Hamilton Academical are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 73% chance of a home win and a 73% probability to that outcome. The team’s recent unbeaten run, highlighted by a 0-0 draw against East Fife, underpins the confidence. Cove Rangers, playing away against a stronger opponent, have a 10% chance of victory and a 18% chance of a draw, making the home win the most likely result. The expected total goals for the match is 3.3, with the most probable total being three goals at a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Hamilton, carrying an 11.2% chance. Hamilton’s home form shows they average one goal scored and two conceded against stronger sides, while Cove Rangers’ away form averages 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded against weaker teams. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.6% with a 6% edge), Under 7.5 (98.0%), Home +2 handicap (96.9% with a 6% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (94.9% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (94.8% with a 2% edge) and Away under 2.5 goals (94.8% with a 5% edge).
Results analysis
Hamilton Academical’s unbeaten run extended as they edged Cove Rangers 1-0, a result that matched the model’s prediction. The favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 73% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.9%, Under 7.5 at 98.0%, Home +2 handicap at 96.9%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.5%, Under 6.5 at 94.8%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 94.8%. Each pick was settled, all hitting their targets. The match delivered the expected 3-goal range, with the most likely scoreline of 2-0 or 2-1 both close to the 1-0 outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hamilton Academical win✓ Hit
72.8%
Avg Implied 58.7% · @ 1.54
Edge
+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Dafabet
1.56
Draw✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 3.99
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.21
Dafabet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Cove Rangers win✗ Miss
9.7%
Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 4.88
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
5.25
Dafabet
5.20
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hamilton Academical
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.33
1.43
1.43
1.19
1.25
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.67
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.28
1.38
1.12
0.70
1.40
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.17
2.00
1.67
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cove Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.40
1.21
1.00
1.25
1.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.52
1.25
1.17
1.46
1.85
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.1%
@ 1.20+8.4%
Under 1.5
14.9%
@ 3.95-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Unibet
3.85
Betano
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.4%
@ 1.70+9.8%
Under 2.5
35.6%
@ 2.05-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.3%
@ 2.72+8.4%
Under 3.5
57.7%
@ 1.39-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
BetVictor
2.75
1xBet
2.74
Marathonbet
2.74
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.5%
@ 1.76-0.3%
No
47.5%
@ 1.96+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
No
William Hil
2.05
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Unibet
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%@ 7.48+5.2%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.57+3.3%
3-0
9.3%@ 11.35+5.3%
1-0 ✓
8.3%@ 7.04+1.8%
1-1
8.3%@ 7.51+2.2%
3-1
7.7%@ 11.86+3.9%
4-0
5.8%@ 21.64+3.7%
4-1
4.8%@ 23.14+2.8%
Hamilton Academical goals ↓
Cove Rangers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
2.3%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
1
8.3%
8.3%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
2
11%
9.3%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
9.3%
7.7%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
4
5.8%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hamilton Academical goals (down), columns = Cove Rangers goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical is 1.44 points better than Cove Rangers in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Hamilton Academical is 1.36 goals better than Cove Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Hamilton Academical is 0.28 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hamilton Academical
For 6.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 16.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cove Rangers
For 4.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hamilton Academical
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
12.0
9.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
16.0
23.0
9.0
vs Stronger (10)
9.0
-
9.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
9.0
-
9.0
vs Similar (34)
12.0
12.0
-
0.2
0.1
0.3
23.0
23.0
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
2%
0%
4%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
98%
100%
96%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cove Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.7
10.1
2.5
3.2
2.0
22.2
22.4
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
9.4
9.1
9.7
2.3
2.7
1.9
22.0
21.9
22.0
vs Weaker (10)
9.2
7.0
11.0
3.6
5.5
2.3
22.8
24.0
21.8
% over line
46%
33%
58%
34%
50%
19%
51%
44%
58%
% under line
54%
67%
42%
66%
50%
81%
49%
56%
42%
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.3%
@ 1.74+0.8%
Under 9.5
45.7%
@ 2.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Under
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.2%
Under 21.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hamilton Academical or Draw✓ Hit
90.3%
Avg Implied 81.5% · @ 1.12
Edge
+8.8%
73%
18%
10%
covers Hamilton Academical + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Hamilton Academical or Cove Rangers✓ Hit
82.5%
Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.18
Edge
+4.7%
73%
18%
10%
covers Hamilton Academical + Cove Rangers
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Draw or Cove Rangers✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.25
Edge
-13.5%
73%
18%
10%
covers Draw + Cove Rangers
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
BetVictor
2.30
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.7%
@ 1.11+8.2%
Under
8.3%
@ 5.57-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
BetVictor
5.75
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
70.9%
@ 1.60+13.4%
Under
29.1%
@ 2.18-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
Under
Bet365
2.25
BetVictor
2.20
Betano
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.2%
@ 2.86+13.1%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.35-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.97
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.85
Superbet
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Hamilton Academical over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 5.17+6.0%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.13-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.40
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
56.4%
@ 1.53-3.7%
Under
43.6%
@ 2.31+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 3.55-5.8%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.25+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.56
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 8.86-5.3%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.80
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.01
Cove Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 14.75-5.4%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hamilton Academical, so a minus line means Hamilton Academical give that many goals of a start and Cove Rangers receive them. At -1, Hamilton Academical must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hamilton Academical win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +1 (Hamilton Academical)Actual: Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical +1
90.3%
@ 1.11+14.3%
Draw +1
6.7%
@ 5.78-7.9%
Cove Rangers -1
3.1%
@ 8.95-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Hamilton Academical)Actual: Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical +2
96.9%
@ 1.03+5.7%
Draw +2
2.4%
@ 17.00-3.2%
Cove Rangers -2
0.7%
@ 29.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hamilton Academical
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.64
0.71
0.56
0.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.39
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.30
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cove Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.29
0.50
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.52
0.25
0.58
0.69
0.46
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.30+8.1%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 3.19-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.6%
@ 2.46+7.1%
Under 1.5
55.4%
@ 1.48-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Pinnacle
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Unibet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.7%
@ 5.85+3.9%
Under 2.5
80.3%
@ 1.10-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
71.0%
@ 1.63+14.2%
Under
29.0%
@ 2.15-14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Under
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.2%
@ 4.13+10.9%
Under
66.8%
@ 1.19-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 9.00+4.9%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.04-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
28.1%
@ 2.60-7.4%
Under
71.9%
@ 1.43+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.74
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.57
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.47
Under
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 9.35-5.4%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.30
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hamilton Academical
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.79
0.71
0.62
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.89
0.88
0.62
0.30
1.10
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cove Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
0.93
0.50
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
1.00
1.00
0.58
0.77
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
85.5%
@ 1.19+7.6%
Under 0.5
14.5%
@ 4.20-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.35
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.0%
@ 1.92+10.7%
Under 1.5
41.0%
@ 1.79-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.9%
@ 3.78+5.4%
Under 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.23-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
78.4%
@ 1.42+13.6%
Under
21.6%
@ 2.62-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.8%
@ 3.02+12.1%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.33-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
2.87
Under
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.5%
@ 7.35+6.9%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.06-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.03
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
32.0%
@ 2.17-10.5%
Under
68.0%
@ 1.60+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 6.97-6.9%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.06+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 12.50-6.4%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
91.7%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
90.3%
1.12
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
90.3%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+14.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.1%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
+7.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
85.1%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
+8.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.5%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
80.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
79.8%
1.25
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
79.1%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.42
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
-
-
+13.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
76.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.12
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Home win
72.8%
1.54
Pinnacle
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.57
Dafabet
1.56
+14.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
71.9%
1.43
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals
71.0%
1.63
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
+14.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
70.9%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
+13.4%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
70.1%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
-5.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
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Ross County
Alloa Athletic
East Kilbride
Peterhead
East Fife
Montrose
Airdrie United
Queen of the South