Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Result & Analysis

The contest between Hapoel Beer Sheva and Maccabi Tel Aviv is a knife-edge affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 35% and 36% respectively, while a draw is 29%. The expected goal total is 2.7, with the most likely scoreline a 1-1 draw at 13.6%. Hapoel Beer Sheva, at home, averages 0.75 goals scored and conceded against teams of similar strength, whereas Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the road, nets 1.0 goal but concedes 1.6. The model’s selections include an 83.7% chance of over 2.5 cards, a 72.5% chance of under 3.5 goals, a 72.3% chance of over 8.5 corners, an 80.2% chance of under 25.5 fouls, and a 75.5% chance of over 1.5 goals. Both sides have recently finished on a win, with Maccabi Tel Aviv coming off a 3-1 victory over Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Beer Sheva a 2-1 win over Hapoel Ramat Gan.

The match finished 0-1 in favour of Maccabi Tel Aviv, extending their recent winning run. The model’s favourite, an away victory at 36%, was correct, confirming the prediction. The suggested picks delivered a mixed outcome: Over 2.5 cards hit at 83.7%, Under 3.5 goals hit at 72.5%, and Over 8.5 corners also hit at 72.3%. However, Under 25.5 fouls missed at 80.2% and Over 1.5 goals missed at 75.5%. The final score matched the model’s most likely 1-1 outcome probability of 13.6%, though the actual result was a narrow away win. Overall, the model’s call was accurate, but several secondary selections fell short.