Academy
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Gyori ETO FC
For 5.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 22.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nyiregyhaza
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Gyori ETO FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.9
8.6
1.5
1.7
1.4
24.1
25.8
22.6
vs Stronger (4)
8.0
12.0
4.0
3.2
3.0
4.0
21.5
19.0
24.0
vs Similar (19)
10.0
12.3
8.2
1.4
1.3
1.6
24.1
28.7
20.8
vs Weaker (27)
8.8
7.5
10.0
1.4
1.7
1.1
24.6
25.2
24.0
% over line
47%
50%
44%
22%
24%
20%
59%
62%
56%
% under line
53%
50%
56%
78%
76%
80%
41%
38%
44%
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
10.5
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.7
Puskas Academy
9.6
Ferencvarosi TC
9.6
MTK Budapest
9.5
Budapest Honved
9.5
Debreceni VSC
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.2
Gyori ETO FC
9.2
Vasas
5.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Paks
5.0
Vasas
5.0
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.9
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.6
Budapest Honved
4.4
MTK Budapest
4.2
Kisvarda FC
4.1
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
28.6
Debreceni VSC
28.1
Ferencvarosi TC
27.6
Puskas Academy
27.5
Ujpest
25.7
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.0
MTK Budapest
24.5
Gyori ETO FC
24.1
Kisvarda FC
23.8
Budapest Honved
23.0
Vasas
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.0%
@ 1.76-5.7%
Under 9.5
53.0%
@ 1.97+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.82
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Bet365
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.5%
Under 3.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.0%
Under 21.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyori ETO FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.23
0.67
0.20
1.00
0.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.12
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.25
vs Weaker (19)
0.89
0.26
0.89
0.22
0.90
0.30
Clean sheet %
77% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.50
0.75
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.43
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.87
0.46
0.77
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
1.35
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
-
+8.0%
-
Over 1.5
74.4%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-4.4%
â Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
1.47
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
+10.5%
â Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Vasas
Ujpest
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
Debreceni VSC
Budapest Honved
Zalaegerszegi TE