Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya Result & Analysis

The contest between Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Netanya is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win yet recognising the narrow margin. The probability of a Hapoel Haifa victory sits at 41%, a draw at 26%, and a Maccabi Netanya win at 33%. The expected total of goals is 3.1, but the most likely total is two goals, a 23% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.8% probability. Hapoel Haifa, playing at home against a similarly-rated opponent, averages 2.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded, while Maccabi Netanya, on the road, averages 1.78 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards (88.3%), Over 19.5 fouls (84.8%), Over 1.5 goals (82.8%), Under 11.5 corners (82.7%), Over 3.5 cards (74.7%), Under 10.5 corners (73.6%), and Over 21.5 fouls (72.6%). The recent form shows Hapoel Haifa coming off a draw, while Maccabi Netanya enters after a win, adding to the intrigue of this tightly contested fixture.

The pre-match favourite, Hapoel Haifa, failed to deliver a win, as the match finished 1-1 and ended in a draw. The model had chosen a home win with a 41% probability, but that call was wrong. Hapoel Haifa entered the game coming off a draw, while Maccabi Netanya had just won 4-1. The model’s selections all hit: Over 2.5 cards at 88.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 84.8%, Over 1.5 at 82.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.7%, Over 3.5 cards at 74.7%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.6%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 72.6%. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, but the predicted 2-1 win did not materialise.