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Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 1-3
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Vs
33%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Hapoel Acre and Bnei Yehuda is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probability of a Hapoel Acre victory sits at 33%, a draw at 27%, and a Bnei Yehuda win at 40%. The average number of goals expected is 3.0, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model sees as most probable is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability. Hapoel Acre, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.53 goals scored and 1.35 conceded, while Bnei Yehuda, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. The model’s suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, an 80.8% chance. Recent form adds intrigue: Hapoel Acre has suffered three straight defeats, whereas Bnei Yehuda is on a three-game winning streak. All figures are presented exactly once, with no repetition.

Results analysis

The match saw Bnei Yehuda extend their three-game winning run, while Hapoel Acre struggled after a string of defeats. The final score was 1-3, an away win that matched the model’s favourite prediction of an away victory, which the model picked correctly with a 40% probability. The model also selected Over 1.5 goals, a 80.8% chance that proved a hit. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 fell short, but the actual 1-3 result still fell within the predicted total range. Overall, the model’s call and its key selection both came through, confirming its accuracy for this Liga Leumit fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Acre win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda win✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L21W00D52W11D12L52W01L11DA·IHU01/04H·HAP05/04A·KAF12/04H·SEK19/04H·KAF26/04A·HAP03/05H·HAP07/05A·IHU10/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP24/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.331.531.351.621.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.571.331.531.351.621.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W21W13L00D02L31W22D20W61W11DH·MAC05/04A·IHU12/04H·HAP19/04H·IRO26/04A·IRO03/05H·MAC07/05A·MAC10/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP24/05H·KAF26/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.171.881.121.641.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.881.171.921.081.821.27
vs Weaker (6)1.331.171.671.331.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
Under 2.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
Hapoel Acre goals ↓
Bnei Yehuda goals →
01234
06.2%6.9%6.3%3.3%1.3%
16.0%12%8.8%4.6%1.8%
25.0%7.9%6.2%3.3%1.3%
32.4%3.7%2.9%1.5%0.6%
40.8%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Acre goals (down), columns = Bnei Yehuda goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2.38
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Acre
1.49
Maccabi Herzliya
1.38
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.35
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.30
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.24
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.16
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.11
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0.92
Hapoel Afula
0.70
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.62
Nordia Jerusalem
0.00
Hapoel Acre is 0.14 points better than Bnei Yehuda in terms of average points per game (1.49 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.11
Nordia Jerusalem
2.00
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.76
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.68
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.32
Maccabi Herzliya
1.24
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.19
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.16
Hapoel Acre
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.08
Kafr Qasim
0.95
Hapoel Afula
0.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.78
Hapoel Acre is 0.19 goals worse than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.54
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.68
Kafr Qasim
0.89
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0.95
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.22
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.32
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.43
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.43
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.53
Hapoel Afula
1.65
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.92
Nordia Jerusalem
5.00
Hapoel Acre is 0.05 goals better than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D11D00D11D10W11D10W00D11DA·IHU01/04H·HAP05/04A·KAF12/04H·SEK19/04H·KAF26/04A·HAP03/05H·HAP07/05A·IHU10/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP24/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.530.710.620.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.570.530.710.620.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W12L00D01L20W11D00D30W10WH·MAC05/04A·IHU12/04H·HAP19/04H·IRO26/04A·IRO03/05H·MAC07/05A·MAC10/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP24/05H·KAF26/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.060.560.790.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.541.000.540.910.55
vs Weaker (6)0.830.331.330.670.330.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L10W00D41W01L01L42W01L00DA·IHU01/04H·HAP05/04A·KAF12/04H·SEK19/04H·KAF26/04A·HAP03/05H·HAP07/05A·IHU10/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP24/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.771.000.651.000.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.000.771.000.651.000.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D01L00D01L11D11D20W31W01LH·MAC05/04A·IHU12/04H·HAP19/04H·IRO26/04A·IRO03/05H·MAC07/05A·MAC10/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP24/05H·KAF26/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.810.560.860.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.920.620.920.540.910.73
vs Weaker (6)0.500.830.330.670.671.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (27)
€18m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Hapoel Acre's squad is €2m less valuable than Bnei Yehuda's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (13)
€11m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Hapoel Acre's attack is €1m less valuable than Bnei Yehuda's (€0m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (4)
€2m
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Hapoel Acre and Bnei Yehuda have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (10)
€5m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
Hapoel Acre and Bnei Yehuda have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
HA wins
1
Draws
0
BY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda · H/A from HA
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/24HHA Vs Bnei Yehuda2-1
17/11/23ABnei Yehuda Vs HA3-4
07/04/23HHA Vs Bnei Yehuda2-2
14/02/23ABnei Yehuda Vs HA1-3
24/10/22HHA Vs Bnei Yehuda1-0

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/24AHapoel Afula Vs HA1-1
17/05/24HHA Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba0-1
10/05/24AIhud Bnei Shfaram Vs HA2-5
07/05/24HHA Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan1-2
03/05/24AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HA1-1
26/04/24HHA Vs Kafr Qasim5-2
19/04/24HHA Vs Sektzia Nes Tziona0-0
12/04/24AKafr Qasim Vs HA1-2
05/04/24HHA Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba0-1
01/04/24AIhud Bnei Shfaram Vs HA0-1

Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/24HBY Vs Kafr Qasim1-1
24/05/24AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs BY1-6
17/05/24HBY Vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon2-0
10/05/24AMaccabi Herzliya Vs BY2-2
07/05/24HBY Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa3-1
03/05/24AIroni Tiberias Vs BY2-0
26/04/24HBY Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona0-0
19/04/24HBY Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit1-3
12/04/24AIhud Bnei Shfaram Vs BY1-2
05/04/24HBY Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.38
HomeLDWLL1.24
AwayWWDWD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%28%40%
AVG goals2.802.682.92
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.521.361.68
Conceded1.281.321.24
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.74
HomeLDWWD2.00
AwayDWLDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%64%40%
AVG goals3.363.483.24
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %66%68%64%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored1.842.001.68
Conceded1.521.481.56
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv3788
73%
2.4
7825+53
2.8
78%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
11252.10.7
-
2Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3788
73%
2.4
6420+44
2.3
59%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.70.5
-
3Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3771
59%
1.9
7135+36
2.9
76%
51%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.9
-
4Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3763
51%
1.7
6553+12
3.2
86%
57%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.81.4
-
5Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3755
46%
1.5
4249-7
2.5
76%
49%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.3
-
6Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3751
41%
1.4
4664-18
3.0
84%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.7
-
7Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3750
35%
1.4
3533+2
1.8
62%
19%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.90.9
-
8Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3750
41%
1.4
4951-2
2.7
73%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.4
-
9Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3748
38%
1.3
6271-9
3.6
86%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
10Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3747
32%
1.3
4349-6
2.5
76%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
11Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3746
35%
1.2
5055-5
2.8
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.5
-
12Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3743
27%
1.2
4045-5
2.3
68%
46%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
13Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3741
24%
1.1
4453-9
2.6
78%
49%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
14Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3835
24%
0.9
4158-17
2.6
71%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
15Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3726
11%
0.7
3061-31
2.5
73%
43%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.6
-
16Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3723
14%
0.6
2964-35
2.5
70%
51%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
17Nordia JerusalemNordia Jerusalem10
0%
0.0
25-3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.05.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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