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Hamilton vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
H
Hamilton
vs
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamilton win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

H
Hamilton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D02L01L12L22D00D10W20W30WA·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05H·COV05/08A·KEL12/08A·EDI19/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.531.211.640.811.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.801.721.171.670.461.77
vs Weaker (5)2.000.601.501.502.330.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D03L12L21W32W04L12L02L31W03LA·FC 01/04A·AIR08/04H·FAL11/04H·PET15/04A·QUE22/04H·ALL29/04A·CLY06/05H·KEL05/08A·ANN12/08H·COV19/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.401.731.271.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.191.881.361.861.001.92
vs Weaker (4)2.251.002.000.002.331.33
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Falkirk
2.50
Hamilton
2.06
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.47
Cove Rangers
1.36
Kelty Hearts
1.22
Queen of Sth
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
0.39
Hamilton is 0.58 points better than Montrose in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
2.67
Hamilton
2.03
Alloa
1.67
Cove Rangers
1.61
Montrose
1.61
Annan Athletic
1.53
Kelty Hearts
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.28
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
1.06
Hamilton is 0.42 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.78
Hamilton
0.78
Queen of Sth
1.47
Alloa
1.53
Montrose
1.58
Stirling
1.61
Kelty Hearts
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.89
Edinburgh City
2.72
Hamilton is 0.81 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

H
Hamilton

For 5.0 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.6

🚩 Corners

190837375486102787415331511101212169151966A·EDIA·KELH·COVA·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

100212222255213212153332441035366A·EDIA·KELH·COVA·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

310611668215715105121314712102181117121022251727193119A·EDIA·KELH·COVA·ARBH·PARH·INVA·QUEA·MORH·COVA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

For 5.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

17063341253462421222353659717786145811H·COVA·ANNH·KELA·CLYH·ALLA·QUEH·PETH·FALA·AIRA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

70233222132123341250264353657H·COVA·ANNH·KELA·CLYH·ALLA·QUEH·PETH·FALA·AIRA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

3008911717139778581613121185131517183016151329231328H·COVA·ANNH·KELA·CLYH·ALLA·QUEH·PETH·FALA·AIRA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

H
Hamilton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.010.34.24.63.821.622.121.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (43)10.611.010.14.44.84.022.022.321.7
vs Weaker (7)11.110.711.53.13.33.019.020.717.8
% over line60%56%64%56%68%44%50%52%48%
% under line40%44%36%44%32%56%50%48%52%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.610.04.03.84.322.923.822.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)10.310.310.33.93.44.522.923.422.4
vs Weaker (8)10.413.08.84.86.33.823.027.020.6
% over line54%56%52%60%52%68%58%68%48%
% under line46%44%48%40%48%32%42%32%52%
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.7
Montrose
10.3
Kelty Hearts
10.3
Cove Rangers
10.0
Falkirk
9.9
Queen of Sth
9.8
Alloa
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.7
Stirling
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamilton
4.2
Montrose
4.0
Falkirk
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.9
Stirling
3.9
Cove Rangers
3.8
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Queen of Sth
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.0
Alloa
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
22.9
Falkirk
22.0
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Hamilton
21.6
Stirling
21.0
Cove Rangers
20.6
Annan Athletic
20.3
Queen of Sth
19.9
Edinburgh City
19.4
Alloa
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.9%
Under 9.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.5%
Under 3.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.2%
Under 21.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

H
Hamilton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D11D00D10W00D10WA·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05H·COV05/08A·KEL12/08A·EDI19/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.730.430.790.190.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.240.840.420.830.080.85
vs Weaker (5)0.600.200.500.500.670.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D02L10W32W02L00D00D30W02LA·FC 01/04A·AIR08/04H·FAL11/04H·PET15/04A·QUE22/04H·ALL29/04A·CLY06/05H·KEL05/08A·ANN12/08H·COV19/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.530.870.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.420.920.430.930.420.92
vs Weaker (4)1.250.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

H
Hamilton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D02L01L12L11D00D00D20W20WA·RAI04/04H·COV08/04A·MOR11/04A·QUE14/04H·INV18/04H·PAR22/04A·ARB05/05H·COV05/08A·KEL12/08A·EDI19/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.790.860.620.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.560.880.750.830.380.92
vs Weaker (5)1.400.401.001.001.670.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L10W11D00D02L12L02L01L01LA·FC 01/04A·AIR08/04H·FAL11/04H·PET15/04A·QUE22/04H·ALL29/04A·CLY06/05H·KEL05/08A·ANN12/08H·COV19/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.870.870.731.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.770.960.930.930.581.00
vs Weaker (4)1.001.000.000.001.331.33
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls83.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
KH (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HAM wins
0
Draws
0
MON wins

Head-to-head

Hamilton vs Montrose · H/A from HAM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

H
Hamilton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23AEdinburgh City Vs HAM0-3
12/08/23AKelty Hearts Vs HAM0-2
05/08/23HHAM Vs Cove Rangers1-0
05/05/23AArbroath Vs HAM0-0
22/04/23HHAM Vs Partick2-2
18/04/23HHAM Vs Inverness CT1-2
14/04/23AQueens Park Vs HAM1-0
11/04/23AMorton Vs HAM2-0
08/04/23HHAM Vs Cove Rangers1-1
04/04/23ARaith Rvs Vs HAM1-2

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23HMON Vs Cove Rangers0-3
12/08/23AAnnan Athletic Vs MON1-3
05/08/23HMON Vs Kelty Hearts0-2
06/05/23AClyde Vs MON2-1
29/04/23HMON Vs Alloa0-4
22/04/23AQueen of Sth Vs MON2-3
15/04/23HMON Vs Peterhead2-1
11/04/23HMON Vs Falkirk1-2
08/04/23AAirdrie United Vs MON3-0
01/04/23AFC Edinburgh Vs MON1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

H
Hamilton
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.10
HomeLDLDW1.04
AwayLLDWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals2.482.402.56
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %38%32%44%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored0.960.960.96
Conceded1.521.441.60
BTTS36%48%24%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.6611.0010.32
Cards4.204.603.80
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.34
HomeLWLLL1.40
AwayDLWLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.782.962.60
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.321.481.16
Conceded1.461.481.44
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners10.3210.6410.00
Cards4.043.764.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk3690
75%
2.5
9628+68
3.4
83%
72%
47%
11.4
78%
4.2
64%
21.9
42%
6
2132.70.8
-
2
H
Hamilton		3674
61%
2.1
7328+45
2.8
75%
56%
33%
10.1
64%
3.2
44%
19.9
33%
0
0002.00.8
-
3
A
Alloa		3656
44%
1.6
6055+5
3.2
81%
64%
36%
10.0
58%
3.7
56%
19.8
36%
0
0001.71.5
-
4MontroseMontrose3653
42%
1.5
5857+1
3.2
75%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.8
53%
20.6
36%
0
0001.61.6
-
5Cove RangersCove Rangers3649
39%
1.4
5863-5
3.4
78%
64%
53%
10.1
56%
2.9
33%
18.3
28%
0
0001.61.8
-
6Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
33%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
61%
44%
10.8
56%
3.7
42%
21.7
53%
1
1001.31.8
-
7
QO
Queen of Sth		3641
31%
1.1
4653-7
2.8
75%
50%
33%
10.1
58%
3.7
50%
21.9
53%
0
0001.31.5
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3639
25%
1.1
5568-13
3.4
97%
72%
42%
9.8
50%
4.4
69%
21.3
44%
0
0001.51.9
-
9StirlingStirling3639
28%
1.1
3958-19
2.7
67%
53%
36%
10.7
72%
3.9
53%
20.9
44%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3614
8%
0.4
3898-60
3.8
92%
75%
53%
10.2
61%
3.9
47%
21.6
53%
0
0001.12.7
-
Scotland: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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