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Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
vs
Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamilton Academical win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L31W21W11D43W10W11D01L50W50WA·AIR29/11A·FOR05/05H·FOR09/05A·CLY12/05H·CLY15/05A·PET11/07H·RAI18/07A·KIL21/07H·ELG25/07A·MON01/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.471.151.691.241.29
vs Stronger (5)1.602.001.003.002.001.33
vs Similar (19)0.841.420.881.380.821.45
vs Weaker (6)2.001.172.001.672.000.67
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W21W13L10W02L22D11D14L00DA·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07H·STR18/07H·FAL21/07A·AYR25/07H·EAS01/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.421.621.271.001.542.15
vs Stronger (1)2.004.00--2.004.00
vs Similar (11)1.271.091.140.571.502.00
vs Weaker (12)1.501.921.501.751.502.00
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Ross County
1.38
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical is 1.22 points better than Alloa Athletic in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.28).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Ross County
1.46
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Hamilton Academical is 1.14 goals better than Alloa Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Ross County
1.34
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Hamilton Academical is 0.06 goals worse than Alloa Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

For 6.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1209336129H·ELGA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

5011132215H·ELGA·KILA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 16.0

⚠️ Fouls

230131045239H·ELGA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1005510A·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.0 · Total 1.0

🟨 Cards

1011A·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

22091322A·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.512.09.00.20.10.216.023.09.0
vs Stronger (9)9.0-9.00.10.00.29.0-9.0
vs Similar (35)12.012.0-0.20.10.323.023.0-
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%100%0%2%0%4%50%100%0%
% under line50%0%100%98%100%96%50%0%100%
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (24)10.0-10.00.00.00.122.0-22.0
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (11)10.0-10.00.10.00.222.0-22.0
vs Weaker (12)---0.00.00.0---
% over line100%-100%0%0%0%100%-100%
% under line0%-0%100%100%100%0%-0%
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.5%
Under 9.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
44.5%
Under 3.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.7%
Under 21.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D22D10W11D00D20W20WA·AIR29/11A·FOR05/05H·FOR09/05A·CLY12/05H·CLY15/05A·PET11/07H·RAI18/07A·KIL21/07H·ELG25/07A·MON01/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.540.770.650.29
vs Stronger (5)1.000.801.001.501.000.33
vs Similar (19)0.470.370.380.500.550.27
vs Weaker (6)0.670.670.671.000.670.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W02L00D02L01L01L03L00DA·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07H·STR18/07H·FAL21/07A·AYR25/07H·EAS01/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.960.270.450.691.38
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.360.450.290.140.501.00
vs Weaker (12)0.581.330.251.000.751.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L21W21W00D21W00D00D01L30W30WA·AIR29/11A·FOR05/05H·FOR09/05A·CLY12/05H·CLY15/05A·PET11/07H·RAI18/07A·KIL21/07H·ELG25/07A·MON01/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.620.920.591.00
vs Stronger (5)0.601.200.001.501.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.371.050.500.880.271.18
vs Weaker (6)1.330.501.330.671.330.33
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Alloa Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D11D10W00D21W10W11D00DA·RAI29/11H·AIR05/05A·AIR09/05H·STE13/05A·STE16/05A·EDI14/07H·STR18/07H·FAL21/07A·AYR25/07H·EAS01/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.920.671.000.550.850.77
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.910.640.860.431.001.00
vs Weaker (12)0.920.581.250.750.750.50
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alloa Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.4%--------
Over 21.5 fouls89.7%--------
Under 5.5 cards86.9%--------
Over 23.5 fouls80.5%--------
Under 4.5 cards74.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners71.2%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Alloa Athletic have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Alloa Athletic have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Alloa Athletic have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Alloa Athletic have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
HA wins
1
Draws
1
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic · H/A from HA
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24HHA Vs Alloa Athletic3-2
07/05/24AAlloa Athletic Vs HA2-2
13/05/23HHA Vs Alloa Athletic5-2
09/05/23AAlloa Athletic Vs HA1-0

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AMontrose Vs HA0-5
25/07/26HHA Vs Elgin5-0
21/07/26AKilmarnock Vs HA1-0
18/07/26HHA Vs Raith Rovers1-1
11/07/26APeterhead Vs HA0-1
15/05/26HHA Vs Clyde4-3
12/05/26AClyde Vs HA1-1
09/05/26HHA Vs Forfar2-1
05/05/26AForfar Vs HA1-3
29/11/25AAirdrie United Vs HA4-0

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HAA Vs East Fife0-0
25/07/26AAyr Utd Vs AA4-1
21/07/26HAA Vs Falkirk1-1
18/07/26HAA Vs Stranraer2-2
14/07/26AEdinburgh City Vs AA2-0
16/05/26AStenhousemuir Vs AA0-1
13/05/26HAA Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
09/05/26AAirdrie United Vs AA1-2
05/05/26HAA Vs Airdrie United1-0
29/11/25ARaith Rovers Vs AA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
Scotland: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.28
HomeLWWDW1.42
AwayWDWLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.943.002.88
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.321.381.27
Conceded1.621.621.62
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners10.5012.009.00
Cards2.672.003.00
Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.46
HomeWLDDD1.82
AwayLWWLL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%45%38%
AVG goals3.042.273.69
Over 1.5 %67%55%77%
Over 2.5 %58%45%69%
Over 3.5 %46%36%54%
Scored1.421.271.54
Conceded1.621.002.15
BTTS62%55%69%
Clean Sheet29%45%15%
Corners10.00-10.00
Cards1.00-1.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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