Hanácká's recent form has been marked by two consecutive defeats, following a 0-2 loss to Dukla Praha. This has led to a 40% chance of a home win, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 27% chance of an away win. The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome.
The expected total number of goals is 2.0, suggesting a low-scoring match. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a probability of 14.8%. Hanácká has been solid at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.2 goals against similar opponents. Vysočina Jihlava, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 0.91 goals and conceding 1.27 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 85.7%. In addition to the home win, the model also suggests the Under 3.5 goals and the Under 2.5 goals selections, both with a probability of 85.7%. Hanácká has a 40% chance of winning, a 33% chance of drawing, and a 27% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The away team, Vysočina Jihlava, pulled off a stunning upset with a 0-4 win over Hanáčka, extending their run of consecutive wins. This result was a major surprise, as the home team, Hanáčka, were the pre-match favourites with a 39% chance of winning. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect, as Vysočina Jihlava's 28% chance of winning proved more accurate. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals also missed, despite having an 85.8% probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hanácká win✗ Miss
38.5%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.64
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Bet365
2.70
Draw✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.24
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.43
BetVictor
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.30
Vysočina Jihlava win✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.41
Edge
-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.55
BetVictor
2.45
Dafabet
2.45
Betano
2.42
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hanácká
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.23
0.93
0.79
1.19
1.62
vs Stronger (17)
1.18
1.47
1.14
1.00
1.20
1.80
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.92
0.71
0.57
1.17
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vysočina Jihlava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.23
1.07
1.13
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.33
0.33
1.67
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.26
1.25
1.00
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.25-13.1%
Under 1.5
39.4%
@ 3.51+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
888Sport
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.2%
@ 1.84-18.5%
Under 2.5
67.8%
@ 1.89+18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.93
SBO
1.91
Unibet
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.91
888Sport
1.91
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.2%
@ 3.04-16.2%
Under 3.5
85.8%
@ 1.33+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.30
BetVictor
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Under
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.8%
@ 1.66-14.9%
No
59.2%
@ 2.08+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.70
888Sport
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
No
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.0%@ 9.99+10.5%
1-1
14.7%@ 5.89+7.3%
1-0
13.6%@ 8.59+8.5%
0-1
10.9%@ 8.00+5.4%
2-0
8.2%@ 13.24+4.9%
2-1
7.3%@ 9.08+2.5%
1-2
6.0%@ 8.48+0.8%
0-2
5.5%@ 11.48+1.6%
Hanácká goals ↓
Vysočina Jihlava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
11%
5.5%
1.6%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.2%
7.3%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
3
3.0%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hanácká goals (down), columns = Vysočina Jihlava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Hanácká is 0.50 points worse than Vysočina Jihlava in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Hanácká is 0.67 goals worse than Vysočina Jihlava in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Hanácká is 1.17 goals worse than Vysočina Jihlava in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hanácká
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.60
0.14
0.36
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
0.71
0.29
0.43
0.30
0.90
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.46
0.00
0.29
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vysočina Jihlava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.73
0.53
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.65
0.92
0.50
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hanácká over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hanácká
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.79
0.43
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (17)
0.88
0.76
0.86
0.57
0.90
0.90
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.46
0.71
0.29
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vysočina Jihlava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.61
0.33
0.50
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hanácká) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hanácká over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hanácká over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
85.8%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.33
888Sport
1.33
+16.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Hanácká and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Hanácká and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Hanácká and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Hanácká and Vysočina Jihlava have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vlašim
Opava
Prostějov
Třinec
Viktoria Žižkov