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Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 4-0
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Vs
35%
26%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburger SV win✓ Hit
34.9%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.76
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.54
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied 39.7% · @ 2.36
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L40W61W61W23L00D02L05L21W00DH·KAR27/04A·SV 03/05H·ULM10/05H·SSV10/05A·SPV18/05A·BOR24/08H·FC 29/08A·BAY13/09H·1. 20/09A·UNI28/09← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.272.571.291.621.25
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (11)1.270.911.501.001.000.80
vs Weaker (18)2.671.283.381.502.101.10
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W22D12L01L41W11D01L41W02L10WA·VFL10/05H·BAY17/05A·ROS21/08H·1. 24/08H·ROS28/08A·VFL31/08H·RB 13/09A·FC 20/09H·BOR27/09A·OMO02/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.271.431.001.621.50
vs Stronger (8)0.881.751.001.500.752.00
vs Similar (22)1.771.091.600.801.921.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.1%
@ 1.69+3.7%
Under 2.5
40.9%
@ 2.10-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
Hamburger SV goals ↓
FSV Mainz 05 goals →
01234
05.8%6.3%5.8%3.1%1.2%
15.8%12%8.6%4.6%1.8%
25.1%8.1%6.4%3.4%1.3%
32.5%4.0%3.2%1.7%0.7%
40.9%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hamburger SV goals (down), columns = FSV Mainz 05 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
Hamburger SV is 0.06 points worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Hamburger SV is 0.12 goals worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
Hamburger SV is 0.03 goals worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
Hamburger SV is 1.4 percentage points better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average possession (45% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

For 3.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1303511235256774363654418138713119995A·UNIH·1. A·BAYH·FC A·BORA·SPVH·SSVH·ULMA·SV H·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

70325122431214313133155647354466A·UNIH·1. A·BAYH·FC A·BORA·SPVH·SSVH·ULMA·SV H·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.2

⚠️ Fouls

350171815101411131910101313105105219151435252532202615153029A·UNIH·1. A·BAYH·FC A·BORA·SPVH·SSVH·ULMA·SV H·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 7.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1308475663510392835583661212128131111101112A·OMOH·BORA·FC H·RB A·VFLH·ROSH·1. A·ROSH·BAYA·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

90113131154111222632441923283A·OMOH·BORA·FC H·RB A·VFLH·ROSH·1. A·ROSH·BAYA·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

2909812141013121114151277910714136917262323291916172715A·OMOH·BORA·FC H·RB A·VFLH·ROSH·1. A·ROSH·BAYA·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.810.45.24.95.623.522.624.4
vs Stronger (1)8.0-8.04.0-4.025.0-25.0
vs Similar (19)10.510.310.85.25.25.123.625.022.1
vs Weaker (30)10.711.210.35.34.75.923.320.925.7
% over line56%56%56%80%80%80%60%60%60%
% under line44%44%44%20%20%20%40%40%40%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.710.24.74.74.822.723.222.2
vs Stronger (12)9.28.310.44.24.44.024.826.122.8
vs Similar (38)10.210.210.14.94.85.022.122.122.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%56%60%68%76%60%56%60%52%
% under line42%44%40%32%24%40%44%40%48%
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.1
VfB Stuttgart
10.7
Hamburger SV
10.6
RB Leipzig
10.5
SC Paderborn 07
10.5
1899 Hoffenheim
10.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.4
VfL Wolfsburg
10.2
FC Augsburg
10.1
FSV Mainz 05
9.9
Bayern München
9.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.6
Union Berlin
9.5
Borussia Dortmund
9.5
Bayer Leverkusen
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.0
FC St. Pauli
9.0
SC Freiburg
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.3
VfB Stuttgart
5.0
Werder Bremen
4.9
FSV Mainz 05
4.7
VfL Wolfsburg
4.7
1. FC Heidenheim
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Bayer Leverkusen
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.4
Union Berlin
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.2
RB Leipzig
4.1
Bayern München
4.0
Borussia Dortmund
4.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.8
SC Freiburg
3.8
1899 Hoffenheim
3.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
1. FC Heidenheim
24.1
Hamburger SV
23.5
VfB Stuttgart
23.4
1. FC Köln
23.0
SC Paderborn 07
22.8
Union Berlin
22.8
FSV Mainz 05
22.7
1899 Hoffenheim
22.7
FC Augsburg
22.4
VfL Wolfsburg
21.7
Werder Bremen
21.6
Borussia Dortmund
21.1
Bayer Leverkusen
21.1
RB Leipzig
21.1
FC St. Pauli
21.0
SC Freiburg
20.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayern München
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.9%
Under 3.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.6%
Under 21.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W31W31W01L00D01L04L10W00DH·KAR27/04A·SV 03/05H·ULM10/05H·SSV10/05A·SPV18/05A·BOR24/08H·FC 29/08A·BAY13/09H·1. 20/09A·UNI28/09← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.731.360.640.620.81
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (11)0.820.360.830.330.800.40
vs Weaker (18)1.110.781.750.880.600.70
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D00D31W01L01L20W02L00DA·VFL10/05H·BAY17/05A·ROS21/08H·1. 24/08H·ROS28/08A·VFL31/08H·RB 13/09A·FC 20/09H·BOR27/09A·OMO02/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.710.500.690.81
vs Stronger (8)0.251.000.500.750.001.25
vs Similar (22)0.860.550.800.400.920.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W30W30W22D00D01L01L11D00DH·KAR27/04A·SV 03/05H·ULM10/05H·SSV10/05A·SPV18/05A·BOR24/08H·FC 29/08A·BAY13/09H·1. 20/09A·UNI28/09← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.531.210.641.000.44
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.450.550.670.670.200.40
vs Weaker (18)1.560.501.620.621.500.40
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W12L01L01L10W10W00D21W00D10WA·VFL10/05H·BAY17/05A·ROS21/08H·1. 24/08H·ROS28/08A·VFL31/08H·RB 13/09A·FC 20/09H·BOR27/09A·OMO02/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.710.500.940.69
vs Stronger (8)0.620.750.500.750.750.75
vs Similar (22)0.910.550.800.401.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Hamburger SV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Vieira23%
Robert Glatzel20%
Luka Vušković20%
Albert Sambi Lokonga19%
Jean-Luc Dompé14%
Albert Grønbæk14%
Rayan Philippe13%
Bakery Jatta12%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer11%
Philip Otele11%
Yussuf Poulsen6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolás Capaldo4%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Miro Muheim0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Nicolai Remberg0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolás Capaldo38%
Nicolai Remberg38%
Philip Otele33%
Yussuf Poulsen25%
Daniel Elfadli23%
Miro Muheim23%
Aboubaka Soumahoro20%
Luka Vušković20%
Jonas Meffert17%
Jordan Torunarigha15%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit15%
Immanuel Pherai14%
Albert Sambi Lokonga12%
William Mikelbrencis12%
Fábio Vieira10%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes9%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili8%
Rayan Philippe7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer6%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Damion Downs0%
Otto Stange0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Grønbæk29%
Fábio Vieira16%
Miro Muheim16%
William Mikelbrencis15%
Nicolás Capaldo12%
Philip Otele11%
Robert Glatzel10%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit8%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolai Remberg6%
Warmed Omari5%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili4%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Rayan Philippe0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Luka Vušković0%
Otto Stange0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Vieira23%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer17%
Rayan Philippe10%
Miro Muheim10%
Jean-Luc Dompé10%
Nicolás Capaldo8%
Luka Vušković7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Robert Glatzel5%
Albert Sambi Lokonga4%
Nicolai Remberg3%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Philip Otele0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Fabio Baldé0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nadiem Amiri46%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Phillip Tietz17%
Jae-sung Lee15%
Stefan Bell13%
Silas11%
Stefan Posch10%
Benedict Hollerbach10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Nelson Weiper6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
Dominik Kohr5%
Danny da Costa4%
Kacper Potulski4%
Kaishu Sano4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
William Bøving0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr36%
Stefan Posch30%
Stefan Bell26%
Nadiem Amiri26%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen24%
Anthony Caci23%
Robin Zentner22%
Nikolas Veratschnig21%
Ben Justus Bobzien20%
Sheraldo Becker14%
Phillip Tietz13%
Kacper Potulski13%
Silvan Widmer12%
Silas11%
Daniel Batz11%
Sota Kawasaki11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Phillipp Mwene10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Danny da Costa7%
Lennard Maloney6%
William Bøving6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Nelson Weiper3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Benedict Hollerbach0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach14%
Paul Nebel11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Danny da Costa9%
Phillip Tietz9%
Nadiem Amiri9%
Anthony Caci8%
Kaishu Sano6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
William Bøving6%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Silvan Widmer2%
Stefan Posch0%
Dominik Kohr0%
Silas0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Armindo Sieb0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phillip Tietz39%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach19%
Nadiem Amiri17%
Nelson Weiper9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Armindo Sieb6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Jae-sung Lee5%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Stefan Posch5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Silas0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Sota Kawasaki0%
William Bøving0%
Paul Nebel0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
Hamburger SV's squad is €58m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€117m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
Hamburger SV's attack is €3m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€46m vs €49m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
Hamburger SV's midfield is €46m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€34m vs €80m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Hamburger SV's defence is €9m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€37m vs €47m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
HS wins
3
Draws
3
FM0 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 · H/A from HS
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/18HHS Vs FSV Mainz 050-0
14/10/17AFSV Mainz 05 Vs HS3-2
07/05/17HHS Vs FSV Mainz 050-0
17/12/16AFSV Mainz 05 Vs HS3-1
30/04/16AFSV Mainz 05 Vs HS0-0
05/12/15HHS Vs FSV Mainz 051-3

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25AUnion Berlin Vs HS0-0
20/09/25HHS Vs 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
13/09/25ABayern München Vs HS5-0
29/08/25HHS Vs FC St. Pauli0-2
24/08/25ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs HS0-0
18/05/25ASpVgg Greuther Fürth Vs HS3-2
10/05/25HHS Vs SSV Ulm 18466-1
10/05/25HHS Vs Ulm6-1
03/05/25ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs HS0-4
27/04/25HHS Vs Karlsruher SC1-2

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/25AOmonia Nicosia Vs FM00-1
27/09/25HFM0 Vs Borussia Dortmund0-2
20/09/25AFC Augsburg Vs FM01-4
13/09/25HFM0 Vs RB Leipzig0-1
31/08/25AVfL Wolfsburg Vs FM01-1
28/08/25HFM0 Vs Rosenborg4-1
24/08/25HFM0 Vs 1. FC Köln0-1
21/08/25ARosenborg Vs FM02-1
17/05/25HFM0 Vs Bayer Leverkusen2-2
10/05/25AVfL Bochum Vs FM01-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.70
HomeLWWLW1.96
AwayWLDLD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals3.343.643.04
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %50%56%44%
Scored2.122.561.68
Conceded1.221.081.36
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners10.6010.8410.36
Cards5.355.125.56
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.56
HomeDLWLL1.56
AwayWLDWW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals2.802.603.00
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %50%40%60%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.661.601.72
Conceded1.141.001.28
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners9.929.6810.16
Cards4.744.724.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches