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Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda Result & Analysis

Date: 24/10/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Vs
45%
32%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring encounter, with Hapoel Acre’s home form showing a 1.0 average conceded and Bnei Yehuda’s away side only allowing 0.67. The model favours a home win, with a 45% chance, a 32% draw and a 23% away win. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Hapoel Acre, with a 14.3% chance. Hapoel Acre averages 1.5 goals scored at home against similar opposition, while Bnei Yehuda averages 1.0 away and concedes 0.67. The model’s selection is Under 3.5, with an 84% probability. The recent form narrative is clear: Hapoel Acre has endured three straight defeats, whereas Bnei Yehuda is on a three-game winning streak. These figures suggest a tight match where the home side’s defensive edge will likely prove decisive.

Results analysis

The model’s forecast proved accurate, as Hapoel Acre secured a 1-0 home win, extending their recent form after a three-match losing streak. The pre-match favourite was Home win, given a 45% probability, and the model’s pick was correct. The most likely total was 2 goals, with a 28% chance, yet the game finished under that line. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 84% probability. All other suggested picks were settled, and the final result matched the model’s prediction, confirming the favoured outcome and the selections largely came in.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Acre win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda win✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D21W11D02L42W21W10W31WH·IRO18/08A·HAP25/08A·HAP01/09H·KAF08/09A·MAC19/09H·MAC22/09A·HAP30/09H·HAP07/10A·HAP14/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.561.111.501.001.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.561.111.501.001.601.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L22D20W10W03L11D00D01L11DA·HAP22/08H·HAP25/08A·HAP01/09H·HAP12/09A·HAP15/09H·HAP21/09A·KAF30/09H·MAC07/10A·HAP14/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.781.001.001.000.601.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.000.861.001.001.000.67
vs Weaker (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.9%
Under 2.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.0%
Under 3.5
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
14.3%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.3%
Hapoel Acre goals ↓
Bnei Yehuda goals →
01234
014%8.9%4.3%1.2%0.2%
114%14%5.4%1.5%0.3%
29.8%8.2%3.4%0.9%0.2%
34.1%3.4%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.3%1.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Acre goals (down), columns = Bnei Yehuda goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.62
Hapoel Acre
1.51
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.41
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.30
Hapoel Afula
1.24
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.19
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.18
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.14
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Hapoel Acre is 0.22 points better than Bnei Yehuda in terms of average points per game (1.51 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.97
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.68
Ironi Tiberias
1.54
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.30
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.22
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.19
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.16
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.16
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.70
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Hapoel Acre is 0.03 goals worse than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.84
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.86
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.03
Hapoel Acre
1.05
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.27
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.32
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.55
Bnei Yehuda
1.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2.11
Hapoel Acre is 0.54 goals better than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D10W00D12L10W00D10WH·IRO18/08A·HAP25/08A·HAP01/09H·KAF08/09A·MAC19/09H·MAC22/09A·HAP30/09H·HAP07/10A·HAP14/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.330.500.500.600.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.330.500.500.600.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %78% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D10W02L11D00D00D01LA·HAP22/08H·HAP25/08A·HAP01/09H·HAP12/09A·HAP15/09H·HAP21/09A·KAF30/09H·MAC07/10A·HAP14/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.220.560.500.250.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.290.430.500.250.000.67
vs Weaker (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W01L02L30W11D10W21WH·IRO18/08A·HAP25/08A·HAP01/09H·KAF08/09A·MAC19/09H·MAC22/09A·HAP30/09H·HAP07/10A·HAP14/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.781.000.501.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.781.000.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D20W00D01L00D00D01L10WA·HAP22/08H·HAP25/08A·HAP01/09H·HAP12/09A·HAP15/09H·HAP21/09A·KAF30/09H·MAC07/10A·HAP14/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.440.500.750.600.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.430.500.751.000.00
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (25)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Hapoel Acre's squad is €2m less valuable than Bnei Yehuda's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (11)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Hapoel Acre's attack is €1m less valuable than Bnei Yehuda's (€0m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Hapoel Acre and Bnei Yehuda have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
Hapoel Acre and Bnei Yehuda have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HA wins
0
Draws
0
BY wins

Head-to-head

Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda · H/A from HA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/22AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HA1-3
07/10/22HHA Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba1-0
30/09/22AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs HA1-2
22/09/22HHA Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa4-2
19/09/22AMaccabi Ahi Nazareth Vs HA2-0
08/09/22HHA Vs Kafr Qasim1-1
01/09/22AHapoel Nazareth Illit Vs HA1-2
25/08/22AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs HA1-1
18/08/22HHA Vs Ironi Tiberias0-1

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/22AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs BY1-1
07/10/22HBY Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0-1
30/09/22AKafr Qasim Vs BY0-0
21/09/22HBY Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1-1
15/09/22AHapoel Afula Vs BY3-0
12/09/22HBY Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva1-0
01/09/22AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs BY0-2
25/08/22HBY Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion2-2
22/08/22AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs BY1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.89
HomeLDWW1.75
AwayDWLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%50%60%
AVG goals2.672.502.80
Over 1.5 %78%50%100%
Over 2.5 %44%25%60%
Over 3.5 %22%25%20%
Scored1.561.501.60
Conceded1.111.001.20
BTTS67%50%80%
Clean Sheet11%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.11
HomeDWDL1.25
AwayLWLDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%20%
AVG goals1.782.001.60
Over 1.5 %56%50%60%
Over 2.5 %22%25%20%
Over 3.5 %11%25%0%
Scored0.781.000.60
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS33%50%20%
Clean Sheet33%25%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3775
62%
2.0
7334+39
2.9
78%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.00.9
-
2Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3771
57%
1.9
6231+31
2.5
76%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.70.8
-
3Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3767
51%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
73%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.0
-
4Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3760
46%
1.6
4432+12
2.1
70%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3756
41%
1.5
5039+11
2.4
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.1
-
6Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3752
41%
1.4
4750-3
2.6
70%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.4
-
7Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3751
41%
1.4
4852-4
2.7
78%
49%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.4
-
8Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3750
35%
1.4
5049+1
2.7
73%
46%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.3
-
9Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3748
35%
1.3
5159-8
3.0
78%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.6
-
10Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3746
32%
1.2
4951-2
2.7
76%
49%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3746
32%
1.2
4447-3
2.5
76%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
12Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3845
34%
1.2
4459-15
2.7
82%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3744
30%
1.2
4547-2
2.5
65%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
14Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3742
24%
1.1
4347-4
2.4
65%
32%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
15Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth3742
30%
1.1
3755-18
2.5
78%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16Agudat Sport AshdodAgudat Sport Ashdod3722
11%
0.6
2678-52
2.8
89%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
17Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.02.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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