This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.14
1.00
1.29
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.15
1.00
1.29
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
21% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.8%
@ 1.84-1.5%
Under 2.5
50.2%
@ 1.94+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
Hannover 96 goals ↓
Ulm goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
4.6%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.2%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.4%
6.0%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
4
3.4%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hannover 96 goals (down), columns = Ulm goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
Hannover 96 is 0.78 points better than Ulm in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
Hannover 96 is 0.23 goals better than Ulm in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
Hannover 96 is 0.39 goals better than Ulm in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hannover 96
For 6.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
U
Ulm
For 3.6 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hannover 96
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.9
10.8
4.3
4.2
4.4
25.0
25.6
24.5
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
5.0
17.0
7.0
7.5
6.0
30.3
32.0
27.0
vs Similar (36)
10.9
10.6
11.1
4.4
4.3
4.6
24.8
24.3
25.3
vs Weaker (11)
9.0
9.3
8.6
3.0
2.7
3.4
24.2
27.0
20.8
% over line
60%
56%
64%
62%
60%
64%
80%
84%
76%
% under line
40%
44%
36%
38%
40%
36%
20%
16%
24%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (14)
10.3
9.9
10.7
6.1
7.4
4.9
24.1
22.4
25.9
vs Stronger (13)
10.4
9.9
11.0
6.2
7.4
4.8
23.1
22.4
23.8
vs Similar (1)
9.0
-
9.0
5.0
-
5.0
38.0
-
38.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
43%
43%
93%
100%
86%
86%
71%
100%
% under line
57%
57%
57%
7%
0%
14%
14%
29%
0%
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.3
1. FC Nürnberg
11.3
Hamburger SV
11.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
11.0
SV Elversberg
11.0
Karlsruher SC
10.9
Preußen Münster
10.9
1. FC Magdeburg
10.8
Hertha BSC
10.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.6
SC Paderborn 07
10.6
Hannover 96
10.3
Ulm
10.3
SSV Ulm 1846
10.3
Jahn Regensburg
10.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.0
Regensburg
9.6
FC Schalke 04
9.5
SV Darmstadt 98
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SSV Ulm 1846
6.8
Ulm
6.1
1. FC Nürnberg
5.5
Jahn Regensburg
5.4
1. FC Magdeburg
5.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5.2
Hamburger SV
5.1
FC Schalke 04
5.0
Regensburg
4.9
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.7
1. FC Köln
4.7
Preußen Münster
4.6
Hertha BSC
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.5
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.3
Hannover 96
4.3
Karlsruher SC
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.4
Regensburg
25.1
Hannover 96
25.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
24.9
SSV Ulm 1846
24.3
Preußen Münster
24.2
Ulm
24.1
Jahn Regensburg
24.1
1. FC Magdeburg
24.1
1. FC Nürnberg
23.9
SV Darmstadt 98
23.5
Eintracht Braunschweig
22.7
Hamburger SV
22.7
FC Schalke 04
22.7
1. FC Köln
22.7
Hertha BSC
22.7
SV Elversberg
21.9
SC Paderborn 07
21.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.1
Karlsruher SC
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.6%
Under 9.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.4%
Under 3.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.9%
Under 21.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hannover 96
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.73
0.50
0.83
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.36
0.57
0.14
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.31
0.57
0.14
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
64% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hannover 96 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hannover 96
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.50
1.17
0.42
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
U
Ulm
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.79
0.43
1.14
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.85
0.43
1.14
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hannover 96 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hannover 96
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolò Tresoldi17%
Jessic Ngankam14%
Josh Knight12%
Hyun-ju Lee12%
Marcel Halstenberg10%
Rabbi Matondo10%
Monju Momuluh10%
Jannik Rochelt7%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Håvard Nielsen6%
Max Christiansen6%
Phil Neumann6%
Enzo Leopold6%
Jannik Dehm5%
Lars Gindorf4%
Fabian Kunze3%
Sei Muroya0%
Ron-Robert Zieler0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Bartłomiej Wdowik0%
Brooklyn Ezeh0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Kunze35%
Boris Tomiak27%
Jessic Ngankam25%
Sei Muroya21%
Josh Knight21%
Marcel Halstenberg21%
Phil Neumann21%
Enzo Leopold21%
Max Christiansen18%
Bartłomiej Wdowik14%
Monju Momuluh14%
Hyun-ju Lee12%
Lars Gindorf12%
Ron-Robert Zieler12%
Rabbi Matondo10%
Jannik Dehm9%
Brooklyn Ezeh8%
Kolja Oudenne8%
Jannik Rochelt7%
Håvard Nielsen6%
Andreas Voglsammer3%
Nicolò Tresoldi3%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Leopold15%
Håvard Nielsen9%
Brooklyn Ezeh8%
Jannik Rochelt7%
Marcel Halstenberg7%
Fabian Kunze6%
Bartłomiej Wdowik5%
Monju Momuluh5%
Hyun-ju Lee4%
Jessic Ngankam4%
Andreas Voglsammer3%
Phil Neumann3%
Nicolò Tresoldi3%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Sei Muroya0%
Josh Knight0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Max Christiansen0%
Ron-Robert Zieler0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Lars Gindorf0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hyun-ju Lee25%
Nicolò Tresoldi17%
Lars Gindorf8%
Jannik Rochelt7%
Jessic Ngankam7%
Marcel Halstenberg7%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Håvard Nielsen6%
Max Christiansen6%
Phil Neumann6%
Bartłomiej Wdowik5%
Sei Muroya4%
Fabian Kunze3%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Josh Knight0%
Jannik Dehm0%
Ron-Robert Zieler0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Enzo Leopold0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Brooklyn Ezeh0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →