Pythia gives Hanácká a 40% win probability against Táborsko in the Czech-Republic: FNL on 2026-07-24, with 30% for the draw and 30% for Táborsko. The model estimates around 2.5 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.1%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (76%), Over 1.5 (72%).
Results analysis
Hanácká finished 0-0 against Táborsko (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 40% home win, 30% draw and 30% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (76%). Missed: Over 1.5 (72%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hanácká win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Táborsko win✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hanácká
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.43
1.13
1.07
1.00
1.80
vs Stronger (24)
1.25
1.58
1.33
1.33
1.17
1.83
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.00
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Táborsko
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.37
1.60
1.13
1.47
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.54
1.46
1.67
1.25
1.42
1.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.67
1.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.0%
0-0 ✓
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
Hanácká goals ↓
Táborsko goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
8.3%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
1
10.0%
14%
7.3%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.6%
8.6%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.4%
3.8%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hanácká goals (down), columns = Táborsko goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
2.01
Dukla Praha
1.82
Táborsko
1.77
Ústí nad Labem
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.57
Příbram
1.53
Opava
1.47
Viktoria Žižkov
1.37
Slavia Praha II
1.27
Vlašim
1.27
Hanácká
1.13
Prostějov
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
0.97
Třinec
0.74
Kladno
0.68
Arsenal Česká Lípa
0.68
Hanácká is 0.63 points worse than Táborsko in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Karviná
1.93
Ústí nad Labem
1.77
Dukla Praha
1.74
Táborsko
1.63
Baník Ostrava II
1.50
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Opava
1.40
Vlašim
1.37
Viktoria Žižkov
1.27
Hanácká
1.07
Vysočina Jihlava
1.07
Prostějov
1.07
Příbram
0.97
Třinec
0.71
Kladno
0.65
Arsenal Česká Lípa
0.65
Hanácká is 0.57 goals worse than Táborsko in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Karviná
0.93
Příbram
1.00
Dukla Praha
1.03
Opava
1.03
Táborsko
1.10
Vlašim
1.13
Baník Ostrava II
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
Hanácká
1.43
Prostějov
1.47
Ústí nad Labem
1.53
Slavia Praha II
1.57
Viktoria Žižkov
1.73
Třinec
2.53
Kladno
2.74
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.74
Hanácká is 0.33 goals worse than Táborsko in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hanácká
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.27
0.47
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.46
0.83
0.33
0.58
0.58
1.08
vs Similar (6)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Táborsko
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
0.87
0.53
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.67
0.83
0.58
1.08
0.75
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hanácká over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 11. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (57)
€40m
KAR (38)
€22m
DP (44)
€13m
BOI (53)
€13m
VLA (44)
€5m
VJ (33)
€4m
PRO (40)
€4m
TÁB (34)
€4m
PŘÍ (41)
€3m
OPA (34)
€3m
HAN (40)
€3m
VŽ (35)
€3m
ÚNL (33)
€2m
TŘI (25)
€0m
AČL (30)
€0m
KLA (32)
€0m
Hanácká and Táborsko have a similar squad value (both €3m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →