This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.57
1.40
1.73
1.27
1.40
vs Stronger (28)
1.32
1.68
1.43
1.86
1.21
1.50
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.41-5.5%
Under 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.84+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
Hamburger SV goals ↓
Wehen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
4.2%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
1
7.2%
11%
6.2%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.7%
6.0%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.1%
6.3%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.5%
3.1%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hamburger SV goals (down), columns = Wehen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Holstein Kiel
2.06
FC St. Pauli
2.03
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83
Hamburger SV
1.72
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Hannover 96
1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
Hertha BSC
1.33
FC Schalke 04
1.31
SV Elversberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
1. FC Nürnberg
1.22
1. FC Magdeburg
1.17
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.11
Hansa Rostock
0.94
Wehen
0.94
SV Wehen
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.86
Hamburger SV is 0.78 points better than Wehen in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.08
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Hertha BSC
1.94
Karlsruher SC
1.94
Holstein Kiel
1.92
Hamburger SV
1.89
FC St. Pauli
1.81
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.53
SV Elversberg
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.14
SV Wehen
1.08
Wehen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.89
Hamburger SV is 0.83 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC St. Pauli
1.06
Holstein Kiel
1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
Hannover 96
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.25
Karlsruher SC
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
Wehen
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.50
SV Wehen
1.50
Jahn Regensburg
1.50
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
Hansa Rostock
1.64
FC Schalke 04
1.69
Hertha BSC
1.75
SV Elversberg
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg
1.83
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.86
VfL Osnabrück
1.97
Hamburger SV is 0.22 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
61%
FC St. Pauli
57%
Hamburger SV
57%
SC Paderborn 07
54%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
52%
Karlsruher SC
51%
Hannover 96
51%
FC Schalke 04
50%
SV Elversberg
48%
Hertha BSC
47%
SV Wehen
46%
VfL Osnabrück
46%
1. FC Nürnberg
46%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
Hansa Rostock
43%
Eintracht Braunschweig
42%
Jahn Regensburg
32%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hamburger SV
For 6.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
For 2.6 · Against 7.9 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 8.6 · Total 18.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hamburger SV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.6
11.1
2.9
3.0
2.9
22.6
22.5
22.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
11.2
11.2
11.2
3.1
3.1
3.1
21.9
21.2
22.4
vs Weaker (34)
11.4
11.8
11.1
2.9
2.9
2.8
22.9
23.1
22.7
% over line
75%
85%
67%
48%
42%
54%
61%
62%
60%
% under line
25%
15%
33%
52%
58%
46%
39%
38%
40%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.9
10.6
4.5
4.1
5.0
22.9
22.6
23.1
vs Stronger (43)
10.9
10.6
11.1
4.4
3.8
5.0
22.3
21.8
22.7
vs Similar (7)
9.9
12.7
7.8
5.4
6.3
4.8
26.6
28.3
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
62%
65%
64%
54%
73%
62%
54%
69%
% under line
36%
38%
35%
36%
46%
27%
38%
46%
31%
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Nürnberg
11.6
Hamburger SV
10.9
VfL Osnabrück
10.8
Holstein Kiel
10.8
SV Wehen
10.8
Wehen
10.7
SC Paderborn 07
10.5
Hansa Rostock
10.4
Hertha BSC
10.4
FC Schalke 04
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.3
Karlsruher SC
10.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
Hannover 96
10.0
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.9
SV Elversberg
9.6
FC St. Pauli
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
5.2
SV Wehen
4.7
Hamburger SV
4.7
1. FC Nürnberg
4.7
Wehen
4.5
Hansa Rostock
4.5
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
VfL Osnabrück
4.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.4
SV Elversberg
4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.3
Holstein Kiel
4.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.3
Hannover 96
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.0
Karlsruher SC
3.8
Hertha BSC
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
VfL Osnabrück
26.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.3
1. FC Magdeburg
25.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.1
Hansa Rostock
24.6
Hertha BSC
24.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
23.7
Hannover 96
23.7
1. FC Nürnberg
23.6
FC Schalke 04
23.3
Wehen
22.9
SV Elversberg
22.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.7
Hamburger SV
22.3
Holstein Kiel
22.1
SC Paderborn 07
22.0
SV Wehen
21.6
FC St. Pauli
21.5
Karlsruher SC
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
68.2%
Under 9.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.8%
Under 3.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.6%
Under 21.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hamburger SV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.14
0.64
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.73
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (19)
0.89
0.63
1.44
0.67
0.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (28)
0.61
0.61
0.71
0.79
0.50
0.43
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hamburger SV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.83
0.93
0.79
1.06
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.82
1.20
1.00
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.84
0.78
0.67
1.20
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (28)
0.71
1.07
0.71
1.07
0.71
1.07
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hamburger SV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robert Glatzel52%
László Bénes44%
Miro Muheim18%
Bakery Jatta16%
Łukasz Poręba12%
Jean-Luc Dompé11%
Immanuel Pherai10%
Ludovit Reis8%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer7%
Sebastian Schonlau6%
Jonas Meffert6%
Moritz Heyer6%
Guilherme Ramos5%
Dennis Hadžikadunić4%
Noah Katterbach0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Masaya Okugawa0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Levin Öztunali0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
András Németh0%
Anssi Suhonen0%
Matheo Raab0%
Elijah Akwasi Krahn0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Nicolas Oliveira Kisilowski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
William Mikelbrencis50%
Moritz Heyer41%
Jonas Meffert31%
Dennis Hadžikadunić29%
Miro Muheim25%
Guilherme Ramos23%
Bakery Jatta19%
Noah Katterbach17%
Ludovit Reis17%
László Bénes15%
Immanuel Pherai14%
Ignace Van der Brempt13%
Łukasz Poręba12%
Stephan Ambrosius11%
Jean-Luc Dompé11%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer10%
Levin Öztunali5%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes5%
Robert Glatzel3%
Sebastian Schonlau0%
Masaya Okugawa0%
András Németh0%
Anssi Suhonen0%
Matheo Raab0%
Elijah Akwasi Krahn0%
Nicolas Oliveira Kisilowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
László Bénes37%
Jean-Luc Dompé25%
Miro Muheim14%
Ignace Van der Brempt13%
Robert Glatzel13%
Bakery Jatta12%
Łukasz Poręba12%
Immanuel Pherai10%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer10%
Ludovit Reis8%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Jonas Meffert6%
Noah Katterbach0%
Sebastian Schonlau0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Masaya Okugawa0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Levin Öztunali0%
Moritz Heyer0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Dennis Hadžikadunić0%
András Németh0%
Matheo Raab0%
Elijah Akwasi Krahn0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Nicolas Oliveira Kisilowski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robert Glatzel48%
László Bénes41%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer10%
Jean-Luc Dompé7%
Miro Muheim7%
Immanuel Pherai7%
Sebastian Schonlau6%
Ludovit Reis4%
Noah Katterbach0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Bakery Jatta0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Masaya Okugawa0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Levin Öztunali0%
Moritz Heyer0%
Łukasz Poręba0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Dennis Hadžikadunić0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
András Németh0%
Anssi Suhonen0%
Matheo Raab0%
Elijah Akwasi Krahn0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Nicolas Oliveira Kisilowski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hamburger SV
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
Jahn Regensburg