This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.47
1.50
1.07
0.75
1.81
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
5.00
-
-
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (29)
1.14
1.34
1.50
1.07
0.80
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
@ 2.27+2.8%
Under 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.59-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
Hamilton Academical goals ↓
Raith Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.2%
6.3%
2.5%
0.8%
1
9.5%
14%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.7%
8.0%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.8%
3.3%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hamilton Academical goals (down), columns = Raith Rovers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Falkirk
2.00
Livingston
1.98
Ayr
1.75
Ayr Utd
1.75
Partick
1.58
Raith Rvs
1.47
Raith Rovers
1.47
Morton
1.42
Cove Rangers
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Hamilton
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Queens Park
0.97
Queen's Park
0.97
Dunfermline
0.94
Queen of the South
0.50
Stenhousemuir
0.00
Hamilton Academical is 0.47 points worse than Raith Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.94
Livingston
1.63
Ayr
1.58
Ayr Utd
1.58
Raith Rvs
1.31
Raith Rovers
1.31
Partick
1.25
Morton
1.19
Hamilton Academical
1.06
Hamilton
1.06
Airdrie United
1.04
Queens Park
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Queen's Park
1.00
Dunfermline
0.77
Cove Rangers
0.75
Queen of the South
0.50
Hamilton Academical is 0.25 goals worse than Raith Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.73
Cove Rangers
0.75
Falkirk
0.96
Partick
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Ayr
1.08
Ayr Utd
1.08
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Morton
1.23
Dunfermline
1.23
Queens Park
1.53
Queen's Park
1.53
Airdrie United
1.66
Hamilton Academical
1.78
Hamilton
1.78
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Hamilton Academical is 0.58 goals worse than Raith Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hamilton Academical
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Raith Rovers
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hamilton Academical
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Falkirk
11.4
Morton
11.4
Queens Park
11.1
Hamilton
10.9
Dunfermline
10.7
Airdrie United
10.7
Cove Rangers
10.2
Ayr
10.1
Partick
10.0
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Livingston
9.0
Raith Rvs
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Morton
4.7
Raith Rvs
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Queens Park
3.9
Ayr
3.9
Livingston
3.9
Partick
3.8
Dunfermline
3.6
Stenhousemuir
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Hamilton
3.4
Cove Rangers
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Livingston
23.2
Morton
22.3
Stenhousemuir
22.1
Raith Rvs
21.9
Falkirk
21.8
Hamilton
21.6
Ayr
21.6
Airdrie United
19.9
Partick
19.8
Dunfermline
19.7
Queens Park
19.1
Cove Rangers
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
44.8%
Under 21.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hamilton Academical
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.60
0.50
0.58
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
1.00
0.36
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (29)
0.76
0.41
1.00
0.36
0.53
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hamilton Academical
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.10
0.80
0.80
0.53
1.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
1.16
0.75
0.83
0.62
1.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.00
0.50
0.71
0.25
1.25
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (29)
0.38
0.93
0.50
0.71
0.27
1.13
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
Hamilton Academical's squad is €1m less valuable than Raith Rovers's (€0m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Raith Rovers have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Raith Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
Hamilton Academical and Raith Rovers have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →