Hapoel Beer Sheva are the clear favourites, the model rating them at 63% for a home win, 23% for a draw and 15% for an away win, and the pick is a home win. Their recent 5-game run of win-lose-win-lose-win and a 2-1 victory over Hapoel Ramat Gan show they are coming off a win, while Hapoel Haifa’s 5-game streak of draw-win-lose-win-win and a 0-0 draw with Hapoel Tel Aviv suggest a less potent attack. The expected total goals is 2.9, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for Beer Sheva, with a 11.3% probability. Beer Sheva’s home form against weaker opponents averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, whereas Haifa’s away form against stronger opponents averages 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, Under 7.5 at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.7% with a 7% edge, Under 6.5 at 97.3% with a 7% edge, Home +2 handicap at 95.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 94.3%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 94.2% with a 4% edge.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Hapoel Beer Sheva, was expected to win 63 percent of the time, but the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. Hapoel Beer Sheva’s recent form shows a mixed run, coming off a draw, while Hapoel Haifa also ended their last match in a 2-2 tie. The model’s predictions were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.5 percent, Under 7.5 hit at 99.1 percent, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8 percent, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.7 percent, Under 6.5 hit at 97.3 percent, Home +2 handicap hit at 95.1 percent, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 94.4 percent, and Away under 2.5 goals hit at 94.2 percent. All eight selections were settled successfully.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva win✗ Miss
62.5%
Avg Implied 65.5% · @ 1.40
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
Dafabet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Draw✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.59
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.01
Marathonbet
4.80
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Hapoel Haifa win✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied 14.5% · @ 6.30
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.70
Marathonbet
6.60
William Hil
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.23
2.07
1.14
1.75
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
1.69
1.31
2.00
1.38
1.38
1.25
vs Weaker (12)
2.25
1.33
2.40
1.00
2.14
1.57
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.53
1.71
1.76
1.00
1.23
vs Stronger (7)
1.86
2.14
2.67
2.67
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.35
1.50
1.57
0.89
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
@ 1.14-2.7%
Under 1.5
21.1%
@ 5.06+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
5.53
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.50-7.2%
Under 2.5
45.5%
@ 2.42+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.63
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.2%
@ 2.28-8.6%
Under 3.5
67.8%
@ 1.57+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.28
BetVictor
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
@ 1.68-3.7%
No
48.8%
@ 2.05+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
No
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Betfair
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.3%@ 7.40+5.4%
1-1
10.9%@ 8.44+5.7%
1-0
10.4%@ 8.05+4.9%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.48+4.0%
3-0
7.5%@ 9.36+2.8%
0-0
6.7%@ 14.72+3.7%
3-1
6.6%@ 9.75+2.0%
1-2
4.3%@ 17.31+1.8%
Hapoel Beer Sheva goals ↓
Hapoel Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
4.0%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
1
10%
11%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.5%
6.6%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.7%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Beer Sheva goals (down), columns = Hapoel Haifa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 1.16 points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 1.01 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (2.19 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.49 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 16.5 percentage points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average possession (60% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva
For 4.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Haifa
For 4.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.3 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
10.0
3.6
3.5
3.6
28.1
28.6
27.6
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
-
6.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
15.0
-
15.0
vs Similar (25)
9.9
9.2
10.6
4.4
4.4
4.5
29.5
29.4
29.6
vs Weaker (23)
9.8
9.8
9.8
2.8
2.8
2.8
27.0
27.3
26.6
% over line
53%
53%
53%
52%
52%
52%
87%
87%
87%
% under line
47%
47%
47%
48%
48%
48%
13%
13%
13%
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.4
10.2
3.0
3.1
2.8
26.7
27.1
26.2
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
7.3
9.4
4.0
3.3
4.7
27.5
27.0
27.8
vs Similar (38)
9.5
8.7
10.6
2.6
3.0
2.2
26.3
27.1
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
29%
46%
48%
48%
48%
85%
93%
77%
% under line
63%
71%
54%
52%
52%
52%
15%
7%
23%
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
8.9
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.5
Beitar Jerusalem
28.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.8
Maccabi Haifa
27.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.3
Hapoel Haifa
26.1
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.7%
@ 1.77-11.7%
Under 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.95+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.1%
Under 3.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw✓ Hit
85.3%
Avg Implied 85.2% · @ 1.09
Edge
+0.2%
63%
23%
15%
covers Hapoel Beer Sheva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Hapoel Haifa✗ Miss
77.2%
Avg Implied 80.6% · @ 1.15
Edge
-3.4%
63%
23%
15%
covers Hapoel Beer Sheva + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw or Hapoel Haifa✓ Hit
37.5%
Avg Implied 34.2% · @ 2.71
Edge
+3.2%
63%
23%
15%
covers Draw + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.79
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.3%
@ 1.07-1.5%
Under
13.7%
@ 7.73+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
7.60
Betano
6.60
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.2%
@ 1.41-6.7%
Under
40.8%
@ 2.72+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.95
Marathonbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Betano
2.67
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 2.30-8.2%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.55+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Pinnacle
2.33
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 4.33-7.3%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.18+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.15
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.1%
@ 1.53-2.2%
Under
41.9%
@ 2.33+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.35
Superbet
2.32
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
21.7%
@ 3.61-4.1%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.25+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.72
Pinnacle
3.61
Superbet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 10.06-3.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.04+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
9.90
Superbet
9.10
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Hapoel Haifa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 23.25-3.0%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Beer Sheva, so a minus line means Hapoel Beer Sheva give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Haifa receive them. At -1, Hapoel Beer Sheva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Beer Sheva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.71
0.76
0.62
0.54
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.14
0.67
1.67
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.52
0.71
0.57
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.7%
@ 1.25+0.5%
Under 0.5
25.3%
@ 3.59-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.7%
@ 2.19-4.6%
Under 1.5
62.3%
@ 1.61+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.29
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 4.88-4.7%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.14+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
62.3%
@ 1.47-1.0%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.53+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.72
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.46
Betano
2.37
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
24.5%
@ 3.25-3.8%
Under
75.5%
@ 1.29+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.30
Marathonbet
3.30
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Under
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 8.07-4.8%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.9%
@ 2.64-3.3%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.43+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.85
Superbet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 9.39-3.7%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.80
0.93
0.57
1.19
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.88
1.00
0.75
1.12
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.83
1.00
0.40
1.14
1.14
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
1.00
1.00
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.83
0.79
1.00
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.0%
@ 1.14+0.7%
Under 0.5
18.0%
@ 4.94-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.5%
@ 1.74-7.0%
Under 1.5
53.5%
@ 2.00+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Marathonbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
23.6%
@ 3.23-5.0%
Under 2.5
76.4%
@ 1.30+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.1%
@ 1.31-4.4%
Under
33.9%
@ 3.15+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Under
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.6%
@ 2.46-6.0%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.48+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.44
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 5.58-6.0%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.11+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
37.9%
@ 2.18-4.5%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.60+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.9%
@ 7.10-5.1%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.06+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 11.00-7.1%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.9%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.15
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.08
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
85.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.8%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
1.35
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
-
-
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.9%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.3%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-3.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.4%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
+5.0%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.5%
1.29
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.7%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
1.58
Superbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.54
-
+12.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. East67%
E. Peretz33%
Guy Mizrahi33%
Pedro Amador0%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
M. Vítor0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itay Rotman0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Vítor67%
E. Peretz33%
Yonas Malede33%
Itay Rotman33%
Mohamad Abu Rumi33%
J. East0%
Pedro Amador0%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
E. Peretz33%
Guy Mizrahi33%
J. East0%
Pedro Amador0%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
M. Vítor0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itay Rotman0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. East33%
Pedro Amador33%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
M. Vítor0%
E. Peretz0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itay Rotman0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
Hapoel Haifa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alon Turgeman57%
Javon East46%
Ofek Biton20%
Liran Rotman14%
Roei Zikri12%
Rotem Hatuel10%
Anis Forat Ayias8%
Liran Sardal6%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Dor Malul0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Yaad Gonen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Larry Angulo67%
Roy Nawi47%
Rotem Hatuel35%
Alon Turgeman29%
Dor Malul26%
Bruno Ramires25%
Naor Sabag25%
Saná Gomes25%
Ivan Kričak22%
Oren Biton22%
Saar Fadida20%
Tamir Arbel20%
Liran Sardal18%
Itay Buganim15%
Liran Rotman14%
Yaad Gonen14%
Roei Zikri12%
George Diba11%
Javon East8%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Ofek Biton0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Yonatan Ferber0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ofek Biton33%
Naor Sabag15%
Yonatan Ferber15%
Javon East8%
Roei Zikri6%
Dor Malul5%
Rotem Hatuel5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Liran Rotman0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Roy Nawi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alon Turgeman57%
Ofek Biton20%
Rotem Hatuel20%
Liran Rotman14%
Javon East8%
Regis Ndo8%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Roei Zikri0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's squad is €16m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€20m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's attack is €8m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€10m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's midfield is €4m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€5m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon
Beitar Jerusalem