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Hamilton vs Cove Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
H
Hamilton
vs
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamilton win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

H
Hamilton

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D02L07L21W11D02L01L12L22D00DH·ARB03/03H·AYR18/03A·DUN01/04A·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.831.071.800.531.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.652.001.001.850.312.15
vs Weaker (4)1.750.751.501.502.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-616L03L03L05L11D11D12L10W00D12LA·RAI18/03A·AYR24/03A·AYR24/03H·PAR01/04A·HAM08/04A·HAM08/04H·INV15/04A·ARB22/04A·DUN28/04H·MOR05/05← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.732.500.872.730.602.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.552.900.703.400.402.40
vs Weaker (10)1.101.701.201.401.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Falkirk
2.50
Hamilton
2.06
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.47
Cove Rangers
1.36
Kelty Hearts
1.22
Queen of Sth
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
0.39
Hamilton is 0.69 points better than Cove Rangers in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
2.67
Hamilton
2.03
Alloa
1.67
Cove Rangers
1.61
Montrose
1.61
Annan Athletic
1.53
Kelty Hearts
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.28
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
1.06
Hamilton is 0.42 goals better than Cove Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.78
Hamilton
0.78
Queen of Sth
1.47
Alloa
1.53
Montrose
1.58
Stirling
1.61
Kelty Hearts
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.89
Edinburgh City
2.72
Hamilton is 0.97 goals better than Cove Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

H
Hamilton

For 3.6 · Against 7.3 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1904861027874153315153845121691519666119A·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAIA·DUNH·AYRH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

10022552132121533123441035366127A·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAIA·DUNH·AYRH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

31015715105121314712102181110998141622251727193119191730A·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAIA·DUNH·AYRH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 4.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1503351691112451279566151266914A·HAMA·AYRA·RAIA·QUEH·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

705111422112315262441347A·HAMA·AYRA·RAIA·QUEH·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

3302110101310885595861116173123181314131733A·HAMA·AYRA·RAIA·QUEH·AYRH·RAIH·QUEH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

H
Hamilton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.910.74.34.63.922.322.522.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)10.811.010.54.44.84.022.722.722.6
vs Weaker (6)11.210.711.73.23.33.019.320.718.0
% over line60%56%64%60%68%52%54%52%56%
% under line40%44%36%40%32%48%46%48%44%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.08.611.21.10.91.319.920.319.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (34)10.08.611.21.61.31.819.920.319.6
vs Weaker (16)---0.00.00.0---
% over line53%29%75%16%12%19%33%43%25%
% under line47%71%25%84%88%81%67%57%75%
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.8
Kelty Hearts
10.2
Montrose
10.1
Falkirk
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Alloa
9.9
Queen of Sth
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Stirling
9.3
Edinburgh City
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamilton
4.3
Montrose
4.2
Stirling
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.9
Falkirk
3.9
Cove Rangers
3.8
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Queen of Sth
3.4
Edinburgh City
3.1
Alloa
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
23.1
Hamilton
22.3
Falkirk
21.6
Kelty Hearts
21.5
Cove Rangers
21.2
Stirling
20.8
Annan Athletic
20.7
Edinburgh City
19.7
Queen of Sth
19.6
Alloa
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.6%
Under 9.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
46.3%
Under 21.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

H
Hamilton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L04L00D00D00D00D00D11D00DH·ARB03/03H·AYR18/03A·DUN01/04A·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.900.330.870.130.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.191.000.310.920.081.08
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.500.500.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L02L02L00D00D00D00D00D11DA·RAI18/03A·AYR24/03A·AYR24/03H·PAR01/04A·HAM08/04A·HAM08/04H·INV15/04A·ARB22/04A·DUN28/04H·MOR05/05← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.970.271.130.200.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.201.150.301.500.100.80
vs Weaker (10)0.300.600.200.400.400.80
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

H
Hamilton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L21W11D02L01L12L11D00DH·ARB03/03H·AYR18/03A·DUN01/04A·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.730.930.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.461.000.690.920.231.08
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L01L03L11D11D12L10W00D01LA·RAI18/03A·AYR24/03A·AYR24/03H·PAR01/04A·HAM08/04A·HAM08/04H·INV15/04A·ARB22/04A·DUN28/04H·MOR05/05← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.530.601.600.401.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.351.750.401.900.301.60
vs Weaker (10)0.801.101.001.000.601.20
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls82.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
KH (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
HAM wins
3
Draws
1
CR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hamilton vs Cove Rangers · H/A from HAM
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23HHAM Vs Cove Rangers1-1
23/12/22ACove Rangers Vs HAM2-0
29/10/22HHAM Vs Cove Rangers4-4
03/09/22ACove Rangers Vs HAM2-2

H
Hamilton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/23AArbroath Vs HAM0-0
22/04/23HHAM Vs Partick2-2
18/04/23HHAM Vs Inverness CT1-2
14/04/23AQueens Park Vs HAM1-0
11/04/23AMorton Vs HAM2-0
08/04/23HHAM Vs Cove Rangers1-1
04/04/23ARaith Rvs Vs HAM1-2
01/04/23ADundee Vs HAM7-0
18/03/23HHAM Vs Ayr0-2
03/03/23HHAM Vs Arbroath0-0

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/23HCR Vs Morton1-2
28/04/23ADundee Vs CR0-0
22/04/23AArbroath Vs CR0-1
15/04/23HCR Vs Inverness CT1-2
08/04/23AHamilton Vs CR1-1
08/04/23AHamilton Academical Vs CR1-1
01/04/23HCR Vs Partick0-5
24/03/23AAyr Utd Vs CR3-0
24/03/23AAyr Vs CR3-0
18/03/23ARaith Rovers Vs CR6-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

H
Hamilton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD0.98
HomeDLDLD0.96
AwayLWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%20%24%
AVG goals2.482.442.52
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %38%32%44%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored0.900.960.84
Conceded1.581.481.68
BTTS40%52%28%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners10.8010.9210.68
Cards4.284.643.92
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL0.78
HomeDLLLL1.00
AwayLDDWD0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%25%8%
AVG goals3.363.293.42
Over 1.5 %86%96%77%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.081.171.00
Conceded2.282.122.42
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners10.008.5711.25
Cards3.603.004.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk3690
75%
2.5
9628+68
3.4
83%
72%
47%
11.4
78%
4.2
64%
21.9
42%
6
2132.70.8
-
2
H
Hamilton
3674
61%
2.1
7328+45
2.8
75%
56%
33%
10.1
64%
3.2
44%
19.9
33%
0
0002.00.8
-
3
A
Alloa
3656
44%
1.6
6055+5
3.2
81%
64%
36%
10.0
58%
3.7
56%
19.8
36%
0
0001.71.5
-
4MontroseMontrose3653
42%
1.5
5857+1
3.2
75%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.8
53%
20.6
36%
0
0001.61.6
-
5Cove RangersCove Rangers3649
39%
1.4
5863-5
3.4
78%
64%
53%
10.1
56%
2.9
33%
18.3
28%
0
0001.61.8
-
6Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
33%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
61%
44%
10.8
56%
3.7
42%
21.7
53%
1
1001.31.8
-
7
QO
Queen of Sth
3641
31%
1.1
4653-7
2.8
75%
50%
33%
10.1
58%
3.7
50%
21.9
53%
0
0001.31.5
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3639
25%
1.1
5568-13
3.4
97%
72%
42%
9.8
50%
4.4
69%
21.3
44%
0
0001.51.9
-
9StirlingStirling3639
28%
1.1
3958-19
2.7
67%
53%
36%
10.7
72%
3.9
53%
20.9
44%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3614
8%
0.4
3898-60
3.8
92%
75%
53%
10.2
61%
3.9
47%
21.6
53%
0
0001.12.7
-
Scotland: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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