Gzira United vs Valletta FC Result & Analysis

Gzira United hosts Valletta FC in the Malta Premier League. Valletta FC's dismal away form against stronger opponents is a concern, conceding an average of 1.25 goals per match. In contrast, Gzira United's home form is equally unimpressive, scoring a mere 0.25 goals per game against stronger teams.

The model predicts a draw as the most likely outcome, with a 35% chance of a home win and 35% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 1.8, indicating a low-scoring match. The most likely score is 0-0, with a probability of 17.8%.

Gzira United has struggled to score at home, while Valletta FC has been prolific away from home, scoring 2.25 goals per match against weaker opponents. The model's selections include Under 3.5, with a 89.1% probability, and Under 2.5, with a 73% probability. The home win percentage is 30%, the draw percentage is 35%, and the away win percentage is 35%.

The upset came early as Gzira United failed to answer Valletta FC’s attack, ending a run of three consecutive defeats with a 0-3 loss that left the home side’s recent form at LLLDL. The pre-match favourite, a Draw, had a 35 % probability, but the model’s call was wrong as the away team secured a clean win. Every model selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9 %, Under 6.5 hit at 99.7 %, Under 5.5 hit at 99.0 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7 %. The final score of 0-3 confirmed Valletta’s victory and the model’s predictions on total goals and under-goal markets proved accurate.