The match between Hanácká and Ští nad Labem is expected to be a close contest, with the home side Hanácká favoured to win. However, Hanácká has been struggling recently, having suffered two consecutive defeats, including a 0-2 loss to Dukla Praha. Despite this, Hanácká has a slight edge at home, scoring 0.8 goals on average and conceding 1.3 goals against stronger opponents.
Ští nad Labem, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, with a recent draw against Arsenal Česká Lípa. However, they have been scoring well, averaging 1.8 goals away, albeit conceding 2.2 goals against weaker opponents.
The model predicts Hanácká to win with a 44% probability, a draw with 28%, and an away win with 28%. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 13.5% probability. The model's selection is the home win, and the suggested picks include Over 1.5 with a 74.9% probability and Under 3.5 with a 73.1% probability, both of which have been successful.
Results analysis
In a stunning upset, Hanácká's home win streak came to an abrupt end as they fell 0-2 to Dýšín nad Labem, who extended their run of avoiding consecutive defeats. The model's selection, Home win, was wrong as the away side secured the win. The model's call was incorrect as Dýšín nad Labem's victory was a surprise to many. The model's selection, Home win, had a pre-match probability of 44%. The model's selection, Over 1.5, hit, with a probability of 74.9%, while Under 3.5 was also correct, with a probability of 73.1%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hanácká win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.42
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Dafabet
2.46
William Hil
2.45
1xBet
2.42
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.25
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.50
Dafabet
3.35
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Ústí nad Labem win✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.64
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.77
Dafabet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hanácká
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.20
1.00
0.79
1.06
1.56
vs Stronger (16)
1.19
1.44
1.29
1.00
1.11
1.78
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.93
0.71
0.57
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ústí nad Labem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.63
1.57
1.14
1.75
2.06
vs Stronger (1)
5.00
4.00
-
-
5.00
4.00
vs Similar (27)
1.59
1.59
1.67
1.17
1.53
1.93
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
@ 1.23+0.4%
Under 1.5
25.1%
@ 3.60-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.80-2.9%
Under 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.92+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
@ 2.90-4.8%
Under 3.5
73.1%
@ 1.35+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.13
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.9%
@ 1.62-3.2%
No
46.1%
@ 2.15+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
No
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 5.93+6.1%
1-0
9.5%@ 8.36+4.2%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.45+3.9%
0-0
8.5%@ 9.76+4.0%
2-0
7.9%@ 11.86+4.2%
0-1
7.1%@ 8.89+2.1%
1-2
7.0%@ 8.95+2.1%
2-2
5.2%@ 11.39+1.3%
Hanácká goals ↓
Ústí nad Labem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
7.1%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.5%
14%
7.0%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.1%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.9%
4.5%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hanácká goals (down), columns = Ústí nad Labem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
2.40
Táborsko
2.20
Ústí nad Labem
2.20
Slavia Praha II
2.20
Příbram
1.80
Dukla Praha
1.40
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Vlašim
1.20
Opava
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
Kladno
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Baník Ostrava II
0.80
Třinec
0.80
Viktoria Žižkov
0.60
Hanácká
0.20
Hanácká is 2.00 points worse than Ústí nad Labem in terms of average points per game (0.20 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.60
Karviná
2.20
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Vlašim
1.80
Příbram
1.80
Táborsko
1.60
Dukla Praha
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.40
Vysočina Jihlava
1.20
Opava
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Kladno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
0.60
Hanácká
0.20
Hanácká is 1.80 goals worse than Ústí nad Labem in terms of goals scored per game (0.20 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.60
Vysočina Jihlava
0.60
Karviná
1.00
Ústí nad Labem
1.00
Třinec
1.20
Opava
1.40
Baník Ostrava II
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Kladno
1.40
Vlašim
1.40
Příbram
1.40
Dukla Praha
1.60
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.20
Hanácká
2.40
Viktoria Žižkov
2.40
Hanácká is 1.40 goals worse than Ústí nad Labem in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hanácká
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.60
0.14
0.36
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.69
0.29
0.43
0.33
0.89
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.50
0.00
0.29
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ústí nad Labem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.71
0.36
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.67
0.75
0.33
0.73
0.93
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hanácká over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hanácká
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.86
0.43
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (16)
0.88
0.75
1.00
0.57
0.78
0.89
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.43
0.71
0.29
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ústí nad Labem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.97
0.86
0.79
0.94
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
3.00
-
-
3.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.93
0.92
0.83
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hanácká over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
74.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.1%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
+4.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (57)
€40m
KAR (38)
€22m
DP (44)
€13m
BOI (53)
€13m
VLA (44)
€5m
VJ (33)
€4m
PRO (40)
€4m
TÁB (34)
€4m
PŘÍ (41)
€3m
OPA (34)
€3m
HAN (40)
€3m
VŽ (35)
€3m
ÚNL (33)
€2m
TŘI (25)
€0m
AČL (30)
€0m
KLA (32)
€0m
Hanácká and Ústí nad Labem have a similar squad value (both €3m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →