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Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion Result & Analysis

Date: 29/03/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Vs
34%
33%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Afula win✓ Hit
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D02L20W11D12L12L01L01L24LA·IHU26/01A·KAF02/02H·IRO06/02A·IRO09/02H·HAP16/02A·MAC23/02H·SEK01/03A·HAP08/03H·HAP15/03A·BNE22/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.730.711.571.191.88
vs Stronger (9)1.222.110.501.251.802.80
vs Similar (21)0.861.570.801.700.911.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Rishon LeZion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L13L00D12L12L20W01L02L21WH·KAF19/01A·IRO01/02H·IRO06/02A·HAP09/02H·MAC19/02A·SEK23/02H·HAP01/03A·HAP11/03H·BNE15/03H·HAP22/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.331.121.440.791.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.331.121.440.791.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.1%
Under 1.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.7%
Under 2.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.9%
Under 3.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.3%
No
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
Hapoel Afula goals ↓
Hapoel Rishon LeZion goals →
01234
014%12%6.7%2.3%0.6%
112%15%7.0%2.5%0.6%
26.8%7.1%3.7%1.3%0.3%
32.4%2.5%1.3%0.4%0.1%
40.6%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Afula goals (down), columns = Hapoel Rishon LeZion goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
2.05
Ironi Tiberias
1.95
Bnei Yehuda
1.95
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.70
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Maccabi Herzliya
1.35
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.24
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.16
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.13
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.08
Tira
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
0.54
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Rishon LeZion are level in average points per game (both 1.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bnei Yehuda
1.92
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.84
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.78
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ironi Tiberias
1.68
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.68
Hapoel Acre
1.46
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.27
Kafr Qasim
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.19
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
1.00
Hapoel Kfar Saba
0.95
Tira
0.00
Hapoel Afula is 0.19 goals better than Hapoel Rishon LeZion in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tira
0.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.62
Ironi Tiberias
0.92
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.05
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.22
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.30
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.38
Hapoel Afula
1.46
Maccabi Herzliya
1.65
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.68
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
2.51
Hapoel Afula is 0.16 goals worse than Hapoel Rishon LeZion in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L10W00D11D12L00D00D23LA·IHU26/01A·KAF02/02H·IRO06/02A·IRO09/02H·HAP16/02A·MAC23/02H·SEK01/03A·HAP08/03H·HAP15/03A·BNE22/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.360.790.690.69
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.000.250.801.60
vs Similar (21)0.570.620.501.000.640.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Rishon LeZion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L00D01L02L10W01L02L11DH·KAF19/01A·IRO01/02H·IRO06/02A·HAP09/02H·MAC19/02A·SEK23/02H·HAP01/03A·HAP11/03H·BNE15/03H·HAP22/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.500.750.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.700.500.750.430.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L10W11D01L00D01L01L01LA·IHU26/01A·KAF02/02H·IRO06/02A·IRO09/02H·HAP16/02A·MAC23/02H·SEK01/03A·HAP08/03H·HAP15/03A·BNE22/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.000.360.790.501.19
vs Stronger (9)0.781.110.501.001.001.20
vs Similar (21)0.290.950.300.700.271.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Rishon LeZion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L12L00D11D10W10W00D00D10WH·KAF19/01A·IRO01/02H·IRO06/02A·HAP09/02H·MAC19/02A·SEK23/02H·HAP01/03A·HAP11/03H·BNE15/03H·HAP22/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.620.690.360.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.630.620.690.360.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (22)
€7m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Hapoel Afula's squad is €1m less valuable than Hapoel Rishon LeZion's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (3)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (11)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
MKJ (4)
€0m
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Rishon LeZion have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
HA wins
0
Draws
3
HRL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion · H/A from HA
DateH/AGameScore
15/12/23AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HA1-0
14/04/23AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HA5-3
24/02/23HHA Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion3-2
07/11/22AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HA1-0

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/24ABnei Yehuda Vs HA4-2
15/03/24HHA Vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon0-1
08/03/24AHapoel Acre Vs HA1-0
01/03/24HHA Vs Sektzia Nes Tziona1-2
23/02/24AMaccabi Herzliya Vs HA2-1
16/02/24HHA Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1-1
09/02/24AIroni Tiberias Vs HA0-2
06/02/24HHA Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona0-2
02/02/24AKafr Qasim Vs HA1-1
26/01/24AIhud Bnei Shfaram Vs HA0-0

Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/24HHRL Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan2-1
15/03/24HHRL Vs Bnei Yehuda0-2
11/03/24AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs HRL1-0
01/03/24HHRL Vs Hapoel Acre2-0
23/02/24ASektzia Nes Tziona Vs HRL2-1
19/02/24HHRL Vs Maccabi Herzliya1-2
09/02/24AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs HRL0-0
06/02/24HHRL Vs Ironi Tiberias1-3
01/02/24AIroni Kiryat Shmona Vs HRL3-0
19/01/24HHRL Vs Kafr Qasim0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.00
HomeLLDLL1.08
AwayDWLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.802.642.96
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %46%40%52%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.201.241.16
Conceded1.601.401.80
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.10
HomeLLWLW1.24
AwayWLDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals2.442.762.12
Over 1.5 %70%88%52%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.061.240.88
Conceded1.381.521.24
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet24%16%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3776
65%
2.1
6623+43
2.4
68%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.80.6
-
2Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3772
54%
1.9
6234+28
2.6
78%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.9
-
3Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3772
59%
1.9
7145+26
3.1
78%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
4Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3763
49%
1.7
6239+23
2.7
76%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
5Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6862+6
3.5
89%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.7
-
6Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3750
32%
1.4
5449+5
2.8
70%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
7Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3750
35%
1.4
6464+0
3.5
86%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3750
35%
1.4
4361-18
2.8
81%
54%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.6
-
9Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3747
32%
1.3
4450-6
2.5
65%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
10Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3746
30%
1.2
4751-4
2.6
84%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3744
30%
1.2
4743+4
2.4
59%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
12Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3743
30%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
76%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3743
30%
1.2
3748-11
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.3
-
14Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3843
26%
1.1
3647-11
2.2
55%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.91.2
-
15Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona3740
27%
1.1
4463-19
2.9
81%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
16Ihud Bnei ShfaramIhud Bnei Shfaram3720
14%
0.5
3793-56
3.5
81%
70%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
17TiraTira11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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